Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #27917
 
Lindell Has Edge in MN Republican Governor Primary; Tafoya Leads 2:1 in GOP Senate Race; Craig Edges Flanagan in DFL Senate Primary:

Two months from Minnesota's primary elections, SurveyUSA's latest polling for KSTP-TV Minneapolis, KAAL-TV Rochester, and WDIO-TV Duluth shows Mike Lindell, Michele Tafoya, and Angie Craig with the advantages in their respective races, and incumbent Attorney General Keith Ellison leading in the November race to retain his seat.

In the Republican primary for Governor, MAGA activist and MyPillow founder Mike Lindell takes 27% in a primary today, 5 points ahead of State House Speaker Lisa Demuth, at 22%, and 10 points atop tech exec Kendall Qualls, who is at 17%. 10% of likely Republican primary voters say they will vote for one of the other Republicans in the race; another 1 in 4 voters, 24%, are undecided.

Lindell dominates by more than 2:1 in both Western Minnesota, where he takes 39% of the vote, and Southern Minnesota, where he takes 31%. Demuth leads Lindell by 8 points in the Northeastern part of the state and by a nominal 2 points in the Twin Cities area, where she takes 26%, Lindell 24%, and Qualls 23%. Lindell also leads by 2:1 or more among voters 35 to 49, among very conservative voters, among those with high school educations, and among those who rent their homes. Demuth leads by 8 points among the oldest and most reliable voters, and is effectively tied with Lindell, holding a nominal one-point lead, among those age 50 to 64. While Lindell leads among very conservative voters, those who describe themselves as somewhat conservative prefer Demuth by a slim 3-point margin, and moderates do so by a 5-point margin. Those who say they will probably vote in the August primary break 27% for Lindell, 14% for Qualls, and 13% for Demuth. The contest is closer among those who say they are certain to vote: 27% for Lindell, 26% for Demuth, 19% for Qualls. Voters who say inflation is the most important issue in their votes this year, 33% of Republican primary voters, go 27% to Lindell, 26% to Demuth, 18% to Qualls. Those who say immigration is most important, 26%, go 30% for Lindell, 24% for Demuth, 19% for Qualls. Qualls runs most strongly among the 8% who say health care is most important, where he takes 28% of the vote, versus 22% for Demuth and 18% for Lindell.

In the Republican Primary for US Senate, former sportscaster Michele Tafoya takes 36% of the vote today, well ahead of former NBA player and 2024 Senate nominee Royce White at 15%, retired Navy SEAL Adam Schwarze at 7%, and retired Navy officer Tom Weiler, also at 7%. 8% would vote for someone else; 27% are undecided.

Tafoya leads in all regions of the state, leading her nearest opponents by more than 4:1 in Southern Minnesota, by 3:1 in the Twin Cities area, and by 2:1 in Northeastern Minnesota. The contest is closer in Western Minnesota, where Tafoya takes 27% to White's 23%, with the other named candidates far behind at 5-6%. Tafoya leads among most demographic groups, with two exceptions: among probable primary voters, where White leads with 23%, Tafoya takes 18%, Schwarze gets 12%, and Weiler takes 8%; and among those with the lowest household incomes, where White leads Tafoya by a nominal point, 21% to 20%, with Schwarze at 7% and Weiler at 3%.

