Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #27971

Von Wilpert Sees Slight Advantage in Redistricted CA-48 Contest, Where 1 in 4 Voters See 'Threats to Democracy' As Top Issue Facing Congress: SurveyUSA's latest exclusive polling for KGTV 10 News and the San Diego Union Tribune in California's 48th Congressional District shows Democrat Marni Von Wilpert just ahead of Republican Jim Desmond, 45% to 42%, with 13% of likely voters as yet undecided. Each of the candidates runs strongly among their political base; Desmond takes 80% of Republicans' votes, Von Wilpert 84% of Democrats' votes; Desmond is at 82% among conservatives, Von Wilpert at 92% among progressives and 82% among liberals. Independents – here defined as voters who tell SurveyUSA they are registered to vote as neither a Republican nor a Democrat and who do not lean toward either party – break for Desmond by a 29-point margin, 49% to 20% – while those who describe themselves as moderates give Von Wilpert a 16-point lead, 48% to 32%. Von Wilpert leads by 19 points in urban parts of the district; Desmond leads by 10 in rural areas; the two candidates run evenly in the suburbs. Von Wilpert has a 15-point advantage among those with college degrees; Desmond is up by 5 points among those who have attended some college, and by 26 points among those with high school educations. Von Wilpert leads by 14 points among voters with the lowest household incomes and has a 2-point edge in middle-income households; the two are tied in upper-income homes. While Von Wilpert is nominally ahead among most other demographic groups – men and women, young and old, white and Latino – those leads are all in low single-digits, and should be categorized as slim edges at best. On the issues, Von Wilpert leads by 62 points among the 23% of likely voters who say threats to democracy is the top issue facing Congress right now, by 7 points among the 26% who say inflation and the economy is the top issue, and by 3 points among the 10% who say it's healthcare, Medicaid, or Medicare. Desmond by 59 points among the 17% who say election security and voting rights is the top issue, by 39 points among the 6% most focused on immigration enforcement, and by 12 points among the 6% who call wars and foreign policy most important. Overall, voters are mostly satisfied with their choices in the race; 22% say they are very satisfied, 44% somewhat satisfied – that's two-thirds of likely voters. 20% are less happy with their choices, with 16% saying they are not very satisfied and 4% not satisfied at all. Fully crosstabbed results for these and for additional questions on the impact of last year's Proposition 50; approval ratings for President Trump, Congress, and ICE, and on the war in Iran all follow, with interactive tracking graphs, denoted by the "triangle-T" icon appearing on their question numbers, for most. Those tracking graphs show changes in results over time, from April and May 2026 to today. Note those previous questions were asked of likely voters in the primary, not the general election, making them a similar but not an exact duplicate universe.

About the Research / Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 625 adults from California's redistricted 48th congressional district 08/27/26 through 09/01/26 using a mixed mode, blended sample approach. Of the adults, 568 were determined to be registered voters; of the registered voters, 522 were identified by SurveyUSA as being likely to vote in the November election and were asked the substantive questions which follow. 48% of likely primary voters were interviewed on the display of their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device using non-probability sample of internet panel members provided by Cint USA. 52% were interviewed using probability-based telephone sample of registered voters from Aristotle of Washington, DC, using SMS-to-Web, where a live operator hand-texted respondents on their mobile phones, secured their cooperation, and linked them to an online version of the survey. The full pool of respondents was weighted to US Census-derived targets for gender, age, ethnicity, and home ownership, and to California's CA-48 partisan registration data.

