| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #19048 |
|
On Eve of State Caucuses, Romney Overwhelmingly Seen by Washington State Republicans as Having Best Chance to Defeat Obama:
Washington State Republicans by 5:1 say economic issues are more important to them than social issues, say Mitt Romney is the best Republican to tackle the nation's economy, and as a result, see Mitt Romney overwhelmingly as the Republican best able to defeat Barack Obama in November, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KING-TV in Seattle on the eve of the state caucuses. Two questions get directly at Romney's perceived strength: * One asks (Republicans only) who they would vote for in an election today. Romney defeats Santorum 38% to 24%. * The other asks Republicans which Republican has the best chance of defeating Obama. There, Romney gets 50% to Rick Santorum's 18% and Newt Gingrich's 12%. Romney voters are 3:1 happy with the field of Republican candidates. By contrast, half of those who back Santorum say they would like to see another candidate enter the race. Romney is not seen as the most able to identify with ordinary people - that's Santorum - but Romney is seen, narrowly, as the most trustworthy.
* Romney has a Plus 27 Net Favorability rating. Cell phone and home phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,793 Washington state adults 0/29/12 through 03/01/12. Of them, 500 identified themselves as being Republicans registered to vote in Washington. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet, laptop or other electronic device. |
| 1 | Is your opinion of Mitt Romney ... Favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or do you have no opinion of him? |
| 500 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cell Phone / Lan | Presidential Vote | Mind | Ideology | Tea Party Member | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Cell Pho | Landline | Romney | Santorum | Gingrich | Paul | Made Up | Might Ch | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Yes | No | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Western | Eastern | Metro Se | |
| Favorable | 48% | 48% | 46% | 54% | 49% | 39% | 51% | 51% | 44% | 46% | 48% | 88% | 22% | 32% | 17% | 58% | 41% | 56% | 49% | 36% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 44% | 53% | 42% | 46% | 52% |
| Unfavorable | 21% | 23% | 18% | 20% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 21% | 21% | 21% | 21% | 2% | 39% | 18% | 46% | 23% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 29% | 23% | 21% | 18% | 28% | 14% | 25% | 22% | 17% |
| Neutral | 28% | 27% | 29% | 17% | 27% | 33% | 32% | 23% | 33% | 16% | 29% | 10% | 37% | 46% | 36% | 18% | 37% | 24% | 30% | 32% | 29% | 26% | 27% | 25% | 31% | 27% | 27% | 28% |
| Unfamiliar | 4% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 17% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 55% | 45% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 20% | 52% | 48% | 13% | 87% | 38% | 24% | 14% | 10% | 48% | 45% | 27% | 47% | 21% | 12% | 85% | 26% | 42% | 32% | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| 2 | Is your opinion of Newt Gingrich ... Favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or do you have no opinion of him? |
| 500 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cell Phone / Lan | Presidential Vote | Mind | Ideology | Tea Party Member | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Cell Pho | Landline | Romney | Santorum | Gingrich | Paul | Made Up | Might Ch | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Yes | No | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Western | Eastern | Metro Se | |
| Favorable | 31% | 33% | 28% | 10% | 34% | 39% | 35% | 24% | 37% | 15% | 33% | 20% | 34% | 91% | 6% | 26% | 38% | 36% | 36% | 17% | 56% | 27% | 40% | 25% | 31% | 35% | 27% | 29% |
| Unfavorable | 38% | 40% | 36% | 51% | 37% | 32% | 35% | 42% | 33% | 42% | 37% | 47% | 34% | 3% | 59% | 46% | 32% | 31% | 33% | 53% | 23% | 40% | 27% | 39% | 47% | 28% | 38% | 44% |
| Neutral | 27% | 25% | 31% | 36% | 24% | 25% | 27% | 29% | 26% | 30% | 27% | 31% | 31% | 4% | 33% | 25% | 27% | 31% | 27% | 24% | 21% | 29% | 24% | 34% | 19% | 33% | 31% | 21% |
| Unfamiliar | 4% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 0% | 4% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 5% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 55% | 45% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 20% | 52% | 48% | 13% | 87% | 38% | 24% | 14% | 10% | 48% | 45% | 27% | 47% | 21% | 12% | 85% | 26% | 42% | 32% | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| 3 | Is your opinion of Rick Santorum ... |
