| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #27917 |
| Lindell Has Edge in MN Republican Governor Primary; Tafoya Leads 2:1 in GOP Senate Race; Craig Edges Flanagan in DFL Senate Primary:
Two months from Minnesota's primary elections, SurveyUSA's latest polling for KSTP-TV Minneapolis, KAAL-TV Rochester, and WDIO-TV Duluth shows Mike Lindell, Michele Tafoya, and Angie Craig with the advantages in their respective races, and incumbent Attorney General Keith Ellison leading in the November race to retain his seat. In the Republican primary for Governor, MAGA activist and MyPillow founder Mike Lindell takes 27% in a primary today, 5 points ahead of State House Speaker Lisa Demuth, at 22%, and 10 points atop tech exec Kendall Qualls, who is at 17%. 10% of likely Republican primary voters say they will vote for one of the other Republicans in the race; another 1 in 4 voters, 24%, are undecided. Lindell dominates by more than 2:1 in both Western Minnesota, where he takes 39% of the vote, and Southern Minnesota, where he takes 31%. Demuth leads Lindell by 8 points in the Northeastern part of the state and by a nominal 2 points in the Twin Cities area, where she takes 26%, Lindell 24%, and Qualls 23%. Lindell also leads by 2:1 or more among voters 35 to 49, among very conservative voters, among those with high school educations, and among those who rent their homes. Demuth leads by 8 points among the oldest and most reliable voters, and is effectively tied with Lindell, holding a nominal one-point lead, among those age 50 to 64. While Lindell leads among very conservative voters, those who describe themselves as somewhat conservative prefer Demuth by a slim 3-point margin, and moderates do so by a 5-point margin. Those who say they will probably vote in the August primary break 27% for Lindell, 14% for Qualls, and 13% for Demuth. The contest is closer among those who say they are certain to vote: 27% for Lindell, 26% for Demuth, 19% for Qualls. Voters who say inflation is the most important issue in their votes this year, 33% of Republican primary voters, go 27% to Lindell, 26% to Demuth, 18% to Qualls. Those who say immigration is most important, 26%, go 30% for Lindell, 24% for Demuth, 19% for Qualls. Qualls runs most strongly among the 8% who say health care is most important, where he takes 28% of the vote, versus 22% for Demuth and 18% for Lindell. In the Republican Primary for US Senate, former sportscaster Michele Tafoya takes 36% of the vote today, well ahead of former NBA player and 2024 Senate nominee Royce White at 15%, retired Navy SEAL Adam Schwarze at 7%, and retired Navy officer Tom Weiler, also at 7%. 8% would vote for someone else; 27% are undecided. Tafoya leads in all regions of the state, leading her nearest opponents by more than 4:1 in Southern Minnesota, by 3:1 in the Twin Cities area, and by 2:1 in Northeastern Minnesota. The contest is closer in Western Minnesota, where Tafoya takes 27% to White's 23%, with the other named candidates far behind at 5-6%. Tafoya leads among most demographic groups, with two exceptions: among probable primary voters, where White leads with 23%, Tafoya takes 18%, Schwarze gets 12%, and Weiler takes 8%; and among those with the lowest household incomes, where White leads Tafoya by a nominal point, 21% to 20%, with Schwarze at 7% and Weiler at 3%. Looking at shared support across the two Republican primary contests:
Looking ahead to the November general election match-up for Attorney General, incumbent DFL candidate Keith Ellison leads attorney Ron Schutz by 7 points, 44% to 37%, with 19% undecided. Both candidates have strong leads among their partisan and ideological groups; elsewhere, leads are smaller. Schutz leads by 14 points in rural parts of the state, by 10 in Western Minnesota, by 7 points in Southern Minnesota, and by 4 in the Northeastern part of the state. Ellison leads by 8 points in the suburbs, by 28 points in urban areas, and by 17 points in the greater Twin Cities. Fully crosstabbed results follow ... |