Looking at shared support across the two Republican primary contests:
  • Tafoya gets the lion's share of both Demuth and Lindell's primary voters: 59% of Demuth voters also vote for Tafoya, 4½ times as many as choose any of the other candidates; 42% of Lindell's voters vote for Tafoya, with less than half as many, 19%, going to White, 12% to Schwarze, and 9% to Weiler.
  • Those voting for Qualls for Governor split their vote more evenly: 32% of Qualls voters are with Tafoya, 28% with Royce; 13% vote for Weiler; 12% for Schwarze.
  • Those who vote for Tafoya for Senate, meanwhile, split their gubernatorial votes between Demuth (36%) and Lindell (31%), with another 15% going with Qualls.
  • Royce White's voters divide their votes differently: 35% go with Lindell, 32% Qualls; just 19% prefer Demuth.
  • Schwarze's voters break 46% for Lindell, 28% for Qualls, 20% for Demuth.
  • Weiler's voters go 34% for Lindell, 31% for Qualls, and 12% for Demuth.
Switching gears to look at the DFL primary for US Senate, SurveyUSA finds MN-02 representative Angie Craig leading Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan by 5 points, 41% to 36%, with 6% intending to vote for another DFL candidate and 18% undecided. Craig runs most strongly among the oldest voters, taking 59% among those 65+ and 52% among all voters over age 49, as well as 52% of moderates. Flanagan performs best among those aged 35 to 49, parents of children under age 18, and those with college degrees, taking 44% of the vote in each of those groups. Flanagan leads by 7 points in Western Minnesota; Craig leads by 8 in the Twin Cities area and has nominal 2-point advantages in the rest of the state. Ideologically, very liberal voters in the DFL primary prefer Flanagan by 16 points; somewhat liberal voters prefer Craig by 9. There is also a 16-point gender gap in the race: men vote for Craig by a 13-point margin, while women give Flanagan a 3-point edge.

Looking ahead to the November general election match-up for Attorney General, incumbent DFL candidate Keith Ellison leads attorney Ron Schutz by 7 points, 44% to 37%, with 19% undecided. Both candidates have strong leads among their partisan and ideological groups; elsewhere, leads are smaller. Schutz leads by 14 points in rural parts of the state, by 10 in Western Minnesota, by 7 points in Southern Minnesota, and by 4 in the Northeastern part of the state. Ellison leads by 8 points in the suburbs, by 28 points in urban areas, and by 17 points in the greater Twin Cities.

Fully crosstabbed results follow ...
 
About the Research / Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,025 adults from the state of Minnesota 06/11/26 through 06/16/26. Of the adults, 1,774 were identified as being registered to vote; of the registered voters, 450 were identified as being likely to vote in the Republican primary and asked Q4 and Q5 below; 513 were identified as being likely to vote in the DFL primary and asked Q6 below; 1,440 were identified as being likely to vote in the November general election and asked Q8 and Q9. The combined pool of survey respondents was weighted to US Census ACS targets for gender, age, race, education, and home ownership.
 
1Are you registered to vote in the state of Minnesota?
2025 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+ParentParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedLikely PrimaryGOP Governor VoteGOP Senate VoteLikely NovemberTop Issue2024 VoteEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 1.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesNoRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalProbableDefiniteQuallsDemuthLindellSchwarzeTafoyaWhiteWeilerProbableDefiniteInflatioGas PricHealth CImmigratTrumpHarrisHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Yes88%89%86%81%85%90%96%83%93%86%89%94%93%85%95%95%86%94%91%95%86%93%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%97%97%78%88%96%75%89%94%92%77%84%90%87%89%87%87%84%
No11%9%12%17%13%7%4%15%6%12%10%5%6%13%5%5%12%5%7%5%12%6%---------------3%3%18%11%4%21%10%4%7%19%13%9%11%9%11%13%13%
Not Sure2%2%2%2%2%2%0%2%1%2%2%0%1%2%0%0%2%1%2%0%2%1%---------------0%0%4%1%0%4%1%1%1%4%3%1%1%2%2%0%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%50%50%29%25%25%22%53%47%29%69%28%33%29%11%20%31%15%12%31%31%27%23%46%17%22%27%7%36%15%7%18%63%39%6%12%12%36%40%30%33%37%25%34%40%72%28%26%46%28%59%12%16%14%
 