1	Are you registered to vote in the state of California?

625 Adults	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent		Likely Voter		Biggest Issue						Party			Ideology				2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 2.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Probable	Definite	Wars / F	Immigrat	Inflatio	Health C	Election	Threats	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Progress	Liberal	Moderate	Conserva	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Web Pane	SMS-to-W
Yes	91%	92%	90%	84%	86%	97%	95%	85%	96%	92%	87%	93%	87%	92%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	98%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	97%	97%	75%	92%	96%	80%	93%	95%	95%	84%	92%	93%	78%	85%	98%
No	8%	8%	9%	16%	13%	2%	5%	14%	4%	7%	12%	5%	12%	8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0%	2%	0%	-	-	-	-	2%	3%	24%	7%	3%	18%	7%	4%	5%	15%	6%	7%	22%	14%	2%
Not Sure	1%	0%	1%	0%	2%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Adults	100%	49%	51%	20%	23%	24%	33%	43%	57%	69%	24%	7%	22%	77%	14%	78%	6%	6%	26%	10%	17%	23%	44%	47%	10%	8%	21%	29%	33%	40%	40%	18%	35%	46%	23%	31%	46%	65%	35%	20%	68%	13%	55%	45%

2	California will hold elections for Governor, US House of Representatives, and other offices this November. Many people don't have the time to vote in every election. Thinking ahead to November, are you ... ?

568 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent		Likely Voter		Biggest Issue						Party			Ideology				2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Probable	Definite	Wars / F	Immigrat	Inflatio	Health C	Election	Threats	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Progress	Liberal	Moderate	Conserva	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Web Pane	SMS-to-W
Unlikely To Have Time To Vote	2%	1%	4%	9%	2%	1%	0%	5%	1%	3%	2%	2%	1%	3%	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	2%	1%	11%	0%	1%	3%	0%	0%	0%	5%	3%	2%	8%	1%	1%	0%	7%	3%	2%	5%	4%	0%
Might Or Might Not Find Time	6%	6%	6%	14%	7%	5%	0%	11%	3%	4%	10%	5%	11%	4%	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6%	3%	17%	0%	7%	6%	3%	6%	3%	16%	6%	2%	11%	6%	3%	3%	11%	5%	6%	6%	10%	2%
Will Probably Vote	14%	13%	15%	24%	22%	14%	4%	23%	8%	13%	15%	20%	22%	12%	100%	0%	22%	21%	17%	29%	9%	4%	17%	12%	13%	3%	14%	15%	15%	14%	11%	26%	16%	9%	21%	15%	11%	12%	20%	12%	14%	25%	23%	4%
Will Definitely Vote	78%	80%	75%	52%	69%	79%	96%	61%	89%	80%	73%	73%	65%	81%	0%	100%	78%	79%	83%	71%	91%	96%	76%	84%	59%	96%	79%	76%	82%	79%	87%	53%	75%	87%	60%	77%	85%	85%	61%	79%	79%	64%	63%	94%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	49%	51%	18%	22%	26%	34%	40%	60%	70%	23%	7%	21%	78%	14%	78%	6%	6%	26%	10%	17%	23%	44%	46%	10%	8%	21%	29%	33%	43%	43%	15%	36%	49%	20%	31%	48%	68%	32%	20%	69%	11%	51%	49%

If the election for US House of Representatives were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated)

522 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent		Likely Voter		Biggest Issue						Party			Ideology				2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Probable	Definite	Wars / F	Immigrat	Inflatio	Health C	Election	Threats	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Progress	Liberal	Moderate	Conserva	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Web Pane	SMS-to-W
Jim Desmond (R)	42%	43%	41%	36%	41%	41%	46%	39%	44%	43%	41%	37%	49%	40%	42%	42%	44%	64%	39%	44%	76%	17%	80%	5%	49%	6%	9%	32%	82%	81%	4%	52%	45%	37%	33%	43%	44%	40%	45%	34%	43%	48%	38%	45%
Marni Von Wilpert (D)	45%	47%	42%	40%	43%	45%	47%	42%	46%	44%	46%	46%	38%	46%	30%	47%	32%	25%	46%	47%	17%	79%	7%	84%	20%	92%	82%	48%	9%	8%	86%	26%	40%	52%	47%	45%	44%	48%	36%	53%	43%	38%	45%	45%
Undecided	13%	10%	17%	24%	16%	14%	7%	19%	10%	13%	13%	17%	13%	14%	27%	11%	24%	11%	16%	9%	7%	4%	13%	11%	31%	2%	10%	21%	8%	11%	10%	22%	15%	10%	20%	13%	12%	11%	19%	14%	14%	14%	17%	10%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	50%	50%	15%	21%	26%	37%	36%	64%	71%	22%	7%	20%	79%	15%	85%	6%	6%	26%	10%	17%	23%	45%	48%	8%	9%	22%	28%	35%	44%	46%	13%	36%	51%	18%	32%	50%	71%	29%	20%	70%	10%	48%	52%

How satisfied are you with the choice of candidates in this race?