| About the Research / Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,025 adults from the state of Minnesota 06/11/26 through 06/16/26. Of the adults, 1,774 were identified as being registered to vote; of the registered voters, 450 were identified as being likely to vote in the Republican primary and asked Q4 and Q5 below; 513 were identified as being likely to vote in the DFL primary and asked Q6 below; 1,440 were identified as being likely to vote in the November general election and asked Q8 and Q9. The combined pool of survey respondents was weighted to US Census ACS targets for gender, age, race, education, and home ownership. |
| 1 | Are you registered to vote in the state of Minnesota? |
| 2025 Adults | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Parent | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Primary | GOP Governor Vote | GOP Senate Vote | Likely November | Top Issue | 2024 Vote | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 1.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Probable | Definite | Qualls | Demuth | Lindell | Schwarze | Tafoya | White | Weiler | Probable | Definite | Inflatio | Gas Pric | Health C | Immigrat | Trump | Harris | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Twin Cit | S MN | W MN | NE MN | |
| Yes | 88% | 89% | 86% | 81% | 85% | 90% | 96% | 83% | 93% | 86% | 89% | 94% | 93% | 85% | 95% | 95% | 86% | 94% | 91% | 95% | 86% | 93% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 97% | 97% | 78% | 88% | 96% | 75% | 89% | 94% | 92% | 77% | 84% | 90% | 87% | 89% | 87% | 87% | 84% |
| No | 11% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 15% | 6% | 12% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 12% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 12% | 6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3% | 3% | 18% | 11% | 4% | 21% | 10% | 4% | 7% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 11% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% |
| Not Sure | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Adults | 100% | 50% | 50% | 29% | 25% | 25% | 22% | 53% | 47% | 29% | 69% | 28% | 33% | 29% | 11% | 20% | 31% | 15% | 12% | 31% | 31% | 27% | 23% | 46% | 17% | 22% | 27% | 7% | 36% | 15% | 7% | 18% | 63% | 39% | 6% | 12% | 12% | 36% | 40% | 30% | 33% | 37% | 25% | 34% | 40% | 72% | 28% | 26% | 46% | 28% | 59% | 12% | 16% | 14% |
| 2 | Minnesota will hold primary elections for Governor, United States Senator, and other offices in August. Many people don't have the time to vote in primary elections. Thinking ahead to August, are you ... ? |
| 1774 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Parent | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Primary | GOP Governor Vote | GOP Senate Vote | Likely November | Top Issue | 2024 Vote | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Probable | Definite | Qualls | Demuth | Lindell | Schwarze | Tafoya | White | Weiler | Probable | Definite | Inflatio | Gas Pric | Health C | Immigrat | Trump | Harris | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Twin Cit | S MN | W MN | NE MN | |
| Unlikely To Have Time | 9% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 17% | 9% | 7% | 12% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 4% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 7% | 12% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 12% |
| Might Or Might Not Find Time | 22% | 22% | 22% | 25% | 24% | 24% | 13% | 25% | 18% | 23% | 21% | 22% | 17% | 26% | 17% | 24% | 25% | 23% | 12% | 22% | 25% | 18% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 23% | 10% | 15% | 10% | 14% | 8% | 18% | 18% | 24% | 21% | 20% | 29% | 21% | 19% | 19% | 29% | 19% | 23% | 22% | 23% | 15% | 22% | 19% |
