Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #28043

DFL Candidate Edges Republican Incumbent in District Where Trump Defeated Harris by 12-Point Margin: Johnson 46, Finstad 44 in MN-01: SurveyUSA's latest exclusive polling for ABC 6 News in Rochester shows DFL challenger Jake Johnson narrowly ahead of Republican incumbent Brad Finstad in Minnesota's 1st Congressional District, a district that elected Donald Trump by a 12-point margin and re-elected Finstad by a 17-point margin two years ago. Johnson, a Rochester math teacher, takes 46% of the vote today; Finstad, seeking his third full term in office, takes 44%. Johnson leads by 5 points among women; Finstad leads by 2 points among men – a 7-point gender gap. Johnson leads by 31 points among voters under age 35, typically the least reliable voters – but also leads by 17 points among voters age 65+, typically the most reliable. Finstad, meantime, leads by 6 points among voters 35 to 49 and by 25 among those 50 to 64. Each candidate runs strongly among his own party's voters, with Johnson up 90 points among both Democrats and liberals, and Finstad up 85 points among Republicans and by 72 among conservatives, but moderates and independents both break for the DFL challenger, by 24 and 19 points respectively. Those with college degrees back Johnson by a 15-point margin; those without support Finstad by 8-10 points. Those with annual household incomes under $40k prefer Johnson by 18 points; those earning more prefer Finstad by 4-5 points. Johnson wins urban parts of the district by 13 points and suburban areas by 8; Finstad wins the rural majority of the district by an 8-point margin. Among those who say they have already voted, Johnson leads by 43 points; among those who say they will definitely vote, Finstad leads by 3. Those who say they probably will vote back Johnson by a 5-point margin, 41% to 36%, with 23% of these lower-propensity voters telling SurveyUSA they are undecided. On the issues voters say will be most important to their US House vote, in descending order of importance: 36% of voters say inflation and the cost of living will have the most influence on their vote: these voters prefer Johnson by 35 points, 62% to 27%. 24% say fraud will have the most influence on their vote: these voters back Finstad by an 85-point margin, 88% to 3%. 12% say health care is most important: Johnson leads by 35 points among these voters, 62% to 27%, identical to his performance among inflation-focused voters. 8% say the war in Iran is their top issue: Johnson leads 73% to 17% here, a 56-point margin. 5% say agriculture, farming, and food safety is most important to their vote. Finstad wins these voters by a 40-point margin, 67% to 27%. On the topic of data centers, a majority of adults in the district say they should be banned, with 38% saying state and local officials should definitely ban new data centers from being built in their area and 19% saying they should probably ban them. 20% say they should be allowed, with 15% saying they should probably be allowed and 5% saying they should definitely be allowed. Another 22% say they don't know enough to say. Among likely voters, Johnson leads by 45 points among those who say data centers should definitely be banned and by 22 points among those who say they probably should be banned. Finstad leads by 57 points among those who say they should probably be allowed and by 92 points among those who say they should definitely be allowed. And taking a quick look at net favorability ratings among registered voters in the district, calculated by subtracting the percentage who have an unfavorable opinion from the percentage with a favorable opinion: -22: Tim Walz. 32% have a favorable opinion, 54% an unfavorable one; another 11% are neutral. -16: Donald Trump. 35% have a favorable opinion, 51% unfavorable; 12% are neutral. -8: Brad Finstad. 30% have a favorable view of Finstad, 38% an unfavorable view; 19% are neutral; 13% are not familiar with him. +11: Jake Johnson. 32% have a favorable view of Johnson, 21% an unfavorable view; 22% are neutral; 26% are not familiar with Johnson. Fully crosstabbed results follow...