| 500 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cell Phone / Lan | Presidential Vote | Mind | Ideology | Tea Party Member | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Cell Pho | Landline | Romney | Santorum | Gingrich | Paul | Made Up | Might Ch | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Yes | No | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Western | Eastern | Metro Se | |
| Favorable | 40% | 41% | 38% | 21% | 36% | 59% | 38% | 30% | 50% | 14% | 43% | 25% | 91% | 41% | 12% | 33% | 50% | 53% | 42% | 26% | 43% | 39% | 45% | 36% | 38% | 44% | 41% | 36% |
| Unfavorable | 25% | 28% | 21% | 32% | 25% | 16% | 28% | 28% | 21% | 28% | 24% | 34% | 4% | 14% | 53% | 37% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 29% | 31% | 24% | 16% | 27% | 31% | 29% | 22% | 24% |
| Neutral | 28% | 27% | 29% | 34% | 30% | 20% | 30% | 32% | 24% | 37% | 27% | 35% | 4% | 38% | 30% | 26% | 30% | 23% | 31% | 31% | 22% | 29% | 30% | 28% | 26% | 20% | 30% | 32% |
| Unfamiliar | 8% | 4% | 12% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 5% | 21% | 6% | 6% | 1% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 14% | 4% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 8% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 55% | 45% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 20% | 52% | 48% | 13% | 87% | 38% | 24% | 14% | 10% | 48% | 45% | 27% | 47% | 21% | 12% | 85% | 26% | 42% | 32% | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| 4 | Is your opinion of Ron Paul ... |
| 500 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cell Phone / Lan | Presidential Vote | Mind | Ideology | Tea Party Member | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Cell Pho | Landline | Romney | Santorum | Gingrich | Paul | Made Up | Might Ch | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Yes | No | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Western | Eastern | Metro Se | |
| Favorable | 24% | 27% | 20% | 24% | 33% | 21% | 14% | 29% | 18% | 24% | 24% | 16% | 22% | 24% | 77% | 23% | 26% | 23% | 21% | 33% | 31% | 23% | 27% | 23% | 24% | 22% | 26% | 24% |
| Unfavorable | 36% | 39% | 33% | 35% | 27% | 41% | 46% | 30% | 43% | 31% | 37% | 38% | 44% | 41% | 10% | 41% | 35% | 41% | 40% | 24% | 34% | 36% | 37% | 35% | 37% | 33% | 31% | 42% |
| Neutral | 33% | 31% | 35% | 33% | 33% | 34% | 33% | 33% | 34% | 31% | 34% | 41% | 29% | 30% | 14% | 32% | 33% | 33% | 34% | 30% | 35% | 34% | 31% | 34% | 34% | 37% | 35% | 29% |
| Unfamiliar | 6% | 3% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 14% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 0% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 0% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 5% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 55% | 45% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 20% | 52% | 48% | 13% | 87% | 38% | 24% | 14% | 10% | 48% | 45% | 27% | 47% | 21% | 12% | 85% | 26% | 42% | 32% | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| 5 | If the election for President were today, who would you vote for? Barack Obama? Mitt Romney? Rick Santorum? Newt Gingrich? Ron Paul? Or some other candidate? |
| 500 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cell Phone / Lan | Presidential Vote | Mind | Ideology | Tea Party Member | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Cell Pho | Landline | Romney | Santorum | Gingrich | Paul | Made Up | Might Ch | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Yes | No | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Western | Eastern | Metro Se | |
| Obama | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 6% |
| Romney | 38% | 39% | 37% | 49% | 32% | 29% | 50% | 39% | 38% | 33% | 39% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 30% | 41% | 39% | 38% | 36% | 38% | 31% | 35% | 48% | 34% | 35% | 43% |
| Santorum | 24% | 23% | 25% | 13% | 21% | 35% | 23% | 18% | 30% | 10% | 26% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 29% | 36% | 23% | 13% | 22% | 24% | 22% | 27% | 19% | 29% | 28% | 18% |
| Gingrich | 14% | 15% | 13% | 1% | 17% | 19% | 18% | 10% | 18% | 3% | 16% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 13% | 17% | 13% | 19% | 8% | 29% | 12% | 22% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 17% |
| Paul | 10% | 11% | 8% | 18% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 15% | 4% | 17% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 9% | 10% | 4% | 15% | 8% | 7% | 11% | 11% |
