| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14714 |
| As John McCain Goes in South Carolina, So Goes Lindsey Graham, But in the Opposite Direction: In an election for President of the United States in South Carolina today, 10/30/08, five days till votes are counted, Republican John McCain appears to hold-off a steady advance from Democrat Barack Obama, to carry the Palmetto State 52% to 44%, according to SurveyUSA's final pre-election tracking poll. SurveyUSA's interactive tracking graphs, a SurveyUSA exclusive, show the striking disparity between support for McCain, and support for Republican Senator Graham, as Graham seeks reelection. McCain's shrinking advantage is illustrated here. Graham's increasing advantage is illustrated here.
800 South Carolina adults interviewed 10/28/08 and 10/29/08. All interviews were completed before the airing of Barack Obama's 10/29/08 half-hour television advertisement. Of the adults, 735 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 654 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. South Carolina has 8 Electoral College votes. George W. Bush carried South Carolina by 17 points in 2004 and by 16 points in 2000. |
 | If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates? |
| 654 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Top Issue For Next President | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | < $50K | > $50K | Upstate | Midlands | Low Coun | |
| McCain (R) | 52% | 53% | 51% | 45% | 49% | 55% | 66% | 47% | 59% | 47% | 70% | 56% | 70% | 8% | ** | ** | 86% | 9% | 53% | 79% | 38% | 22% | 56% | 49% | 58% | 44% | 41% | 69% | 34% | 52% | ** | 33% | 43% | 89% | ** | ** | ** | 39% | 62% | 58% | 52% | 46% |
| Obama (D) | 44% | 43% | 46% | 49% | 48% | 43% | 32% | 48% | 39% | 48% | 30% | 42% | 26% | 91% | ** | ** | 12% | 90% | 40% | 17% | 60% | 75% | 40% | 48% | 39% | 52% | 52% | 27% | 64% | 45% | ** | 64% | 49% | 7% | ** | ** | ** | 58% | 34% | 38% | 43% | 52% |
| Other | 2% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 0% | ** | ** | 2% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ** | 1% | 8% | 4% | ** | ** | ** | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 1% |
| Undecided | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | ** | ** | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | ** | 1% | 0% | 1% | ** | ** | ** | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 27% | 32% | 24% | 17% | 59% | 41% | 53% | 8% | 39% | 70% | 27% | 2% | 2% | 43% | 34% | 21% | 43% | 35% | 12% | 48% | 52% | 62% | 24% | 14% | 53% | 44% | 59% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 42% | 58% | 31% | 35% | 34% |
 | South Carolina will also elect a United States Senator. If the election for United States Senator were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Lindsey Graham? Or Democrat Bob Conley? |
| 654 Adults | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Top Issue For Next President | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | < $50K | > $50K | Upstate | Midlands | Low Coun | |
| Lindsey Graham (R) | 58% | 59% | 57% | 61% | 55% | 53% | 65% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 66% | 56% | 72% | 22% | ** | ** | 83% | 24% | 61% | 75% | 51% | 35% | 62% | 53% | 61% | 54% | 54% | 69% | 46% | 57% | ** | 43% | 66% | 82% | ** | ** | ** | 47% | 66% | 58% | 61% | 54% |
| Bob Conley (D) | 39% | 39% | 39% | 34% | 42% | 46% | 31% | 38% | 40% | 38% | 29% | 42% | 26% | 72% | ** | ** | 16% | 72% | 34% | 23% | 47% | 61% | 35% | 42% | 37% | 44% | 41% | 28% | 52% | 41% | ** | 53% | 34% | 11% | ** | ** | ** | 48% | 32% | 39% | 36% | 42% |
| Undecided | 3% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 6% | ** | ** | 1% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | ** | 4% | 0% | 7% | ** | ** | ** | 5% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Adults | 100% | 48% | 52% | 27% | 32% | 24% | 17% | 59% | 41% | 53% | 8% | 39% | 70% | 27% | 2% | 2% | 43% | 34% | 21% | 43% | 35% | 12% | 48% | 52% | 62% | 24% | 14% | 53% | 44% | 59% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 42% | 58% | 31% | 35% | 34% |