522 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent		Likely Voter		Biggest Issue						Party			Ideology				2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Probable	Definite	Wars / F	Immigrat	Inflatio	Health C	Election	Threats	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Progress	Liberal	Moderate	Conserva	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Web Pane	SMS-to-W
Very	22%	24%	21%	18%	17%	19%	30%	17%	25%	20%	30%	19%	30%	21%	14%	24%	13%	16%	16%	29%	36%	22%	29%	19%	3%	16%	24%	18%	29%	28%	21%	24%	19%	25%	19%	29%	19%	22%	23%	29%	23%	9%	20%	24%
Somewhat	44%	48%	40%	49%	38%	44%	46%	43%	45%	46%	40%	42%	37%	46%	55%	42%	43%	53%	55%	42%	35%	47%	39%	49%	46%	51%	54%	42%	39%	43%	48%	38%	45%	45%	45%	43%	45%	46%	41%	36%	45%	52%	46%	43%
Not Very	16%	17%	16%	19%	16%	18%	15%	17%	16%	16%	14%	23%	10%	18%	15%	17%	21%	22%	9%	16%	18%	20%	15%	16%	28%	19%	12%	17%	18%	14%	14%	19%	19%	13%	14%	16%	17%	17%	15%	21%	14%	25%	17%	16%
Not At All	4%	3%	5%	3%	9%	3%	2%	7%	3%	4%	3%	6%	6%	4%	3%	4%	0%	0%	5%	2%	4%	1%	2%	4%	14%	5%	1%	8%	2%	3%	4%	2%	4%	5%	1%	6%	4%	4%	5%	4%	5%	2%	5%	3%
Not Sure	13%	8%	19%	11%	20%	17%	7%	16%	11%	14%	12%	10%	17%	12%	14%	13%	23%	9%	15%	12%	8%	10%	14%	13%	8%	9%	9%	15%	12%	11%	13%	17%	13%	12%	22%	5%	14%	12%	16%	11%	14%	13%	12%	14%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	50%	50%	15%	21%	26%	37%	36%	64%	71%	22%	7%	20%	79%	15%	85%	6%	6%	26%	10%	17%	23%	45%	48%	8%	9%	22%	28%	35%	44%	46%	13%	36%	51%	18%	32%	50%	71%	29%	20%	70%	10%	48%	52%

With the House of Representatives narrowly controlled by Republicans, Democrats are seeking to retake control of it in this November's midterm election. With control of Congress potentially at stake, how closely are you following the Congressional election?