| Will Probably Vote In The Primary | 23% | 23% | 23% | 27% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 26% | 21% | 23% | 23% | 25% | 23% | 21% | 16% | 25% | 24% | 23% | 24% | 22% | 24% | 24% | 100% | 0% | 25% | 19% | 31% | 40% | 23% | 33% | 25% | 62% | 16% | 26% | 31% | 28% | 26% | 25% | 22% | 23% | 27% | 21% | 22% | 26% | 22% | 23% | 25% | 22% | 23% | 24% | 21% | 28% | 26% | 23% |
| Will Definitely Vote In The Primary | 46% | 45% | 47% | 36% | 44% | 46% | 59% | 40% | 52% | 46% | 46% | 48% | 56% | 36% | 57% | 44% | 39% | 50% | 60% | 49% | 39% | 54% | 0% | 100% | 75% | 81% | 69% | 60% | 77% | 67% | 75% | 8% | 70% | 54% | 56% | 54% | 60% | 49% | 53% | 43% | 41% | 52% | 38% | 45% | 51% | 50% | 35% | 51% | 44% | 45% | 46% | 48% | 43% | 46% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 51% | 49% | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | 50% | 50% | 29% | 70% | 30% | 35% | 28% | 12% | 21% | 30% | 16% | 12% | 34% | 30% | 29% | 23% | 46% | 17% | 22% | 27% | 7% | 36% | 15% | 7% | 18% | 63% | 39% | 6% | 12% | 12% | 39% | 44% | 27% | 33% | 40% | 22% | 35% | 43% | 75% | 25% | 25% | 47% | 28% | 59% | 12% | 15% | 13% |
| 3 | In the primary, are you certain to vote a Republican ballot? Certain to vote a DFL ballot? Or not certain? |
| 1227 Likely Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Parent | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Primary | GOP Governor Vote | GOP Senate Vote | Likely November | Top Issue | 2024 Vote | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Probable | Definite | Qualls | Demuth | Lindell | Schwarze | Tafoya | White | Weiler | Probable | Definite | Inflatio | Gas Pric | Health C | Immigrat | Trump | Harris | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Twin Cit | S MN | W MN | NE MN | |
| Republican | 37% | 40% | 33% | 28% | 34% | 42% | 41% | 31% | 42% | 39% | 36% | 90% | 4% | 28% | 91% | 76% | 25% | 3% | 3% | 82% | 25% | 3% | 34% | 38% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 38% | 37% | 32% | 44% | 24% | 75% | 80% | 2% | 44% | 38% | 31% | 33% | 40% | 36% | 39% | 27% | 31% | 35% | 46% | 33% | 45% | 42% | 36% |
| DFL | 42% | 39% | 45% | 48% | 36% | 38% | 45% | 42% | 41% | 34% | 45% | 3% | 86% | 29% | 4% | 7% | 40% | 87% | 91% | 5% | 40% | 89% | 36% | 45% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 31% | 45% | 49% | 35% | 54% | 16% | 4% | 80% | 32% | 37% | 51% | 38% | 42% | 44% | 41% | 45% | 48% | 44% | 33% | 48% | 31% | 31% | 40% |
| Not Certain | 21% | 21% | 22% | 23% | 30% | 20% | 14% | 26% | 17% | 26% | 19% | 7% | 10% | 44% | 6% | 17% | 35% | 10% | 5% | 13% | 35% | 8% | 30% | 17% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 30% | 18% | 20% | 21% | 22% | 9% | 16% | 18% | 23% | 25% | 18% | 29% | 18% | 21% | 20% | 28% | 21% | 22% | 21% | 19% | 24% | 27% | 24% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Primary Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 24% | 23% | 26% | 27% | 47% | 53% | 29% | 70% | 32% | 40% | 23% | 13% | 21% | 28% | 17% | 15% | 34% | 28% | 32% | 34% | 66% | 17% | 22% | 27% | 7% | 36% | 15% | 7% | 19% | 78% | 38% | 6% | 12% | 13% | 42% | 48% | 25% | 33% | 42% | 19% | 36% | 45% | 78% | 22% | 26% | 46% | 28% | 58% | 13% | 16% | 13% |
![]() | If the Republican primary election for Governor were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) |
| 450 Likely Republican Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Parent | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Primary | GOP Governor Vote | GOP Senate Vote | Likely November | Top Issue | 2024 Vote | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Probable | Definite | Qualls | Demuth | Lindell | Schwarze | Tafoya | White | Weiler | Probable | Definite | Inflatio | Gas Pric | Health C | Immigrat | Trump | Harris | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Twin Cit | S MN | W MN | NE MN | |
