Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14610

Tough Sledding for Incumbent Republican Sali in Idaho's 1st Congressional District; Democrat Challenger Has the Edge: In an election for US House of Reprensatives from Idaho's 1st Congressional District today, 10/21/08, two weeks till votes are counted, Democratic challenger Walt Minnick edges incumbent Republican Bill Sali 51% to 45%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for Roll Call, the newspaper of Capitol Hill. Minnick leads by 22 points among voters focused on the economy.

Republican Sali has Minus 14 Favorability, identical to Democrat Obama, who is also at Minus 14.
Democrat Minnick has Plus 22 Favorability, identical to Republican McCain, who is also at Plus 22.
McCain carries the district 57% to 37% today.
35% approve of the job President Bush is doing, one of Bush's highest scores in any district.
9% approve of the job the US Congress is doing, one of Congress's lowest scores in any district.

Filtering: 700 registered voters from Idaho's 1st congressional district were interviewed by SurveyUSA 10/18/08 and 10/19/08 using Registration Based Sample (RBS) provided by Aristotle of Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 613 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote on or before Election Day. Sali received 50% of the vote in the 2006 election, which had 3 minor-party candidates on the ballot.

1	If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates?

613 Likely & Actual Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology			Already Voted?		Opinion Of Mccain			Opinion Of Obama			Opinion Of Sali			Opinion Of Minnick			Bush Overall App		Job Performance		Top Issue For Congress								Better Equipped		Vote For Preside		Vote For US Hous
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian/Ot	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Actual V	Likely V	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Approve	Disappro	Approve	Disappro	Economy	Environm	Health C	Iraq	Terroris	Gasoline	Educatio	Immigrat	Republic	Democrat	McCain	Obama	Sali	Minnick
McCain (R)	57%	61%	53%	55%	57%	50%	63%	56%	57%	56%	**	**	**	91%	11%	49%	90%	29%	5%	61%	56%	93%	8%	35%	3%	95%	66%	94%	29%	63%	26%	93%	73%	95%	29%	23%	65%	52%	**	26%	36%	97%	**	**	93%	95%	5%	100%	0%	95%	24%
Obama (D)	37%	34%	39%	37%	37%	43%	32%	37%	36%	37%	**	**	**	6%	82%	40%	5%	64%	92%	33%	37%	4%	86%	48%	94%	1%	10%	4%	63%	28%	67%	3%	20%	2%	63%	70%	28%	43%	**	58%	60%	1%	**	**	4%	2%	91%	0%	100%	2%	68%
Other	4%	3%	4%	5%	4%	5%	2%	4%	3%	4%	**	**	**	1%	3%	8%	3%	4%	2%	3%	4%	2%	4%	8%	1%	4%	10%	2%	4%	6%	4%	3%	4%	1%	5%	3%	4%	3%	**	6%	2%	1%	**	**	3%	2%	3%	0%	0%	2%	4%
Undecided	3%	2%	3%	4%	2%	2%	4%	2%	3%	3%	**	**	**	2%	4%	2%	3%	2%	0%	2%	3%	2%	2%	9%	2%	1%	13%	1%	4%	3%	4%	1%	3%	1%	4%	3%	3%	3%	**	10%	3%	1%	**	**	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	4%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters	100%	50%	50%	7%	20%	29%	44%	26%	74%	92%	2%	2%	4%	45%	28%	25%	50%	35%	12%	19%	81%	53%	31%	16%	37%	51%	10%	33%	47%	17%	45%	23%	28%	35%	56%	9%	78%	53%	3%	8%	6%	9%	3%	3%	12%	54%	37%	57%	37%	45%	51%

2	If the election for U.S. House of Representatives, were today, would you vote for ... (names rotated) Republican Bill Sali? Or Democrat Walt Minnick?