| Other | 3% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% |
| Undecided | 6% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 9% | 3% | 34% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 0% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 10% | 4% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 55% | 45% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 20% | 52% | 48% | 13% | 87% | 38% | 24% | 14% | 10% | 48% | 45% | 27% | 47% | 21% | 12% | 85% | 26% | 42% | 32% | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| 6 | Is your mind made up? Or might you change your mind? |
| 500 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cell Phone / Lan | Presidential Vote | Mind | Ideology | Tea Party Member | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Cell Pho | Landline | Romney | Santorum | Gingrich | Paul | Made Up | Might Ch | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Yes | No | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Western | Eastern | Metro Se | |
| Mind Is Made Up | 48% | 50% | 46% | 63% | 40% | 42% | 55% | 49% | 47% | 26% | 52% | 64% | 40% | 42% | 56% | 100% | 0% | 63% | 43% | 42% | 60% | 46% | 50% | 49% | 44% | 49% | 53% | 44% |
| Might Change Your Mind | 45% | 47% | 44% | 30% | 53% | 52% | 41% | 43% | 48% | 51% | 45% | 36% | 56% | 55% | 43% | 0% | 100% | 35% | 52% | 51% | 40% | 47% | 42% | 44% | 52% | 42% | 40% | 51% |
| Not Sure | 6% | 3% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 23% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 0% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 9% | 6% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 55% | 45% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 20% | 52% | 48% | 13% | 87% | 38% | 24% | 14% | 10% | 48% | 45% | 27% | 47% | 21% | 12% | 85% | 26% | 42% | 32% | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| 7 | Which Republican has the best chance of defeating Barack Obama? |
| 500 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cell Phone / Lan | Presidential Vote | Mind | Ideology | Tea Party Member | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Cell Pho | Landline | Romney | Santorum | Gingrich | Paul | Made Up | Might Ch | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Yes | No | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Western | Eastern | Metro Se | |
| Romney | 50% | 51% | 50% | 54% | 50% | 41% | 62% | 51% | 50% | 40% | 52% | 90% | 28% | 25% | 25% | 57% | 46% | 54% | 51% | 49% | 54% | 50% | 44% | 43% | 65% | 43% | 54% | 53% |
| Gingrich | 12% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 16% | 18% | 8% | 17% | 18% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 51% | 3% | 10% | 15% | 13% | 14% | 7% | 22% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 14% |
| Santorum | 18% | 17% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 33% | 12% | 11% | 24% | 4% | 19% | 2% | 55% | 5% | 8% | 17% | 19% | 23% | 14% | 19% | 12% | 19% | 23% | 17% | 12% | 21% | 21% | 13% |
| Paul | 8% | 10% | 5% | 17% | 11% | 2% | 1% | 13% | 2% | 17% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 64% | 10% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 6% |
| Not Sure | 12% | 9% | 16% | 9% | 21% | 9% | 7% | 16% | 8% | 21% | 11% | 3% | 11% | 19% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 5% | 14% | 14% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 14% | 9% | 13% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 55% | 45% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 20% | 52% | 48% | 13% | 87% | 38% | 24% | 14% | 10% | 48% | 45% | 27% | 47% | 21% | 12% | 85% | 26% | 42% | 32% | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| 8 | Which Republican would be best for the economy? |
| 500 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cell Phone / Lan | Presidential Vote | Mind | Ideology | Tea Party Member | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Cell Pho | Landline | Romney | Santorum | Gingrich | Paul | Made Up | Might Ch | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Yes | No | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Western | Eastern | Metro Se | |
| Romney | 41% | 40% | 43% | 46% | 38% | 36% | 49% | 42% | 41% | 19% | 45% | 80% | 16% | 21% | 10% | 52% | 34% | 45% | 44% | 36% | 43% | 41% | 39% | 36% | 51% | 34% | 39% | 48% |
| Gingrich | 20% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 19% | 26% | 24% | 15% | 25% | 21% | 20% | 7% | 16% | 70% | 13% | 16% | 24% | 23% | 22% | 15% | 34% | 17% | 25% | 21% | 15% | 22% | 22% | 17% |