| Kendall Qualls | 17% | 17% | 18% | 23% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 20% | 16% | 21% | 16% | 16% | ** | 19% | 17% | 19% | 13% | ** | ** | 18% | 13% | ** | 14% | 19% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 28% | 15% | 32% | 31% | 16% | 17% | 18% | 7% | 28% | 19% | 16% | ** | 14% | 13% | 24% | 10% | 16% | 21% | 19% | 9% | 14% | 22% | 14% | 23% | 3% | 13% | 15% |
| Lisa Demuth | 22% | 22% | 22% | 5% | 16% | 26% | 33% | 11% | 30% | 17% | 24% | 22% | ** | 24% | 16% | 27% | 25% | ** | ** | 22% | 25% | ** | 13% | 26% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 20% | 36% | 19% | 12% | 10% | 26% | 26% | 17% | 22% | 24% | 23% | ** | 12% | 24% | 29% | 19% | 20% | 25% | 25% | 9% | 24% | 23% | 20% | 26% | 14% | 17% | 24% |
| Mike Lindell | 27% | 31% | 23% | 27% | 35% | 25% | 25% | 31% | 25% | 35% | 24% | 28% | ** | 24% | 36% | 24% | 20% | ** | ** | 29% | 20% | ** | 27% | 27% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 46% | 31% | 35% | 34% | 32% | 26% | 27% | 7% | 18% | 30% | 29% | ** | 31% | 28% | 24% | 35% | 26% | 26% | 26% | 35% | 31% | 25% | 28% | 24% | 31% | 39% | 18% |
| Another Republican | 10% | 11% | 8% | 22% | 7% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 10% | ** | 8% | 9% | 7% | 15% | ** | ** | 8% | 15% | ** | 14% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 21% | 20% | 7% | 10% | ** | 16% | 10% | 4% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 8% | 19% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 25% | 5% | 5% |
| Undecided | 24% | 19% | 29% | 23% | 27% | 27% | 19% | 25% | 23% | 17% | 26% | 23% | ** | 24% | 22% | 24% | 27% | ** | ** | 23% | 27% | ** | 32% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 8% | 13% | 19% | 31% | 21% | 21% | 47% | 12% | 20% | 23% | ** | 26% | 25% | 19% | 22% | 27% | 21% | 23% | 28% | 19% | 21% | 28% | 18% | 27% | 25% | 38% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Republican Primary Voters | 100% | 54% | 46% | 19% | 22% | 29% | 30% | 40% | 60% | 31% | 68% | 78% | 4% | 17% | 32% | 44% | 19% | 1% | 1% | 76% | 19% | 3% | 31% | 69% | 17% | 22% | 27% | 7% | 36% | 15% | 7% | 19% | 78% | 33% | 7% | 8% | 26% | 91% | 3% | 31% | 34% | 35% | 17% | 39% | 44% | 84% | 16% | 22% | 43% | 35% | 53% | 16% | 18% | 13% |
![]() | If the Republican primary election for United States Senate were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) |
| 450 Likely Republican Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Parent | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Primary | GOP Governor Vote | GOP Senate Vote | Likely November | Top Issue | 2024 Vote | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Probable | Definite | Qualls | Demuth | Lindell | Schwarze | Tafoya | White | Weiler | Probable | Definite | Inflatio | Gas Pric | Health C | Immigrat | Trump | Harris | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Twin Cit | S MN | W MN | NE MN | |
| Adam Schwarze | 7% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 5% | 10% | 6% | 7% | ** | 4% | 10% | 6% | 3% | ** | ** | 8% | 3% | ** | 9% | 6% | 12% | 6% | 12% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 13% | 8% | 8% | ** | 4% | 6% | 11% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 3% |
| Michele Tafoya | 36% | 43% | 28% | 21% | 30% | 39% | 48% | 26% | 44% | 28% | 40% | 37% | ** | 39% | 36% | 43% | 29% | ** | ** | 40% | 29% | ** | 27% | 41% | 32% | 59% | 42% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 18% | 42% | 37% | 21% | 29% | 42% | 38% | ** | 36% | 32% | 41% | 20% | 42% | 37% | 38% | 30% | 31% | 42% | 33% | 39% | 40% | 27% | 34% |
| Royce White | 15% | 12% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 18% | 13% | 16% | ** | 13% | 19% | 14% | 14% | ** | ** | 16% | 14% | ** | 16% | 15% | 28% | 13% | 19% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 23% | 12% | 19% | 5% | 13% | 16% | 15% | ** | 15% | 16% | 14% | 21% | 9% | 17% | 14% | 17% | 10% | 13% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 23% | 17% |