613 Likely & Actual Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology			Already Voted?		Opinion Of Mccain			Opinion Of Obama			Opinion Of Sali			Opinion Of Minnick			Bush Overall App		Job Performance		Top Issue For Congress								Better Equipped		Vote For Preside		Vote For US Hous
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian/Ot	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Actual V	Likely V	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Approve	Disappro	Approve	Disappro	Economy	Environm	Health C	Iraq	Terroris	Gasoline	Educatio	Immigrat	Republic	Democrat	McCain	Obama	Sali	Minnick
Bill Sali (R)	45%	49%	41%	51%	45%	40%	48%	46%	45%	45%	**	**	**	77%	4%	35%	75%	16%	5%	49%	44%	71%	10%	29%	3%	76%	45%	97%	7%	50%	5%	92%	66%	80%	19%	20%	51%	37%	**	22%	23%	90%	**	**	78%	77%	4%	75%	2%	100%	0%
Walt Minnick (D)	51%	49%	54%	40%	51%	55%	50%	49%	52%	52%	**	**	**	20%	94%	61%	21%	80%	94%	49%	52%	26%	88%	65%	95%	20%	49%	3%	91%	40%	94%	4%	28%	15%	78%	77%	45%	59%	**	73%	73%	10%	**	**	20%	20%	95%	22%	96%	0%	100%
Undecided	4%	2%	5%	9%	4%	5%	2%	5%	3%	4%	**	**	**	3%	2%	5%	3%	4%	1%	3%	4%	3%	3%	6%	2%	4%	6%	0%	2%	10%	0%	4%	7%	5%	3%	2%	4%	4%	**	5%	3%	0%	**	**	3%	3%	2%	3%	2%	0%	0%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters	100%	50%	50%	7%	20%	29%	44%	26%	74%	92%	2%	2%	4%	45%	28%	25%	50%	35%	12%	19%	81%	53%	31%	16%	37%	51%	10%	33%	47%	17%	45%	23%	28%	35%	56%	9%	78%	53%	3%	8%	6%	9%	3%	3%	12%	54%	37%	57%	37%	45%	51%

3	Is your opinion of John McCain ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of John McCain?

613 Likely & Actual Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology			Already Voted?		Opinion Of Mccain			Opinion Of Obama			Opinion Of Sali			Opinion Of Minnick			Bush Overall App		Job Performance		Top Issue For Congress								Better Equipped		Vote For Preside		Vote For US Hous
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian/Ot	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Actual V	Likely V	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Approve	Disappro	Approve	Disappro	Economy	Environm	Health C	Iraq	Terroris	Gasoline	Educatio	Immigrat	Republic	Democrat	McCain	Obama	Sali	Minnick
Favorable	53%	54%	51%	47%	52%	48%	57%	51%	53%	53%	**	**	**	83%	13%	44%	80%	29%	10%	62%	51%	100%	0%	0%	9%	83%	55%	87%	29%	50%	28%	85%	63%	89%	26%	22%	60%	48%	**	33%	33%	95%	**	**	74%	85%	8%	86%	6%	83%	27%
Unfavorable	31%	29%	33%	31%	30%	34%	29%	30%	31%	31%	**	**	**	7%	66%	33%	9%	46%	79%	29%	31%	0%	100%	0%	71%	5%	17%	4%	53%	22%	54%	7%	17%	3%	52%	63%	25%	32%	**	48%	52%	2%	**	**	11%	5%	71%	4%	73%	6%	53%
Neutral	16%	17%	15%	22%	18%	17%	14%	19%	15%	16%	**	**	**	9%	20%	23%	11%	24%	10%	8%	18%	0%	0%	100%	20%	11%	28%	8%	17%	28%	18%	8%	20%	7%	21%	13%	15%	19%	**	18%	15%	3%	**	**	14%	9%	21%	10%	21%	10%	20%
No Opinion	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	**	**	**	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	0%	2%	0%	1%	**	1%	0%	0%	**	**	0%	0%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters	100%	50%	50%	7%	20%	29%	44%	26%	74%	92%	2%	2%	4%	45%	28%	25%	50%	35%	12%	19%	81%	53%	31%	16%	37%	51%	10%	33%	47%	17%	45%	23%	28%	35%	56%	9%	78%	53%	3%	8%	6%	9%	3%	3%	12%	54%	37%	57%	37%	45%	51%