| Santorum | 15% | 14% | 15% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 13% | 13% | 16% | 7% | 16% | 3% | 51% | 4% | 3% | 15% | 15% | 19% | 12% | 15% | 4% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 16% | 16% | 13% |
| Paul | 13% | 16% | 10% | 20% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 18% | 8% | 29% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 2% | 73% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 12% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 18% | 11% | 16% | 13% | 12% |
| Not Sure | 11% | 7% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 12% | 9% | 24% | 9% | 5% | 9% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 15% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 4% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 10% | 10% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 55% | 45% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 20% | 52% | 48% | 13% | 87% | 38% | 24% | 14% | 10% | 48% | 45% | 27% | 47% | 21% | 12% | 85% | 26% | 42% | 32% | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| 9 | Which Republican is best able to identify with ordinary people? |
| 500 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cell Phone / Lan | Presidential Vote | Mind | Ideology | Tea Party Member | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Cell Pho | Landline | Romney | Santorum | Gingrich | Paul | Made Up | Might Ch | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Yes | No | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Western | Eastern | Metro Se | |
| Romney | 23% | 19% | 27% | 31% | 20% | 12% | 33% | 24% | 21% | 18% | 23% | 51% | 2% | 3% | 10% | 33% | 14% | 28% | 23% | 21% | 33% | 20% | 22% | 21% | 26% | 21% | 24% | 23% |
| Gingrich | 13% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 16% | 13% | 16% | 12% | 14% | 11% | 13% | 6% | 8% | 53% | 2% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 8% | 22% | 12% | 21% | 12% | 8% | 14% | 13% | 12% |
| Santorum | 36% | 40% | 32% | 30% | 29% | 51% | 33% | 29% | 44% | 22% | 38% | 25% | 80% | 29% | 1% | 31% | 43% | 45% | 38% | 24% | 26% | 38% | 30% | 36% | 39% | 30% | 42% | 37% |
| Paul | 19% | 21% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 22% | 14% | 26% | 18% | 11% | 8% | 11% | 81% | 18% | 19% | 10% | 16% | 29% | 17% | 20% | 14% | 24% | 16% | 20% | 15% | 20% |
| Not Sure | 9% | 7% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 12% | 7% | 23% | 8% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 11% | 2% | 8% | 18% | 2% | 10% | 13% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 6% | 8% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 55% | 45% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 20% | 52% | 48% | 13% | 87% | 38% | 24% | 14% | 10% | 48% | 45% | 27% | 47% | 21% | 12% | 85% | 26% | 42% | 32% | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| 10 | Which Republican is most trustworthy? |
| 500 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cell Phone / Lan | Presidential Vote | Mind | Ideology | Tea Party Member | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Cell Pho | Landline | Romney | Santorum | Gingrich | Paul | Made Up | Might Ch | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Yes | No | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Western | Eastern | Metro Se | |
| Romney | 32% | 32% | 31% | 41% | 28% | 23% | 41% | 33% | 31% | 24% | 33% | 76% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 49% | 16% | 34% | 35% | 28% | 33% | 32% | 26% | 30% | 40% | 25% | 33% | 35% |
| Gingrich | 11% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 14% | 9% | 14% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 3% | 2% | 51% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 17% | 10% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 13% |
| Santorum | 26% | 26% | 27% | 17% | 22% | 39% | 24% | 20% | 33% | 12% | 28% | 9% | 75% | 19% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 36% | 26% | 18% | 17% | 28% | 24% | 26% | 26% | 27% | 31% | 23% |
| Paul | 17% | 19% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 19% | 14% | 15% | 17% | 5% | 15% | 9% | 83% | 16% | 18% | 12% | 16% | 23% | 23% | 16% | 16% | 19% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 16% |
| Not Sure | 14% | 10% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 17% | 11% | 37% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 16% | 2% | 4% | 19% | 5% | 13% | 21% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 20% | 9% | 13% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 55% | 45% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 20% | 52% | 48% | 13% | 87% | 38% | 24% | 14% | 10% | 48% | 45% | 27% | 47% | 21% | 12% | 85% | 26% | 42% | 32% | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| 11 | Which is more important to you? Social issues, such as gay marriage and abortion? Or Economic issues, such as jobs and the deficit? |