2Minnesota will hold primary elections for Governor, United States Senator, and other offices in August. Many people don't have the time to vote in primary elections. Thinking ahead to August, are you ... ?
1774 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+ParentParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedLikely PrimaryGOP Governor VoteGOP Senate VoteLikely NovemberTop Issue2024 VoteEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesNoRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalProbableDefiniteQuallsDemuthLindellSchwarzeTafoyaWhiteWeilerProbableDefiniteInflatioGas PricHealth CImmigratTrumpHarrisHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Unlikely To Have Time9%10%8%12%8%8%9%10%8%8%9%5%4%17%9%7%12%4%4%8%12%4%0%0%-------7%4%5%3%4%6%8%7%10%11%7%12%8%9%9%10%9%9%10%9%8%8%12%
Might Or Might Not Find Time22%22%22%25%24%24%13%25%18%23%21%22%17%26%17%24%25%23%12%22%25%18%0%0%-------23%10%15%10%14%8%18%18%24%21%20%29%21%19%19%29%19%23%22%23%15%22%19%
Will Probably Vote In The Primary23%23%23%27%24%23%18%26%21%23%23%25%23%21%16%25%24%23%24%22%24%24%100%0%25%19%31%40%23%33%25%62%16%26%31%28%26%25%22%23%27%21%22%26%22%23%25%22%23%24%21%28%26%23%
Will Definitely Vote In The Primary46%45%47%36%44%46%59%40%52%46%46%48%56%36%57%44%39%50%60%49%39%54%0%100%75%81%69%60%77%67%75%8%70%54%56%54%60%49%53%43%41%52%38%45%51%50%35%51%44%45%46%48%43%46%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%51%49%26%24%26%24%50%50%29%70%30%35%28%12%21%30%16%12%34%30%29%23%46%17%22%27%7%36%15%7%18%63%39%6%12%12%39%44%27%33%40%22%35%43%75%25%25%47%28%59%12%15%13%
 
3In the primary, are you certain to vote a Republican ballot? Certain to vote a DFL ballot? Or not certain?
1227 Likely Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+ParentParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedLikely PrimaryGOP Governor VoteGOP Senate VoteLikely NovemberTop Issue2024 VoteEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesNoRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalProbableDefiniteQuallsDemuthLindellSchwarzeTafoyaWhiteWeilerProbableDefiniteInflatioGas PricHealth CImmigratTrumpHarrisHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Republican37%40%33%28%34%42%41%31%42%39%36%90%4%28%91%76%25%3%3%82%25%3%34%38%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%38%37%32%44%24%75%80%2%44%38%31%33%40%36%39%27%31%35%46%33%45%42%36%
DFL42%39%45%48%36%38%45%42%41%34%45%3%86%29%4%7%40%87%91%5%40%89%36%45%-------31%45%49%35%54%16%4%80%32%37%51%38%42%44%41%45%48%44%33%48%31%31%40%
Not Certain21%21%22%23%30%20%14%26%17%26%19%7%10%44%6%17%35%10%5%13%35%8%30%17%-------30%18%20%21%22%9%16%18%23%25%18%29%18%21%20%28%21%22%21%19%24%27%24%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Primary Voters100%50%50%24%23%26%27%47%53%29%70%32%40%23%13%21%28%17%15%34%28%32%34%66%17%22%27%7%36%15%7%19%78%38%6%12%13%42%48%25%33%42%19%36%45%78%22%26%46%28%58%13%16%13%
 
If the Republican primary election for Governor were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated)
450 Likely Republican Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+ParentParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedLikely PrimaryGOP Governor VoteGOP Senate VoteLikely NovemberTop Issue2024 VoteEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 5.4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesNoRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalProbableDefiniteQuallsDemuthLindellSchwarzeTafoyaWhiteWeilerProbableDefiniteInflatioGas PricHealth CImmigratTrumpHarrisHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Kendall Qualls17%17%18%23%16%17%14%20%16%21%16%16%**19%17%19%13%****18%13%**14%19%100%0%0%28%15%32%31%16%17%18%7%28%19%16%**14%13%24%10%16%21%19%9%14%22%14%23%3%13%15%
Lisa Demuth22%22%22%5%16%26%33%11%30%17%24%22%**24%16%27%25%****22%25%**13%26%0%100%0%20%36%19%12%10%26%26%17%22%24%23%**12%24%29%19%20%25%25%9%24%23%20%26%14%17%24%
Mike Lindell27%31%23%27%35%25%25%31%25%35%24%28%**24%36%24%20%****29%20%**27%27%0%0%100%46%31%35%34%32%26%27%7%18%30%29%**31%28%24%35%26%26%26%35%31%25%28%24%31%39%18%
Another Republican10%11%8%22%7%5%10%14%7%10%10%10%**8%9%7%15%****8%15%**14%8%0%0%0%0%10%1%3%11%10%8%21%20%7%10%**16%10%4%14%11%7%8%19%12%9%10%8%25%5%5%
Undecided24%19%29%23%27%27%19%25%23%17%26%23%**24%22%24%27%****23%27%**32%20%0%0%0%6%8%13%19%31%21%21%47%12%20%23%**26%25%19%22%27%21%23%28%19%21%28%18%27%25%38%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Republican Primary Voters100%54%46%19%22%29%30%40%60%31%68%78%4%17%32%44%19%1%1%76%19%3%31%69%17%22%27%7%36%15%7%19%78%33%7%8%26%91%3%31%34%35%17%39%44%84%16%22%43%35%53%16%18%13%
 