| Tom Weiler | 7% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 7% | 2% | 11% | 4% | 14% | 4% | 6% | ** | 6% | 5% | 5% | 12% | ** | ** | 5% | 12% | ** | 6% | 8% | 13% | 4% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 18% | 3% | 6% | ** | 8% | 6% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 13% |
| Another Republican | 8% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 13% | 5% | 10% | 8% | 8% | ** | 9% | 6% | 6% | 14% | ** | ** | 6% | 14% | ** | 9% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 24% | 16% | 6% | 9% | ** | 13% | 7% | 5% | 10% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 18% | 18% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 6% |
| Undecided | 27% | 21% | 33% | 26% | 22% | 32% | 25% | 24% | 28% | 20% | 30% | 26% | ** | 29% | 25% | 27% | 28% | ** | ** | 26% | 28% | ** | 34% | 23% | 14% | 11% | 15% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 26% | 29% | 41% | 12% | 26% | 25% | ** | 25% | 33% | 22% | 39% | 25% | 23% | 27% | 23% | 21% | 26% | 30% | 22% | 36% | 31% | 28% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Republican Primary Voters | 100% | 54% | 46% | 19% | 22% | 29% | 30% | 40% | 60% | 31% | 68% | 78% | 4% | 17% | 32% | 44% | 19% | 1% | 1% | 76% | 19% | 3% | 31% | 69% | 17% | 22% | 27% | 7% | 36% | 15% | 7% | 19% | 78% | 33% | 7% | 8% | 26% | 91% | 3% | 31% | 34% | 35% | 17% | 39% | 44% | 84% | 16% | 22% | 43% | 35% | 53% | 16% | 18% | 13% |
![]() | If the DFL primary election for United States Senate were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) |
| 513 Likely DFL Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Parent | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Primary | GOP Governor Vote | GOP Senate Vote | Likely November | Top Issue | 2024 Vote | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Probable | Definite | Qualls | Demuth | Lindell | Schwarze | Tafoya | White | Weiler | Probable | Definite | Inflatio | Gas Pric | Health C | Immigrat | Trump | Harris | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Twin Cit | S MN | W MN | NE MN | |
| Peggy Flanagan | 36% | 34% | 38% | 36% | 44% | 40% | 26% | 40% | 32% | 44% | 34% | ** | 36% | 36% | ** | ** | 30% | 36% | 41% | ** | 30% | 38% | 29% | 38% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 29% | 37% | 35% | ** | 31% | ** | ** | 37% | 25% | 28% | 44% | 28% | 31% | 42% | 36% | 35% | 43% | 31% | 37% | 35% | 37% | 42% | 33% |
| Angie Craig | 41% | 47% | 35% | 29% | 27% | 43% | 59% | 28% | 52% | 34% | 42% | ** | 40% | 46% | ** | ** | 52% | 45% | 25% | ** | 52% | 36% | 41% | 40% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 42% | 40% | 44% | ** | 47% | ** | ** | 41% | 47% | 41% | 38% | 35% | 44% | 40% | 45% | 27% | 34% | 45% | 40% | 43% | 39% | 35% | 35% |
| Another DFL Candidate | 6% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 0% | 2% | 10% | 2% | 8% | 5% | ** | 5% | 1% | ** | ** | 5% | 3% | 7% | ** | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6% | 5% | 4% | ** | 8% | ** | ** | 5% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% |
| Undecided | 18% | 14% | 21% | 26% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 22% | 14% | 14% | 19% | ** | 19% | 17% | ** | ** | 13% | 16% | 26% | ** | 13% | 21% | 26% | 15% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 24% | 18% | 17% | ** | 14% | ** | ** | 17% | 16% | 25% | 15% | 29% | 19% | 14% | 15% | 30% | 19% | 18% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 22% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely DFL Primary Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 28% | 20% | 23% | 29% | 48% | 52% | 24% | 76% | 2% | 82% | 16% | 1% | 3% | 26% | 36% | 33% | 4% | 26% | 69% | 29% | 71% | 14% | 83% | 43% | 5% | 16% | 5% | 4% | 91% | 20% | 29% | 51% | 17% | 36% | 47% | 77% | 23% | 30% | 48% | 22% | 66% | 10% | 11% | 12% | |||||||