522 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent		Likely Voter		Biggest Issue						Party			Ideology				2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Probable	Definite	Wars / F	Immigrat	Inflatio	Health C	Election	Threats	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Progress	Liberal	Moderate	Conserva	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Web Pane	SMS-to-W
Very Closely	45%	51%	39%	31%	37%	45%	55%	34%	51%	46%	39%	53%	32%	48%	15%	50%	39%	37%	29%	35%	55%	69%	40%	52%	28%	66%	51%	38%	47%	37%	56%	30%	43%	50%	34%	43%	50%	48%	37%	47%	43%	53%	32%	57%
Somewhat Closely	36%	36%	37%	35%	39%	37%	35%	38%	36%	34%	44%	34%	45%	34%	44%	35%	26%	41%	50%	42%	39%	22%	40%	33%	36%	28%	34%	40%	37%	45%	30%	48%	36%	33%	39%	43%	30%	36%	36%	41%	37%	26%	40%	33%
Not Very Closely	14%	11%	17%	22%	17%	15%	9%	19%	12%	15%	14%	9%	18%	14%	28%	12%	31%	14%	16%	17%	6%	8%	14%	13%	26%	6%	12%	18%	13%	14%	11%	12%	16%	15%	18%	11%	15%	14%	17%	11%	16%	13%	21%	8%
Not Closely At All	2%	2%	3%	5%	4%	2%	0%	5%	1%	3%	1%	2%	2%	2%	6%	2%	3%	3%	3%	2%	0%	1%	3%	1%	5%	0%	1%	2%	3%	4%	1%	2%	4%	2%	3%	1%	3%	2%	4%	1%	2%	7%	4%	1%
Not Sure	2%	0%	3%	6%	3%	1%	0%	5%	0%	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	8%	1%	1%	5%	2%	3%	0%	0%	2%	1%	5%	0%	2%	2%	1%	1%	1%	8%	2%	0%	5%	2%	1%	0%	6%	0%	3%	1%	4%	0%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	50%	50%	15%	21%	26%	37%	36%	64%	71%	22%	7%	20%	79%	15%	85%	6%	6%	26%	10%	17%	23%	45%	48%	8%	9%	22%	28%	35%	44%	46%	13%	36%	51%	18%	32%	50%	71%	29%	20%	70%	10%	48%	52%

California voters passed Proposition 50 last year to allow the Legislature to redraw the state's congressional districts in Democrats' favor. How did you vote in the Proposition 50 special election to allow redistricting?

522 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent		Likely Voter		Biggest Issue						Party			Ideology				2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Probable	Definite	Wars / F	Immigrat	Inflatio	Health C	Election	Threats	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Progress	Liberal	Moderate	Conserva	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Web Pane	SMS-to-W
Voted 'yes'	45%	51%	39%	46%	44%	46%	44%	45%	45%	46%	43%	44%	39%	46%	37%	46%	34%	25%	42%	54%	22%	73%	14%	78%	18%	89%	76%	48%	13%	11%	85%	32%	37%	53%	34%	47%	48%	47%	39%	55%	43%	35%	42%	48%
Voted 'no'	40%	40%	39%	26%	38%	39%	47%	33%	44%	40%	41%	36%	46%	38%	25%	43%	47%	54%	35%	30%	74%	23%	70%	10%	55%	9%	8%	32%	76%	73%	8%	45%	42%	37%	35%	41%	41%	42%	36%	35%	40%	48%	34%	46%
Did Not Vote	5%	4%	6%	11%	7%	4%	1%	9%	3%	4%	4%	9%	7%	4%	18%	2%	5%	5%	5%	8%	2%	2%	3%	5%	13%	2%	6%	8%	2%	3%	3%	8%	6%	3%	9%	6%	3%	4%	7%	4%	5%	7%	8%	2%
Don't Recall	10%	5%	16%	17%	11%	11%	7%	13%	9%	10%	12%	10%	8%	11%	20%	9%	14%	15%	18%	8%	2%	2%	13%	7%	15%	0%	10%	12%	10%	13%	4%	15%	16%	6%	22%	7%	9%	7%	19%	6%	12%	9%	17%	5%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	50%	50%	15%	21%	26%	37%	36%	64%	71%	22%	7%	20%	79%	15%	85%	6%	6%	26%	10%	17%	23%	45%	48%	8%	9%	22%	28%	35%	44%	46%	13%	36%	51%	18%	32%	50%	71%	29%	20%	70%	10%	48%	52%

As a result of Proposition 50, many voters now find themselves in new districts, or considering new fields of candidates. How familiar are you with your local congressional race and candidates?