About the Research/Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 725 adults from Minnesota's 1st Congressional District 10/04/26 through 10/09/26 using a mixed mode, blended sample approach. Of the adults, 664 were determined to be registered voters and were asked Q2-Q6 below; of the registered voters, 565 were determined to be likely to vote in the November general election and were asked Q7-Q8 below. 49% of likely voters were interviewed on the display of their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device using non-probability sample of internet panel members provided by Cint USA. 51% were interviewed using probability-based telephone sample of registered voters from Aristotle of Washington, DC, with 24% interviewed on their landline telephones in the recorded voice of a professional announcer and 27% interviewed using SMS-to-Web, where a live operator hand-texted respondents on their mobile phones, secured their cooperation, and linked them to an online version of the survey. The full pool of respondents was weighted to US Census-derived targets for gender, age, ethnicity, and home ownership.

1	Are you registered to vote in the state of Minnesota?

725 Adults	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Parent <18		Likely Voter			Top Issue					Data Centers				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Interview
Credibility Interval: ± 2.3 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	Probable	Definite	Already	Inflatio	War In I	Health C	Agricult	Fraud	Def. Ban	Prob. Ba	Prob. Al	Def. All	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Smw. Con	Moderate	Smw. Lib	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Web Pane	SMS-to-W	Landline
Yes	92%	92%	91%	81%	90%	97%	100%	85%	98%	91%	92%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	95%	88%	94%	93%	99%	93%	93%	99%	98%	91%	93%	95%	98%	91%	94%	98%	99%	80%	93%	99%	85%	92%	96%	94%	84%	90%	94%	91%	86%	100%	99%
No	7%	6%	7%	14%	9%	2%	0%	12%	1%	7%	7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	5%	9%	6%	4%	1%	7%	6%	0%	1%	8%	7%	5%	1%	8%	6%	1%	1%	15%	6%	1%	11%	7%	4%	5%	11%	8%	6%	7%	11%	0%	1%
Not Sure	2%	2%	2%	4%	1%	1%	0%	3%	0%	2%	1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0%	3%	0%	4%	0%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	5%	1%	0%	4%	2%	0%	0%	6%	2%	0%	3%	3%	0%	0%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Adults	100%	50%	50%	27%	25%	26%	22%	52%	48%	28%	71%	14%	65%	6%	36%	8%	12%	5%	24%	38%	19%	15%	5%	34%	27%	30%	15%	22%	30%	13%	11%	37%	30%	24%	44%	34%	27%	35%	38%	27%	33%	40%	74%	26%	20%	27%	53%	57%	21%	21%

2	Is your opinion of each of the following people favorable or unfavorable? Or, are you not familiar with them? First, Donald Trump.

664 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Parent <18		Likely Voter			Top Issue					Data Centers				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Interview
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	Probable	Definite	Already	Inflatio	War In I	Health C	Agricult	Fraud	Def. Ban	Prob. Ba	Prob. Al	Def. All	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Smw. Con	Moderate	Smw. Lib	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Web Pane	SMS-to-W	Landline
Favorable	35%	39%	31%	27%	33%	47%	33%	30%	40%	35%	36%	24%	40%	19%	19%	14%	19%	59%	75%	17%	26%	58%	90%	75%	1%	22%	87%	59%	15%	3%	4%	70%	15%	3%	69%	1%	43%	38%	29%	31%	37%	37%	39%	24%	36%	33%	37%	34%	40%	34%
Unfavorable	51%	49%	54%	57%	49%	39%	61%	53%	49%	46%	53%	56%	49%	65%	71%	82%	58%	31%	10%	68%	61%	33%	6%	13%	91%	62%	9%	23%	66%	94%	88%	17%	66%	91%	12%	94%	39%	51%	58%	53%	51%	50%	47%	63%	49%	52%	51%	49%	50%	56%
Neutral	12%	10%	13%	12%	16%	14%	5%	14%	10%	19%	9%	18%	10%	11%	10%	4%	21%	9%	13%	11%	12%	8%	4%	12%	5%	14%	4%	18%	17%	3%	4%	12%	17%	3%	19%	3%	14%	11%	12%	12%	12%	12%	13%	9%	12%	13%	11%	14%	9%	9%
Not Familiar	2%	2%	2%	4%	2%	1%	0%	3%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	5%	1%	0%	3%	0%	1%	3%	1%	1%	0%	0%	3%	2%	1%	0%	3%	0%	4%	0%	3%	2%	0%	2%	5%	0%	1%	5%	0%	1%	1%	4%	3%	1%	1%	3%	0%	0%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	50%	50%	24%	25%	28%	24%	49%	51%	28%	72%	14%	65%	6%	36%	8%	12%	5%	24%	40%	18%	16%	5%	37%	27%	30%	16%	23%	30%	13%	11%	40%	30%	25%	47%	36%	23%	36%	41%	25%	33%	42%	77%	23%	19%	28%	52%	54%	23%	23%