| 7 | Minnesota will hold a general election for Governor, for United States Senate, and for other offices in November. Many people don't have the time to vote in every election. Thinking ahead to November, are you ... ? |
| 1774 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Parent | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Primary | GOP Governor Vote | GOP Senate Vote | Likely November | Top Issue | 2024 Vote | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 2.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Probable | Definite | Qualls | Demuth | Lindell | Schwarze | Tafoya | White | Weiler | Probable | Definite | Inflatio | Gas Pric | Health C | Immigrat | Trump | Harris | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Twin Cit | S MN | W MN | NE MN | |
| Unlikely To Have Time | 5% | 5% | 4% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | 3% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 6% |
| Might Or Might Not Find Time | 14% | 14% | 14% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 5% | 20% | 8% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 9% | 14% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 17% | 8% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 0% | 4% | 9% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | 12% | 8% | 20% | 16% | 8% | 27% | 12% | 9% | 11% | 23% | 13% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 14% | 12% |
| Will Probably Vote | 18% | 18% | 19% | 26% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 24% | 12% | 23% | 16% | 21% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 20% | 22% | 16% | 15% | 19% | 22% | 15% | 49% | 3% | 18% | 9% | 23% | 32% | 10% | 30% | 21% | 100% | 0% | 23% | 31% | 28% | 15% | 21% | 16% | 18% | 21% | 16% | 19% | 20% | 16% | 16% | 24% | 21% | 18% | 17% | 18% | 18% | 22% | 17% |
| Will Definitely Vote | 63% | 63% | 63% | 42% | 57% | 69% | 85% | 49% | 77% | 60% | 65% | 60% | 71% | 62% | 68% | 62% | 57% | 71% | 79% | 64% | 57% | 74% | 43% | 95% | 78% | 90% | 74% | 60% | 90% | 64% | 69% | 0% | 100% | 77% | 69% | 72% | 85% | 64% | 73% | 55% | 58% | 72% | 47% | 64% | 70% | 69% | 45% | 61% | 64% | 63% | 63% | 62% | 61% | 66% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 51% | 49% | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | 50% | 50% | 29% | 70% | 30% | 35% | 28% | 12% | 21% | 30% | 16% | 12% | 34% | 30% | 29% | 23% | 46% | 17% | 22% | 27% | 7% | 36% | 15% | 7% | 18% | 63% | 39% | 6% | 12% | 12% | 39% | 44% | 27% | 33% | 40% | 22% | 35% | 43% | 75% | 25% | 25% | 47% | 28% | 59% | 12% | 15% | 13% |
![]() | If the November election for Minnesota Attorney General were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? |
| 1440 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Parent | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Primary | GOP Governor Vote | GOP Senate Vote | Likely November | Top Issue | 2024 Vote | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Probable | Definite | Qualls | Demuth | Lindell | Schwarze | Tafoya | White | Weiler | Probable | Definite | Inflatio | Gas Pric | Health C | Immigrat | Trump | Harris | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Twin Cit | S MN | W MN | NE MN | |
| Ron Schutz (R) | 37% | 40% | 33% | 29% | 33% | 43% | 41% | 31% | 42% | 40% | 36% | 82% | 4% | 37% | 83% | 77% | 26% | 3% | 4% | 79% | 26% | 3% | 35% | 39% | 86% | 94% | 87% | 91% | 95% | 90% | 63% | 35% | 37% | 32% | 35% | 20% | 75% | 79% | 3% | 40% | 42% | 31% | 32% | 40% | 37% | 40% | 26% | 25% | 37% | 48% | 33% | 43% | 45% | 40% |