| 500 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cell Phone / Lan | Presidential Vote | Mind | Ideology | Tea Party Member | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Cell Pho | Landline | Romney | Santorum | Gingrich | Paul | Made Up | Might Ch | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Yes | No | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Western | Eastern | Metro Se | |
| Social Issues | 15% | 12% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 12% | 17% | 20% | 14% | 12% | 24% | 14% | 11% | 16% | 14% | 26% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 15% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 16% |
| Economic Issues | 81% | 84% | 77% | 82% | 83% | 80% | 76% | 83% | 78% | 75% | 82% | 86% | 71% | 85% | 84% | 80% | 82% | 67% | 84% | 92% | 91% | 80% | 78% | 82% | 82% | 84% | 79% | 79% |
| Not Sure | 4% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 55% | 45% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 20% | 52% | 48% | 13% | 87% | 38% | 24% | 14% | 10% | 48% | 45% | 27% | 47% | 21% | 12% | 85% | 26% | 42% | 32% | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| 12 | If a presidential candidate pledges to lower the price of gasoline, do you believe the candidate can deliver on that promise once elected? |
| 500 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cell Phone / Lan | Presidential Vote | Mind | Ideology | Tea Party Member | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Cell Pho | Landline | Romney | Santorum | Gingrich | Paul | Made Up | Might Ch | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Yes | No | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Western | Eastern | Metro Se | |
| Yes | 40% | 43% | 36% | 34% | 42% | 37% | 48% | 39% | 42% | 28% | 42% | 46% | 40% | 61% | 31% | 49% | 35% | 51% | 42% | 26% | 60% | 36% | 46% | 38% | 39% | 43% | 33% | 42% |
| No | 46% | 46% | 46% | 55% | 44% | 46% | 41% | 48% | 44% | 51% | 45% | 40% | 46% | 35% | 59% | 41% | 49% | 37% | 43% | 57% | 30% | 49% | 43% | 47% | 48% | 38% | 55% | 46% |
| Not Sure | 14% | 11% | 18% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 21% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 4% | 11% | 9% | 16% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 10% | 15% | 12% | 15% | 12% | 19% | 12% | 11% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 55% | 45% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 20% | 52% | 48% | 13% | 87% | 38% | 24% | 14% | 10% | 48% | 45% | 27% | 47% | 21% | 12% | 85% | 26% | 42% | 32% | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| 13 | Are you satisfied with the current field of Republican candidates? Or, would you like to see another Republican enter the race? |
| 500 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cell Phone / Lan | Presidential Vote | Mind | Ideology | Tea Party Member | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Cell Pho | Landline | Romney | Santorum | Gingrich | Paul | Made Up | Might Ch | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Yes | No | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Western | Eastern | Metro Se | |
| Satisfied | 54% | 56% | 50% | 60% | 56% | 42% | 60% | 58% | 49% | 41% | 55% | 70% | 45% | 54% | 54% | 69% | 41% | 64% | 55% | 41% | 65% | 52% | 64% | 50% | 51% | 52% | 56% | 53% |
| Like To See Another | 38% | 37% | 40% | 35% | 40% | 44% | 31% | 38% | 39% | 52% | 36% | 27% | 43% | 35% | 41% | 25% | 50% | 28% | 37% | 50% | 26% | 40% | 27% | 42% | 43% | 37% | 37% | 40% |
| Not Sure | 8% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 12% | 7% | 8% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 7% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 55% | 45% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 20% | 52% | 48% | 13% | 87% | 38% | 24% | 14% | 10% | 48% | 45% | 27% | 47% | 21% | 12% | 85% | 26% | 42% | 32% | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| 14 | How confident are you that Republicans will defeat President Obama in November? Very confident? Somewhat confident? Not very confident? Or not at all confident? |