3

Tim Walz.

664 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Parent <18		Likely Voter			Top Issue					Data Centers				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Interview
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	Probable	Definite	Already	Inflatio	War In I	Health C	Agricult	Fraud	Def. Ban	Prob. Ba	Prob. Al	Def. All	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Smw. Con	Moderate	Smw. Lib	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Web Pane	SMS-to-W	Landline
Favorable	32%	31%	33%	36%	27%	27%	41%	31%	33%	29%	34%	28%	35%	59%	45%	64%	52%	15%	1%	48%	34%	18%	3%	8%	70%	29%	8%	8%	30%	71%	82%	8%	30%	76%	5%	74%	25%	29%	39%	33%	29%	33%	31%	35%	36%	32%	31%	26%	40%	38%
Unfavorable	54%	57%	50%	40%	60%	64%	49%	50%	57%	61%	51%	56%	56%	33%	40%	30%	36%	75%	95%	37%	58%	68%	85%	87%	9%	53%	88%	81%	49%	12%	10%	84%	49%	11%	89%	13%	52%	57%	52%	43%	57%	58%	59%	38%	47%	51%	58%	55%	54%	51%
Neutral	11%	10%	12%	14%	12%	9%	9%	13%	9%	8%	12%	14%	7%	3%	11%	5%	11%	6%	2%	12%	7%	8%	8%	1%	17%	15%	2%	8%	19%	8%	5%	5%	19%	7%	3%	11%	16%	11%	7%	18%	11%	6%	8%	19%	12%	14%	8%	14%	6%	9%
Not Familiar	3%	2%	5%	10%	2%	0%	1%	6%	1%	1%	4%	3%	2%	5%	4%	1%	1%	4%	2%	3%	1%	5%	4%	3%	4%	3%	3%	3%	2%	8%	2%	3%	2%	5%	3%	2%	7%	4%	1%	6%	3%	2%	2%	9%	4%	3%	3%	5%	1%	2%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	50%	50%	24%	25%	28%	24%	49%	51%	28%	72%	14%	65%	6%	36%	8%	12%	5%	24%	40%	18%	16%	5%	37%	27%	30%	16%	23%	30%	13%	11%	40%	30%	25%	47%	36%	23%	36%	41%	25%	33%	42%	77%	23%	19%	28%	52%	54%	23%	23%