522 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent		Likely Voter		Biggest Issue						Party			Ideology				2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Probable	Definite	Wars / F	Immigrat	Inflatio	Health C	Election	Threats	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Progress	Liberal	Moderate	Conserva	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Web Pane	SMS-to-W
Very Familiar	24%	28%	21%	25%	19%	22%	28%	22%	26%	25%	19%	34%	26%	24%	10%	27%	25%	23%	21%	26%	19%	34%	22%	26%	22%	41%	25%	26%	22%	21%	31%	14%	16%	33%	14%	29%	26%	26%	22%	33%	24%	12%	21%	27%
Somewhat Familiar	43%	45%	41%	35%	42%	47%	43%	39%	45%	42%	46%	42%	35%	44%	32%	45%	26%	41%	37%	36%	59%	45%	40%	44%	49%	47%	41%	40%	45%	41%	43%	46%	47%	38%	38%	42%	43%	44%	37%	43%	41%	52%	39%	46%
Not Very Familiar	20%	20%	21%	25%	22%	21%	17%	24%	18%	20%	21%	17%	26%	19%	34%	18%	22%	23%	26%	24%	16%	13%	22%	20%	16%	5%	23%	23%	19%	22%	18%	18%	22%	20%	25%	18%	20%	19%	24%	12%	23%	21%	22%	19%
Not Familiar At All	7%	7%	8%	6%	12%	7%	6%	10%	6%	8%	7%	4%	7%	8%	16%	6%	12%	8%	9%	9%	3%	5%	9%	5%	10%	4%	3%	9%	8%	8%	5%	12%	8%	6%	10%	7%	7%	7%	10%	8%	7%	11%	10%	6%
Not Sure	5%	1%	9%	9%	5%	3%	6%	6%	5%	5%	7%	4%	5%	5%	8%	5%	16%	5%	7%	5%	2%	2%	6%	5%	4%	2%	8%	1%	6%	8%	2%	10%	7%	3%	13%	3%	4%	5%	6%	4%	6%	4%	8%	3%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	50%	50%	15%	21%	26%	37%	36%	64%	71%	22%	7%	20%	79%	15%	85%	6%	6%	26%	10%	17%	23%	45%	48%	8%	9%	22%	28%	35%	44%	46%	13%	36%	51%	18%	32%	50%	71%	29%	20%	70%	10%	48%	52%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job President Trump is doing as president?

522 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent		Likely Voter		Biggest Issue						Party			Ideology				2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Probable	Definite	Wars / F	Immigrat	Inflatio	Health C	Election	Threats	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Progress	Liberal	Moderate	Conserva	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Web Pane	SMS-to-W
Approve	39%	38%	39%	32%	37%	37%	43%	35%	41%	39%	39%	33%	41%	38%	35%	39%	34%	62%	37%	38%	74%	14%	77%	5%	23%	5%	12%	26%	78%	84%	2%	58%	43%	30%	40%	44%	34%	38%	39%	39%	39%	38%	38%	39%
Disapprove	55%	57%	52%	57%	59%	52%	53%	58%	53%	54%	53%	63%	49%	56%	47%	56%	56%	34%	56%	51%	20%	84%	15%	91%	62%	90%	85%	67%	15%	10%	94%	35%	48%	64%	45%	50%	61%	57%	48%	55%	55%	48%	54%	55%
Not Sure	7%	5%	9%	11%	4%	11%	4%	7%	7%	7%	8%	4%	11%	6%	17%	5%	10%	5%	7%	11%	6%	3%	8%	4%	16%	4%	3%	7%	7%	7%	4%	7%	9%	6%	15%	5%	5%	4%	14%	6%	6%	14%	8%	6%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	50%	50%	15%	21%	26%	37%	36%	64%	71%	22%	7%	20%	79%	15%	85%	6%	6%	26%	10%	17%	23%	45%	48%	8%	9%	22%	28%	35%	44%	46%	13%	36%	51%	18%	32%	50%	71%	29%	20%	70%	10%	48%	52%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Congress is doing?