If the Republican primary election for United States Senate were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated)
450 Likely Republican Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+ParentParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedLikely PrimaryGOP Governor VoteGOP Senate VoteLikely NovemberTop Issue2024 VoteEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 5.4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesNoRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalProbableDefiniteQuallsDemuthLindellSchwarzeTafoyaWhiteWeilerProbableDefiniteInflatioGas PricHealth CImmigratTrumpHarrisHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Adam Schwarze7%7%7%9%11%5%4%10%5%10%6%7%**4%10%6%3%****8%3%**9%6%12%6%12%100%0%0%0%12%5%4%5%13%8%8%**4%6%11%7%7%7%7%6%10%8%5%9%5%5%3%
Michele Tafoya36%43%28%21%30%39%48%26%44%28%40%37%**39%36%43%29%****40%29%**27%41%32%59%42%0%100%0%0%18%42%37%21%29%42%38%**36%32%41%20%42%37%38%30%31%42%33%39%40%27%34%
Royce White15%12%18%17%15%13%15%16%14%18%13%16%**13%19%14%14%****16%14%**16%15%28%13%19%0%0%100%0%23%12%19%5%13%16%15%**15%16%14%21%9%17%14%17%10%13%21%13%9%23%17%
Tom Weiler7%7%7%10%11%7%2%11%4%14%4%6%**6%5%5%12%****5%12%**6%8%13%4%9%0%0%0%100%8%6%5%4%18%3%6%**8%6%7%3%6%10%7%5%10%6%7%7%4%6%13%
Another Republican8%9%7%17%10%5%4%13%5%10%8%8%**9%6%6%14%****6%14%**9%8%1%8%3%0%0%0%0%10%7%7%24%16%6%9%**13%7%5%10%11%5%6%18%18%6%5%9%6%8%6%
Undecided27%21%33%26%22%32%25%24%28%20%30%26%**29%25%27%28%****26%28%**34%23%14%11%15%0%0%0%0%29%26%29%41%12%26%25%**25%33%22%39%25%23%27%23%21%26%30%22%36%31%28%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Republican Primary Voters100%54%46%19%22%29%30%40%60%31%68%78%4%17%32%44%19%1%1%76%19%3%31%69%17%22%27%7%36%15%7%19%78%33%7%8%26%91%3%31%34%35%17%39%44%84%16%22%43%35%53%16%18%13%
 
If the DFL primary election for United States Senate were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated)
513 Likely DFL Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+ParentParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedLikely PrimaryGOP Governor VoteGOP Senate VoteLikely NovemberTop Issue2024 VoteEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesNoRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalProbableDefiniteQuallsDemuthLindellSchwarzeTafoyaWhiteWeilerProbableDefiniteInflatioGas PricHealth CImmigratTrumpHarrisHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Peggy Flanagan36%34%38%36%44%40%26%40%32%44%34%**36%36%****30%36%41%**30%38%29%38%-------29%37%35%**31%****37%25%28%44%28%31%42%36%35%43%31%37%35%37%42%33%
Angie Craig41%47%35%29%27%43%59%28%52%34%42%**40%46%****52%45%25%**52%36%41%40%-------42%40%44%**47%****41%47%41%38%35%44%40%45%27%34%45%40%43%39%35%35%
Another DFL Candidate6%6%6%9%12%0%2%10%2%8%5%**5%1%****5%3%7%**5%5%4%6%-------6%5%4%**8%****5%12%6%3%8%6%4%5%8%5%6%7%4%7%8%10%
Undecided18%14%21%26%17%16%13%22%14%14%19%**19%17%****13%16%26%**13%21%26%15%-------24%18%17%**14%****17%16%25%15%29%19%14%15%30%19%18%16%18%18%15%22%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely DFL Primary Voters100%46%54%28%20%23%29%48%52%24%76%2%82%16%1%3%26%36%33%4%26%69%29%71%       14%83%43%5%16%5%4%91%20%29%51%17%36%47%77%23%30%48%22%66%10%11%12%
 