4	Brad Finstad.

664 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Parent <18		Likely Voter			Top Issue					Data Centers				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Interview
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	Probable	Definite	Already	Inflatio	War In I	Health C	Agricult	Fraud	Def. Ban	Prob. Ba	Prob. Al	Def. All	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Smw. Con	Moderate	Smw. Lib	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Web Pane	SMS-to-W	Landline
Favorable	30%	34%	26%	18%	24%	45%	32%	21%	39%	30%	31%	21%	36%	25%	19%	10%	17%	62%	68%	14%	22%	64%	71%	59%	3%	22%	68%	51%	19%	6%	1%	58%	19%	4%	57%	2%	27%	33%	30%	23%	31%	34%	34%	17%	29%	22%	35%	25%	36%	37%
Unfavorable	38%	39%	37%	38%	34%	29%	51%	36%	39%	36%	39%	30%	40%	58%	49%	73%	48%	19%	6%	53%	50%	16%	10%	9%	72%	44%	9%	16%	42%	68%	81%	13%	42%	74%	8%	76%	27%	36%	45%	30%	39%	40%	38%	36%	41%	34%	38%	30%	49%	45%
Neutral	19%	17%	21%	22%	27%	15%	13%	24%	14%	21%	18%	29%	16%	13%	18%	12%	26%	13%	15%	20%	18%	13%	14%	19%	15%	21%	11%	20%	27%	10%	13%	17%	27%	11%	22%	13%	23%	20%	16%	28%	14%	18%	17%	28%	18%	27%	15%	27%	8%	13%
Not Familiar	13%	10%	16%	22%	15%	11%	4%	18%	8%	13%	12%	20%	9%	5%	14%	5%	9%	5%	11%	13%	11%	6%	5%	14%	9%	14%	11%	12%	12%	15%	5%	12%	12%	11%	13%	10%	23%	11%	9%	19%	15%	8%	11%	19%	11%	17%	12%	19%	7%	6%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	50%	50%	24%	25%	28%	24%	49%	51%	28%	72%	14%	65%	6%	36%	8%	12%	5%	24%	40%	18%	16%	5%	37%	27%	30%	16%	23%	30%	13%	11%	40%	30%	25%	47%	36%	23%	36%	41%	25%	33%	42%	77%	23%	19%	28%	52%	54%	23%	23%

5	Jake Johnson.

664 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Parent <18		Likely Voter			Top Issue					Data Centers				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Interview
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	Probable	Definite	Already	Inflatio	War In I	Health C	Agricult	Fraud	Def. Ban	Prob. Ba	Prob. Al	Def. All	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Smw. Con	Moderate	Smw. Lib	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Web Pane	SMS-to-W	Landline
Favorable	32%	34%	30%	32%	27%	24%	45%	30%	34%	31%	33%	20%	36%	55%	47%	61%	37%	14%	5%	44%	43%	21%	5%	11%	59%	35%	15%	14%	35%	57%	66%	15%	35%	61%	11%	61%	25%	28%	38%	33%	24%	36%	31%	32%	40%	31%	29%	24%	43%	38%
Unfavorable	21%	25%	16%	18%	19%	26%	19%	18%	23%	19%	21%	10%	23%	22%	8%	9%	16%	49%	45%	12%	14%	38%	41%	34%	5%	19%	38%	30%	19%	9%	1%	33%	19%	6%	35%	4%	17%	20%	23%	15%	22%	23%	22%	14%	14%	17%	24%	20%	18%	24%
Neutral	22%	19%	25%	18%	24%	25%	21%	21%	23%	22%	22%	34%	21%	17%	20%	26%	26%	20%	24%	23%	17%	24%	14%	21%	19%	25%	23%	20%	26%	16%	17%	21%	26%	16%	23%	17%	21%	28%	17%	21%	26%	20%	22%	22%	23%	23%	22%	23%	15%	26%
Not Familiar	26%	22%	29%	32%	30%	25%	15%	31%	20%	28%	24%	36%	21%	5%	25%	4%	21%	18%	25%	21%	26%	17%	40%	34%	17%	21%	24%	35%	20%	18%	16%	31%	20%	17%	31%	17%	37%	24%	21%	31%	28%	21%	24%	31%	23%	29%	25%	32%	24%	13%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	50%	50%	24%	25%	28%	24%	49%	51%	28%	72%	14%	65%	6%	36%	8%	12%	5%	24%	40%	18%	16%	5%	37%	27%	30%	16%	23%	30%	13%	11%	40%	30%	25%	47%	36%	23%	36%	41%	25%	33%	42%	77%	23%	19%	28%	52%	54%	23%	23%

6	Minnesota will hold a general election for Governor, for United States Senate, and for other offices in November. Many people don't have the time to vote in every election. Thinking ahead to November, are you ... ?