522 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent		Likely Voter		Biggest Issue						Party			Ideology				2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Probable	Definite	Wars / F	Immigrat	Inflatio	Health C	Election	Threats	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Progress	Liberal	Moderate	Conserva	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Web Pane	SMS-to-W
Approve	19%	17%	20%	20%	21%	19%	16%	21%	18%	17%	24%	18%	32%	15%	21%	18%	17%	32%	15%	20%	32%	7%	35%	6%	4%	5%	10%	15%	34%	36%	6%	30%	17%	17%	27%	22%	14%	16%	26%	19%	19%	19%	22%	15%
Disapprove	65%	72%	58%	53%	63%	65%	71%	59%	68%	67%	54%	74%	55%	68%	50%	67%	63%	47%	64%	59%	56%	87%	45%	84%	63%	90%	79%	72%	45%	41%	86%	43%	61%	73%	48%	60%	74%	71%	50%	71%	64%	59%	56%	73%
Not Sure	16%	11%	22%	27%	16%	16%	13%	20%	14%	16%	22%	8%	13%	17%	29%	14%	20%	21%	21%	21%	13%	6%	20%	10%	33%	5%	11%	14%	21%	23%	8%	27%	22%	10%	25%	18%	12%	13%	24%	10%	17%	23%	22%	11%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	50%	50%	15%	21%	26%	37%	36%	64%	71%	22%	7%	20%	79%	15%	85%	6%	6%	26%	10%	17%	23%	45%	48%	8%	9%	22%	28%	35%	44%	46%	13%	36%	51%	18%	32%	50%	71%	29%	20%	70%	10%	48%	52%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement, or ICE, is doing?

522 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent		Likely Voter		Biggest Issue						Party			Ideology				2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Probable	Definite	Wars / F	Immigrat	Inflatio	Health C	Election	Threats	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Progress	Liberal	Moderate	Conserva	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Web Pane	SMS-to-W
Approve	41%	44%	38%	29%	45%	40%	45%	38%	43%	41%	40%	39%	47%	39%	40%	41%	36%	60%	36%	36%	80%	14%	79%	4%	52%	5%	8%	31%	79%	82%	4%	60%	42%	36%	37%	46%	40%	40%	42%	35%	41%	51%	37%	45%
Disapprove	53%	51%	56%	59%	51%	52%	54%	54%	53%	53%	53%	57%	48%	55%	48%	54%	50%	40%	56%	58%	19%	83%	14%	92%	44%	95%	89%	59%	17%	13%	91%	32%	54%	58%	53%	49%	56%	56%	48%	60%	53%	45%	55%	52%
Not Sure	6%	5%	6%	13%	4%	9%	1%	8%	4%	6%	6%	4%	5%	6%	11%	4%	15%	0%	8%	6%	1%	3%	8%	4%	4%	0%	3%	10%	4%	5%	5%	8%	4%	6%	10%	5%	4%	4%	10%	5%	6%	4%	9%	3%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	50%	50%	15%	21%	26%	37%	36%	64%	71%	22%	7%	20%	79%	15%	85%	6%	6%	26%	10%	17%	23%	45%	48%	8%	9%	22%	28%	35%	44%	46%	13%	36%	51%	18%	32%	50%	71%	29%	20%	70%	10%	48%	52%

Do you think ICE is making Americans safer or less safe?

522 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent		Likely Voter		Biggest Issue						Party			Ideology				2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Probable	Definite	Wars / F	Immigrat	Inflatio	Health C	Election	Threats	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Progress	Liberal	Moderate	Conserva	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Web Pane	SMS-to-W
Safer	41%	45%	36%	30%	41%	42%	44%	36%	43%	42%	38%	36%	44%	39%	39%	41%	42%	60%	36%	35%	77%	13%	79%	3%	50%	5%	6%	30%	81%	82%	3%	54%	42%	36%	34%	46%	39%	40%	41%	38%	39%	51%	35%	46%
Less Safe	51%	48%	54%	52%	53%	49%	51%	52%	50%	50%	52%	56%	47%	52%	50%	51%	40%	40%	52%	53%	21%	82%	13%	89%	35%	95%	84%	58%	14%	11%	89%	33%	49%	57%	54%	46%	53%	52%	49%	56%	51%	43%	53%	49%
Not Sure	9%	8%	9%	18%	6%	9%	5%	11%	7%	8%	10%	8%	9%	8%	11%	8%	18%	0%	12%	12%	2%	5%	9%	7%	15%	0%	9%	13%	5%	7%	8%	13%	10%	7%	12%	7%	8%	8%	10%	6%	10%	6%	12%	5%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	50%	50%	15%	21%	26%	37%	36%	64%	71%	22%	7%	20%	79%	15%	85%	6%	6%	26%	10%	17%	23%	45%	48%	8%	9%	22%	28%	35%	44%	46%	13%	36%	51%	18%	32%	50%	71%	29%	20%	70%	10%	48%	52%