7Minnesota will hold a general election for Governor, for United States Senate, and for other offices in November. Many people don't have the time to vote in every election. Thinking ahead to November, are you ... ?
1774 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+ParentParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedLikely PrimaryGOP Governor VoteGOP Senate VoteLikely NovemberTop Issue2024 VoteEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 2.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesNoRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalProbableDefiniteQuallsDemuthLindellSchwarzeTafoyaWhiteWeilerProbableDefiniteInflatioGas PricHealth CImmigratTrumpHarrisHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Unlikely To Have Time5%5%4%9%5%4%1%7%3%4%5%3%3%7%5%2%4%3%2%3%4%2%1%0%2%0%0%1%0%2%0%0%0%----3%3%7%4%3%8%4%4%4%8%5%5%4%4%7%3%6%
Might Or Might Not Find Time14%14%14%23%16%11%5%20%8%13%14%16%9%14%10%15%17%10%4%13%17%8%8%1%2%1%4%6%0%4%9%0%0%----12%8%20%16%8%27%12%9%11%23%13%13%16%15%12%14%12%
Will Probably Vote18%18%19%26%22%15%9%24%12%23%16%21%17%17%17%20%22%16%15%19%22%15%49%3%18%9%23%32%10%30%21%100%0%23%31%28%15%21%16%18%21%16%19%20%16%16%24%21%18%17%18%18%22%17%
Will Definitely Vote63%63%63%42%57%69%85%49%77%60%65%60%71%62%68%62%57%71%79%64%57%74%43%95%78%90%74%60%90%64%69%0%100%77%69%72%85%64%73%55%58%72%47%64%70%69%45%61%64%63%63%62%61%66%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%51%49%26%24%26%24%50%50%29%70%30%35%28%12%21%30%16%12%34%30%29%23%46%17%22%27%7%36%15%7%18%63%39%6%12%12%39%44%27%33%40%22%35%43%75%25%25%47%28%59%12%15%13%
 
If the November election for Minnesota Attorney General were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for?
1440 Likely November VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+ParentParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedLikely PrimaryGOP Governor VoteGOP Senate VoteLikely NovemberTop Issue2024 VoteEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesNoRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalProbableDefiniteQuallsDemuthLindellSchwarzeTafoyaWhiteWeilerProbableDefiniteInflatioGas PricHealth CImmigratTrumpHarrisHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Ron Schutz (R)37%40%33%29%33%43%41%31%42%40%36%82%4%37%83%77%26%3%4%79%26%3%35%39%86%94%87%91%95%90%63%35%37%32%35%20%75%79%3%40%42%31%32%40%37%40%26%25%37%48%33%43%45%40%
Keith Ellison (DFL)44%43%45%49%42%41%44%46%43%43%45%6%84%35%8%8%46%82%88%8%46%85%41%46%9%4%7%9%4%7%17%37%46%49%36%61%15%7%82%35%37%54%36%42%48%43%47%53%45%34%50%36%35%36%
Undecided19%17%21%22%25%16%15%23%15%17%19%12%12%28%8%14%28%15%7%12%28%12%25%15%5%3%6%0%1%3%19%27%17%19%29%20%10%14%15%25%20%15%32%18%15%17%27%22%18%18%18%20%20%23%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%50%50%22%23%27%28%45%55%30%70%30%38%27%13%22%29%18%14%35%29%32%26%56%17%23%27%7%38%14%7%23%77%39%6%12%12%41%48%24%32%44%18%36%46%79%21%25%47%27%59%12%16%13%
 