| Keith Ellison (DFL) | 44% | 43% | 45% | 49% | 42% | 41% | 44% | 46% | 43% | 43% | 45% | 6% | 84% | 35% | 8% | 8% | 46% | 82% | 88% | 8% | 46% | 85% | 41% | 46% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 17% | 37% | 46% | 49% | 36% | 61% | 15% | 7% | 82% | 35% | 37% | 54% | 36% | 42% | 48% | 43% | 47% | 53% | 45% | 34% | 50% | 36% | 35% | 36% |
| Undecided | 19% | 17% | 21% | 22% | 25% | 16% | 15% | 23% | 15% | 17% | 19% | 12% | 12% | 28% | 8% | 14% | 28% | 15% | 7% | 12% | 28% | 12% | 25% | 15% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 19% | 27% | 17% | 19% | 29% | 20% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 25% | 20% | 15% | 32% | 18% | 15% | 17% | 27% | 22% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 23% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 22% | 23% | 27% | 28% | 45% | 55% | 30% | 70% | 30% | 38% | 27% | 13% | 22% | 29% | 18% | 14% | 35% | 29% | 32% | 26% | 56% | 17% | 23% | 27% | 7% | 38% | 14% | 7% | 23% | 77% | 39% | 6% | 12% | 12% | 41% | 48% | 24% | 32% | 44% | 18% | 36% | 46% | 79% | 21% | 25% | 47% | 27% | 59% | 12% | 16% | 13% |
| 9 | Which one issue will be most important to you in your votes this year? (issues rotated) |
| 1440 Likely November Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Parent | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Primary | GOP Governor Vote | GOP Senate Vote | Likely November | Top Issue | 2024 Vote | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Probable | Definite | Qualls | Demuth | Lindell | Schwarze | Tafoya | White | Weiler | Probable | Definite | Inflatio | Gas Pric | Health C | Immigrat | Trump | Harris | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Twin Cit | S MN | W MN | NE MN | |
| Inflation / The Cost Of Living | 39% | 40% | 38% | 39% | 39% | 37% | 40% | 39% | 38% | 39% | 38% | 34% | 44% | 39% | 25% | 37% | 46% | 44% | 39% | 33% | 46% | 42% | 39% | 37% | 35% | 38% | 33% | 20% | 32% | 43% | 23% | 39% | 39% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 35% | 43% | 41% | 39% | 37% | 35% | 42% | 38% | 39% | 38% | 40% | 39% | 38% | 39% | 40% | 36% | 41% |
| War In Iran | 5% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 4% |
| Gas Prices | 6% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 8% |
| Health Care | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 13% | 10% | 14% | 8% | 15% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 8% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 15% | 6% | 7% | 22% | 15% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 8% | 17% | 12% | 11% | 13% | 17% | 9% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 9% |
| Education | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 7% |
| Jobs | 3% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
| Crime In Your Neighborhood | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% |
| Abortion | 3% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Gun Control | 4% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% |
| Immigration | 12% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 10% | 14% | 11% | 12% | 23% | 5% | 10% | 27% | 22% | 6% | 3% | 7% | 24% | 6% | 5% | 12% | 13% | 29% | 27% | 28% | 29% | 28% | 28% | 11% | 8% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 22% | 4% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 15% | 11% | 13% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 12% | 13% | 16% | 7% |
| Other | 7% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 16% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 7% |
| Not Sure | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely November Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 22% | 23% | 27% | 28% | 45% | 55% | 30% | 70% | 30% | 38% | 27% | 13% | 22% | 29% | 18% | 14% | 35% | 29% | 32% | 26% | 56% | 17% | 23% | 27% | 7% | 38% | 14% | 7% | 23% | 77% | 39% | 6% | 12% | 12% | 41% | 48% | 24% | 32% | 44% | 18% | 36% | 46% | 79% | 21% | 25% | 47% | 27% | 59% | 12% | 16% | 13% |