Do you approve or disapprove of the United States' war in Iran?

522 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent		Likely Voter		Biggest Issue						Party			Ideology				2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 5.1 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Probable	Definite	Wars / F	Immigrat	Inflatio	Health C	Election	Threats	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Progress	Liberal	Moderate	Conserva	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Web Pane	SMS-to-W
Approve	29%	33%	25%	33%	17%	31%	33%	23%	32%	28%	30%	31%	33%	28%	18%	31%	22%	43%	25%	23%	58%	13%	57%	3%	26%	5%	6%	19%	59%	59%	2%	44%	31%	23%	20%	37%	26%	29%	28%	25%	29%	29%	21%	36%
Disapprove	61%	59%	63%	60%	68%	62%	57%	65%	59%	61%	62%	60%	54%	64%	68%	60%	75%	42%	64%	71%	28%	85%	29%	94%	47%	95%	91%	71%	26%	27%	95%	46%	57%	69%	66%	56%	64%	63%	59%	68%	61%	59%	67%	56%
Not Sure	10%	8%	12%	7%	15%	7%	10%	12%	9%	11%	8%	9%	13%	9%	14%	9%	3%	15%	11%	6%	14%	2%	14%	3%	27%	0%	3%	10%	15%	14%	3%	10%	11%	9%	14%	7%	10%	9%	12%	7%	10%	12%	12%	8%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	50%	50%	15%	21%	26%	37%	36%	64%	71%	22%	7%	20%	79%	15%	85%	6%	6%	26%	10%	17%	23%	45%	48%	8%	9%	22%	28%	35%	44%	46%	13%	36%	51%	18%	32%	50%	71%	29%	20%	70%	10%	48%	52%

Do you think the war in Iran is making Americans safer or less safe?

522 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent		Likely Voter		Biggest Issue						Party			Ideology				2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Probable	Definite	Wars / F	Immigrat	Inflatio	Health C	Election	Threats	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Progress	Liberal	Moderate	Conserva	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Web Pane	SMS-to-W
Safer	29%	37%	21%	35%	19%	30%	32%	26%	31%	30%	24%	34%	28%	29%	22%	30%	25%	44%	23%	15%	59%	13%	56%	3%	33%	5%	8%	22%	56%	58%	3%	37%	31%	25%	23%	35%	27%	28%	29%	22%	29%	33%	22%	36%
Less Safe	57%	55%	59%	44%	66%	56%	58%	57%	57%	56%	61%	58%	52%	58%	59%	57%	68%	47%	58%	50%	33%	84%	23%	91%	43%	92%	90%	62%	25%	22%	91%	43%	54%	63%	55%	55%	59%	59%	53%	65%	57%	48%	59%	55%
Not Sure	14%	8%	19%	21%	15%	15%	10%	18%	12%	14%	15%	8%	20%	13%	20%	13%	7%	9%	19%	35%	8%	2%	21%	6%	24%	3%	2%	16%	19%	20%	6%	20%	15%	12%	21%	10%	14%	13%	17%	13%	14%	19%	19%	9%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	50%	50%	15%	21%	26%	37%	36%	64%	71%	22%	7%	20%	79%	15%	85%	6%	6%	26%	10%	17%	23%	45%	48%	8%	9%	22%	28%	35%	44%	46%	13%	36%	51%	18%	32%	50%	71%	29%	20%	70%	10%	48%	52%

Which of the following would you say is the biggest issue facing Congress right now? (Choices rotated)