664 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Parent <18		Likely Voter			Top Issue					Data Centers				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Interview
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	Probable	Definite	Already	Inflatio	War In I	Health C	Agricult	Fraud	Def. Ban	Prob. Ba	Prob. Al	Def. All	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Smw. Con	Moderate	Smw. Lib	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Web Pane	SMS-to-W	Landline
Unlikely To Have Time	6%	6%	5%	10%	3%	5%	4%	7%	5%	4%	6%	0%	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	6%	6%	6%	4%	4%	3%	7%	7%	3%	8%	2%	3%	4%	8%	2%	4%	2%	6%	7%	4%	7%	10%	1%	4%	10%	6%	3%	6%	7%	0%	7%
Might Or Might Not Find Time	9%	6%	12%	20%	10%	5%	3%	15%	4%	11%	8%	0%	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	6%	13%	7%	3%	10%	8%	7%	10%	6%	15%	4%	3%	7%	15%	3%	10%	5%	19%	8%	5%	13%	11%	6%	8%	15%	9%	14%	8%	15%	1%	5%
Will Probably Vote	14%	14%	15%	17%	17%	10%	14%	17%	12%	14%	15%	100%	0%	0%	20%	17%	17%	23%	9%	15%	19%	10%	8%	12%	16%	15%	8%	18%	16%	17%	10%	14%	16%	14%	16%	11%	23%	15%	9%	19%	15%	11%	12%	22%	10%	18%	14%	18%	3%	18%
Will Definitely Vote	65%	68%	62%	48%	67%	73%	71%	57%	72%	67%	64%	0%	100%	0%	73%	69%	79%	73%	84%	65%	56%	75%	77%	71%	64%	63%	72%	70%	56%	68%	74%	71%	56%	71%	67%	71%	47%	64%	77%	55%	59%	76%	70%	48%	72%	58%	66%	56%	85%	64%
Already Cast Your Ballot	6%	6%	6%	5%	3%	8%	7%	4%	8%	4%	7%	0%	0%	100%	7%	14%	5%	4%	6%	8%	6%	2%	9%	2%	9%	8%	4%	4%	4%	10%	10%	4%	4%	10%	3%	10%	4%	6%	6%	6%	5%	6%	6%	5%	4%	6%	6%	4%	11%	6%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	50%	50%	24%	25%	28%	24%	49%	51%	28%	72%	14%	65%	6%	36%	8%	12%	5%	24%	40%	18%	16%	5%	37%	27%	30%	16%	23%	30%	13%	11%	40%	30%	25%	47%	36%	23%	36%	41%	25%	33%	42%	77%	23%	19%	28%	52%	54%	23%	23%

7	If the election for US House of Representatives in Minnesota's 1st Congressional District were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican Brad Finstad? Or, DFL candidate Jake Johnson?

565 Likely And Actual Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Parent <18		Likely Voter			Top Issue					Data Centers				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Interview
Credibility Interval: ± 4.6 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	Probable	Definite	Already	Inflatio	War In I	Health C	Agricult	Fraud	Def. Ban	Prob. Ba	Prob. Al	Def. All	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Smw. Con	Moderate	Smw. Lib	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Web Pane	SMS-to-W	Landline
Brad Finstad (R)	44%	48%	41%	28%	47%	58%	38%	39%	49%	48%	43%	36%	48%	26%	27%	17%	27%	67%	88%	23%	31%	76%	96%	90%	3%	31%	93%	77%	30%	3%	1%	83%	30%	2%	85%	4%	45%	50%	39%	33%	47%	49%	50%	25%	38%	40%	50%	44%	47%	42%
Jake Johnson (DFL)	46%	46%	46%	59%	41%	33%	55%	49%	43%	44%	47%	41%	45%	69%	62%	73%	62%	27%	3%	68%	53%	19%	4%	5%	93%	50%	6%	14%	54%	90%	95%	11%	54%	92%	6%	92%	35%	42%	54%	51%	43%	44%	42%	60%	51%	48%	42%	42%	49%	49%
Undecided	10%	7%	13%	13%	12%	8%	7%	13%	8%	8%	10%	23%	7%	5%	11%	10%	11%	6%	10%	9%	15%	6%	0%	5%	5%	19%	2%	9%	16%	6%	4%	6%	16%	5%	9%	4%	20%	8%	7%	16%	10%	7%	9%	15%	11%	12%	8%	14%	4%	9%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely And Actual Voters	100%	52%	48%	20%	25%	29%	26%	45%	55%	28%	72%	17%	76%	7%	36%	8%	12%	5%	24%	41%	18%	16%	6%	37%	29%	30%	16%	25%	27%	15%	13%	41%	27%	27%	47%	40%	20%	36%	44%	23%	31%	46%	80%	20%	19%	27%	53%	49%	27%	24%