9Which one issue will be most important to you in your votes this year? (issues rotated)
1440 Likely November VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+ParentParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedLikely PrimaryGOP Governor VoteGOP Senate VoteLikely NovemberTop Issue2024 VoteEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesNoRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalProbableDefiniteQuallsDemuthLindellSchwarzeTafoyaWhiteWeilerProbableDefiniteInflatioGas PricHealth CImmigratTrumpHarrisHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralTwin CitS MNW MNNE MN
Inflation / The Cost Of Living39%40%38%39%39%37%40%39%38%39%38%34%44%39%25%37%46%44%39%33%46%42%39%37%35%38%33%20%32%43%23%39%39%100%0%0%0%35%43%41%39%37%35%42%38%39%38%40%39%38%39%40%36%41%
War In Iran5%5%5%7%4%4%6%5%5%5%5%2%5%7%5%3%3%9%6%4%3%8%6%4%2%1%6%3%2%4%3%7%4%0%0%0%0%3%6%2%7%5%5%5%5%5%6%5%4%6%5%5%6%4%
Gas Prices6%6%5%7%7%6%3%7%5%7%5%7%5%6%3%4%9%3%4%4%9%4%7%6%3%5%2%6%4%2%5%8%5%0%100%0%0%6%5%8%5%5%6%6%5%5%8%6%6%5%6%5%3%8%
Health Care12%13%12%11%11%14%13%11%13%10%14%8%15%14%10%7%14%16%16%8%14%16%13%12%13%8%5%15%6%7%22%15%12%0%0%100%0%8%17%12%11%13%17%9%13%12%13%13%13%10%13%12%13%9%
Education4%4%4%5%6%3%1%6%2%6%3%3%5%3%1%4%3%4%4%3%3%4%3%3%6%0%4%3%3%2%9%5%3%0%0%0%0%4%4%1%4%5%2%4%4%3%4%4%3%5%3%3%5%7%
Jobs3%4%3%5%6%3%1%5%2%5%3%3%3%3%4%3%5%1%4%3%5%2%3%4%2%1%5%1%4%1%9%4%3%0%0%0%0%4%3%4%3%3%3%4%3%3%4%4%3%3%4%3%1%3%
Crime In Your Neighborhood2%2%2%3%3%3%0%3%2%3%2%4%1%2%5%3%2%2%1%4%2%1%2%3%0%5%7%2%6%7%2%3%2%0%0%0%0%4%1%2%2%3%2%2%3%2%3%3%2%2%2%2%3%3%
Abortion3%2%3%5%2%2%2%4%2%3%3%3%3%2%6%1%2%3%4%3%2%3%3%3%1%2%3%4%3%1%3%2%3%0%0%0%0%2%3%2%4%2%4%2%3%3%3%2%4%2%3%3%2%2%
Gun Control4%2%6%3%3%4%6%3%5%4%4%2%6%2%2%2%4%6%4%2%4%6%4%4%0%3%1%0%2%2%8%3%4%0%0%0%0%1%6%4%3%4%4%3%4%4%3%4%4%3%5%1%2%4%
Immigration12%11%13%11%9%13%15%10%14%11%12%23%5%10%27%22%6%3%7%24%6%5%12%13%29%27%28%29%28%28%11%8%13%0%0%0%100%22%4%12%13%11%9%15%11%13%8%9%12%15%12%13%16%7%
Other7%7%6%3%4%7%11%4%9%4%8%7%4%10%10%8%5%5%6%9%5%5%4%7%7%9%5%16%9%3%5%2%8%0%0%0%0%9%5%5%6%7%5%5%8%7%4%6%6%8%6%8%8%7%
Not Sure4%4%4%3%5%4%3%4%4%4%4%2%4%2%3%4%0%4%4%3%0%4%4%4%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%3%4%0%0%0%0%2%3%7%2%4%7%2%4%4%5%4%4%4%3%4%7%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%50%50%22%23%27%28%45%55%30%70%30%38%27%13%22%29%18%14%35%29%32%26%56%17%23%27%7%38%14%7%23%77%39%6%12%12%41%48%24%32%44%18%36%46%79%21%25%47%27%59%12%16%13%
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.