| 500 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cell Phone / Lan | Presidential Vote | Mind | Ideology | Tea Party Member | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Cell Pho | Landline | Romney | Santorum | Gingrich | Paul | Made Up | Might Ch | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Yes | No | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Western | Eastern | Metro Se | |
| Very | 39% | 37% | 41% | 39% | 35% | 39% | 45% | 37% | 41% | 30% | 40% | 42% | 35% | 54% | 37% | 49% | 29% | 52% | 35% | 30% | 56% | 37% | 52% | 36% | 32% | 47% | 40% | 32% |
| Somewhat | 37% | 39% | 34% | 44% | 38% | 33% | 33% | 40% | 33% | 43% | 36% | 45% | 45% | 34% | 20% | 35% | 42% | 33% | 44% | 28% | 35% | 37% | 23% | 41% | 44% | 32% | 36% | 41% |
| Not Very | 16% | 16% | 17% | 9% | 17% | 21% | 17% | 14% | 19% | 12% | 17% | 11% | 18% | 11% | 37% | 12% | 20% | 9% | 17% | 27% | 4% | 19% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 11% | 15% | 21% |
| Not At All | 4% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 4% |
| Not Sure | 4% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 11% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 7% | 4% | 1% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 55% | 45% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 20% | 52% | 48% | 13% | 87% | 38% | 24% | 14% | 10% | 48% | 45% | 27% | 47% | 21% | 12% | 85% | 26% | 42% | 32% | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| 15 | If Washington state's Republican gubernatorial candidate, Rob McKenna, were to endorse Mitt Romney, would that make you ...? More likely to vore for McKenna? Less likely to vote for McKenna? Or make no difference? |
| 500 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cell Phone / Lan | Presidential Vote | Mind | Ideology | Tea Party Member | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Cell Pho | Landline | Romney | Santorum | Gingrich | Paul | Made Up | Might Ch | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Yes | No | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Western | Eastern | Metro Se | |
| More Likely To Vote For McKenna | 22% | 23% | 21% | 24% | 16% | 16% | 38% | 19% | 25% | 18% | 23% | 44% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 31% | 15% | 32% | 21% | 16% | 28% | 21% | 22% | 21% | 24% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
| Less Likely To Vote For McKenna | 16% | 17% | 15% | 26% | 15% | 16% | 8% | 20% | 12% | 27% | 15% | 12% | 24% | 11% | 29% | 20% | 14% | 17% | 16% | 8% | 25% | 16% | 16% | 21% | 11% | 18% | 14% | 16% |
| Make No Difference | 57% | 56% | 57% | 44% | 64% | 64% | 49% | 56% | 58% | 37% | 60% | 42% | 67% | 79% | 53% | 46% | 68% | 50% | 56% | 70% | 45% | 58% | 53% | 53% | 64% | 56% | 56% | 58% |
| Not Sure | 5% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 18% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 6% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 1% | 6% | 5% | 5% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 55% | 45% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 20% | 52% | 48% | 13% | 87% | 38% | 24% | 14% | 10% | 48% | 45% | 27% | 47% | 21% | 12% | 85% | 26% | 42% | 32% | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| 16 | If Rob McKenna were to endorse Ron Paul, would that make you ...? |
| 500 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cell Phone / Lan | Presidential Vote | Mind | Ideology | Tea Party Member | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Cell Pho | Landline | Romney | Santorum | Gingrich | Paul | Made Up | Might Ch | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Yes | No | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Western | Eastern | Metro Se | |
| More Likely To Vote For McKenna | 10% | 13% | 7% | 13% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 14% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 4% | 7% | 1% | 58% | 14% | 8% | 11% | 7% | 19% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 7% |
| Less Likely To Vote For McKenna | 36% | 42% | 28% | 41% | 22% | 40% | 44% | 30% | 42% | 32% | 36% | 46% | 38% | 33% | 11% | 43% | 31% | 41% | 38% | 20% | 27% | 37% | 35% | 33% | 39% | 28% | 34% | 42% |
| Make No Difference | 48% | 43% | 54% | 39% | 60% | 49% | 38% | 52% | 44% | 42% | 49% | 45% | 51% | 61% | 26% | 38% | 57% | 42% | 50% | 54% | 52% | 47% | 46% | 45% | 53% | 53% | 46% | 46% |
| Not Sure | 6% | 2% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 11% | 5% | 7% | 17% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 6% | 5% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 55% | 45% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 20% | 52% | 48% | 13% | 87% | 38% | 24% | 14% | 10% | 48% | 45% | 27% | 47% | 21% | 12% | 85% | 26% | 42% | 32% | 29% | 27% | 44% |