8	Which one of these issues will have the most influence on your vote for US House of Representatives? Inflation and the cost of living? The war in Iran? Health care? Education? Jobs? Agriculture, farming, and food safety? Abortion? Fraud? Or something else?

565 Likely And Actual Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Parent <18		Likely Voter			Top Issue					Data Centers				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Interview
Credibility Interval: ± 4.6 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	Probable	Definite	Already	Inflatio	War In I	Health C	Agricult	Fraud	Def. Ban	Prob. Ba	Prob. Al	Def. All	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Smw. Con	Moderate	Smw. Lib	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Web Pane	SMS-to-W	Landline
Inflation / The Cost Of Living	36%	32%	39%	42%	35%	34%	34%	38%	34%	41%	34%	43%	34%	34%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	42%	45%	19%	21%	23%	46%	38%	23%	25%	41%	60%	35%	25%	41%	48%	23%	46%	31%	37%	37%	36%	37%	35%	35%	40%	38%	40%	33%	38%	28%	39%
War In Iran	8%	9%	7%	5%	3%	8%	14%	4%	11%	6%	9%	8%	7%	16%	0%	100%	0%	0%	0%	10%	7%	7%	4%	4%	11%	10%	5%	5%	10%	9%	12%	5%	10%	10%	4%	13%	9%	6%	9%	7%	7%	9%	8%	7%	6%	7%	8%	3%	9%	16%
Health Care	12%	7%	17%	18%	11%	10%	9%	14%	9%	14%	10%	12%	12%	8%	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%	16%	7%	10%	8%	8%	21%	8%	2%	4%	17%	17%	26%	3%	17%	21%	7%	18%	17%	9%	11%	15%	13%	10%	11%	16%	13%	16%	9%	16%	10%	5%
Education	4%	4%	4%	8%	5%	3%	2%	6%	3%	2%	5%	2%	4%	15%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	5%	5%	1%	0%	1%	8%	5%	2%	1%	5%	2%	15%	1%	5%	8%	2%	8%	2%	6%	4%	5%	4%	4%	4%	6%	5%	6%	3%	5%	6%	1%
Jobs	3%	5%	1%	4%	6%	2%	0%	5%	1%	3%	3%	6%	2%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	7%	8%	4%	2%	3%	3%	6%	2%	1%	0%	5%	2%	1%	5%	1%	7%	2%	2%	5%	2%	2%	2%	5%	0%	7%	2%	5%	0%	0%
Agriculture, Farming, And Food Safety	5%	7%	4%	9%	3%	3%	7%	6%	5%	5%	6%	7%	5%	3%	0%	0%	0%	100%	0%	5%	4%	9%	2%	9%	1%	5%	6%	11%	4%	2%	3%	9%	4%	3%	9%	3%	6%	3%	7%	7%	6%	4%	5%	5%	6%	2%	7%	5%	3%	9%
Abortion	4%	3%	4%	2%	7%	2%	3%	5%	3%	7%	2%	4%	4%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	4%	6%	2%	6%	1%	3%	8%	5%	2%	1%	2%	6%	2%	1%	6%	1%	2%	3%	5%	1%	3%	5%	4%	1%	2%	1%	5%	4%	2%	4%
Fraud	24%	27%	19%	8%	25%	34%	23%	17%	29%	19%	26%	13%	26%	21%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%	13%	18%	38%	55%	42%	3%	23%	49%	42%	14%	1%	0%	44%	14%	0%	42%	2%	21%	29%	21%	16%	25%	27%	26%	14%	20%	19%	28%	20%	34%	19%
Other/Not Sure	5%	6%	5%	4%	5%	3%	8%	5%	6%	3%	6%	5%	6%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	6%	8%	4%	0%	2%	7%	6%	2%	1%	6%	8%	6%	2%	6%	7%	2%	8%	6%	6%	5%	9%	3%	5%	5%	7%	9%	3%	5%	3%	7%	7%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely And Actual Voters	100%	52%	48%	20%	25%	29%	26%	45%	55%	28%	72%	17%	76%	7%	36%	8%	12%	5%	24%	41%	18%	16%	6%	37%	29%	30%	16%	25%	27%	15%	13%	41%	27%	27%	47%	40%	20%	36%	44%	23%	31%	46%	80%	20%	19%	27%	53%	49%	27%	24%