522 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race			Parent		Likely Voter		Biggest Issue						Party			Ideology				2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Hispanic	Other	Yes	No	Probable	Definite	Wars / F	Immigrat	Inflatio	Health C	Election	Threats	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Progress	Liberal	Moderate	Conserva	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Web Pane	SMS-to-W
Wars / Foreign Policy	6%	5%	6%	8%	5%	6%	5%	6%	5%	5%	8%	5%	5%	6%	8%	5%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	8%	3%	7%	0%	4%	6%	7%	7%	4%	5%	5%	6%	3%	10%	4%	6%	5%	9%	4%	7%	6%	5%
Immigration Enforcement	6%	6%	6%	13%	2%	3%	7%	7%	6%	5%	11%	6%	6%	5%	8%	6%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	8%	4%	7%	0%	8%	3%	8%	7%	4%	10%	5%	5%	4%	7%	5%	5%	8%	3%	5%	10%	5%	7%
Inflation / Economy	26%	28%	23%	26%	32%	26%	22%	29%	24%	27%	23%	24%	34%	24%	28%	25%	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	24%	28%	22%	14%	32%	32%	23%	27%	26%	14%	27%	27%	24%	21%	29%	26%	24%	24%	27%	19%	31%	21%
Tariffs / Trade	3%	4%	2%	3%	7%	2%	1%	5%	2%	2%	6%	5%	5%	3%	7%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	3%	15%	1%	5%	3%	2%	2%	2%	4%	4%	2%	5%	3%	3%	3%	3%	5%	3%	0%	5%	2%
Climate Change / Environment	3%	3%	4%	5%	2%	6%	1%	3%	3%	3%	3%	7%	5%	3%	5%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	4%	7%	7%	4%	3%	0%	1%	3%	5%	3%	3%	5%	3%	3%	2%	6%	6%	2%	5%	4%	3%
Border Security	2%	3%	2%	6%	2%	2%	1%	4%	2%	3%	1%	1%	1%	3%	5%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	5%	0%	0%	0%	1%	3%	3%	5%	1%	4%	4%	1%	4%	4%	1%	1%	5%	1%	2%	2%	3%	2%
Health Care / Medicare / Medicaid	10%	5%	14%	11%	10%	10%	9%	10%	9%	10%	10%	9%	15%	9%	19%	8%	0%	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	10%	10%	8%	7%	8%	10%	11%	9%	9%	20%	9%	8%	18%	10%	7%	11%	8%	10%	10%	10%	12%	8%
Election Security / Voting Rights	17%	19%	15%	6%	16%	16%	23%	12%	20%	17%	19%	12%	10%	19%	10%	18%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%	0%	29%	7%	13%	9%	6%	11%	32%	30%	7%	22%	19%	15%	12%	21%	17%	16%	19%	17%	15%	33%	11%	22%
Threats To Democracy	23%	25%	21%	17%	16%	24%	28%	17%	26%	24%	17%	26%	14%	25%	6%	26%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%	8%	38%	13%	61%	32%	22%	9%	7%	41%	8%	20%	28%	16%	18%	28%	26%	15%	18%	26%	12%	18%	27%
Other	2%	2%	3%	0%	5%	2%	1%	3%	1%	2%	0%	4%	3%	2%	1%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	3%	1%	0%	0%	0%	3%	3%	3%	1%	2%	1%	3%	2%	0%	3%	3%	1%	3%	2%	0%	1%	3%
Not Sure	2%	0%	5%	5%	2%	3%	1%	3%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	2%	8%	0%	0%	3%	1%	2%	2%	7%	3%	1%	7%	2%	1%	1%	5%	3%	2%	2%	4%	1%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	50%	50%	15%	21%	26%	37%	36%	64%	71%	22%	7%	20%	79%	15%	85%	6%	6%	26%	10%	17%	23%	45%	48%	8%	9%	22%	28%	35%	44%	46%	13%	36%	51%	18%	32%	50%	71%	29%	20%	70%	10%	48%	52%