9	Do you think state and local officials should ban new data centers from being built in your area, or allow them to be built?

725 Adults	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Parent <18		Likely Voter			Top Issue					Data Centers				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Type Of Interview
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	Probable	Definite	Already	Inflatio	War In I	Health C	Agricult	Fraud	Def. Ban	Prob. Ba	Prob. Al	Def. All	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Smw. Con	Moderate	Smw. Lib	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Web Pane	SMS-to-W	Landline
Definitely Ban Them	38%	38%	39%	43%	33%	36%	41%	38%	38%	37%	38%	40%	40%	54%	49%	53%	55%	38%	23%	100%	0%	0%	0%	20%	58%	48%	29%	26%	33%	61%	74%	27%	33%	67%	24%	58%	37%	42%	35%	47%	37%	32%	37%	39%	42%	34%	38%	34%	46%	41%
Probably Ban Them	19%	18%	20%	21%	20%	15%	21%	21%	17%	23%	18%	24%	16%	19%	22%	16%	10%	13%	14%	0%	100%	0%	0%	15%	22%	17%	8%	18%	24%	24%	13%	14%	24%	19%	18%	20%	21%	19%	18%	15%	22%	20%	18%	23%	17%	23%	19%	22%	16%	14%
Probably Allow Them	15%	21%	10%	9%	15%	18%	20%	12%	19%	15%	15%	11%	18%	5%	8%	15%	14%	26%	26%	0%	0%	100%	0%	24%	7%	13%	26%	22%	16%	6%	3%	24%	16%	5%	23%	7%	11%	14%	19%	12%	16%	17%	16%	14%	19%	15%	14%	14%	10%	22%
Definitely Allow Them	5%	5%	6%	4%	5%	7%	4%	5%	6%	3%	6%	3%	6%	7%	3%	3%	4%	2%	13%	0%	0%	0%	100%	10%	1%	4%	14%	7%	3%	2%	1%	10%	3%	2%	9%	1%	4%	5%	6%	4%	4%	7%	6%	2%	6%	7%	4%	5%	9%	2%
Don't Know Enough To Say	22%	19%	25%	22%	27%	24%	15%	25%	20%	21%	23%	22%	20%	15%	17%	13%	17%	21%	25%	0%	0%	0%	0%	30%	12%	19%	22%	27%	25%	7%	8%	25%	25%	8%	27%	13%	27%	20%	21%	23%	21%	23%	23%	22%	17%	21%	25%	24%	20%	20%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Adults	100%	50%	50%	27%	25%	26%	22%	52%	48%	28%	71%	14%	65%	6%	36%	8%	12%	5%	24%	38%	19%	15%	5%	34%	27%	30%	15%	22%	30%	13%	11%	37%	30%	24%	44%	34%	27%	35%	38%	27%	33%	40%	74%	26%	20%	27%	53%	57%	21%	21%