4	Is your opinion of Barack Obama ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of Barack Obama?

613 Likely & Actual Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology			Already Voted?		Opinion Of Mccain			Opinion Of Obama			Opinion Of Sali			Opinion Of Minnick			Bush Overall App		Job Performance		Top Issue For Congress								Better Equipped		Vote For Preside		Vote For US Hous
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian/Ot	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Actual V	Likely V	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Approve	Disappro	Approve	Disappro	Economy	Environm	Health C	Iraq	Terroris	Gasoline	Educatio	Immigrat	Republic	Democrat	McCain	Obama	Sali	Minnick
Favorable	37%	34%	40%	36%	37%	45%	32%	37%	37%	39%	**	**	**	7%	83%	41%	6%	65%	91%	35%	38%	7%	85%	46%	100%	0%	0%	4%	65%	27%	69%	4%	19%	3%	64%	75%	29%	44%	**	59%	59%	0%	**	**	3%	3%	91%	2%	96%	2%	69%
Unfavorable	51%	53%	49%	57%	52%	47%	53%	53%	50%	50%	**	**	**	78%	10%	50%	82%	25%	5%	53%	51%	81%	9%	35%	0%	100%	0%	86%	24%	57%	22%	92%	61%	86%	27%	12%	62%	43%	**	15%	33%	98%	**	**	88%	85%	4%	85%	1%	86%	20%
Neutral	10%	11%	9%	7%	10%	7%	13%	9%	11%	10%	**	**	**	13%	7%	9%	10%	10%	3%	10%	10%	11%	6%	18%	0%	0%	100%	7%	11%	15%	9%	4%	16%	10%	9%	11%	8%	13%	**	21%	8%	1%	**	**	3%	11%	4%	12%	3%	10%	10%
No Opinion	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	1%	2%	0%	2%	1%	**	**	**	2%	1%	0%	2%	0%	1%	1%	1%	2%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	4%	1%	0%	2%	1%	0%	**	4%	0%	0%	**	**	5%	2%	0%	2%	0%	2%	1%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters	100%	50%	50%	7%	20%	29%	44%	26%	74%	92%	2%	2%	4%	45%	28%	25%	50%	35%	12%	19%	81%	53%	31%	16%	37%	51%	10%	33%	47%	17%	45%	23%	28%	35%	56%	9%	78%	53%	3%	8%	6%	9%	3%	3%	12%	54%	37%	57%	37%	45%	51%

5	If your opinion of Bill Sali is...

613 Likely & Actual Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology			Already Voted?		Opinion Of Mccain			Opinion Of Obama			Opinion Of Sali			Opinion Of Minnick			Bush Overall App		Job Performance		Top Issue For Congress								Better Equipped		Vote For Preside		Vote For US Hous
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian/Ot	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Actual V	Likely V	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Approve	Disappro	Approve	Disappro	Economy	Environm	Health C	Iraq	Terroris	Gasoline	Educatio	Immigrat	Republic	Democrat	McCain	Obama	Sali	Minnick
Favorable	33%	38%	29%	33%	29%	29%	38%	30%	35%	34%	**	**	**	58%	6%	22%	57%	12%	4%	38%	32%	55%	5%	17%	4%	56%	23%	100%	0%	0%	5%	77%	43%	59%	14%	10%	39%	28%	**	13%	14%	76%	**	**	56%	56%	5%	55%	3%	72%	2%
Unfavorable	47%	47%	46%	34%	47%	51%	45%	44%	48%	47%	**	**	**	22%	78%	56%	21%	68%	84%	46%	47%	25%	80%	51%	81%	22%	48%	0%	100%	0%	84%	10%	23%	17%	68%	68%	41%	52%	**	68%	56%	11%	**	**	26%	22%	80%	23%	81%	7%	82%
Neutral	17%	15%	20%	26%	21%	17%	15%	22%	16%	17%	**	**	**	18%	13%	21%	20%	17%	10%	14%	18%	17%	12%	30%	13%	19%	26%	0%	0%	100%	11%	12%	33%	21%	15%	19%	18%	18%	**	13%	26%	12%	**	**	17%	19%	13%	19%	13%	19%	14%
No Opinion	3%	1%	4%	6%	3%	3%	2%	4%	2%	2%	**	**	**	2%	3%	1%	2%	3%	2%	2%	3%	3%	3%	2%	3%	2%	3%	0%	0%	0%	1%	1%	1%	2%	3%	3%	2%	2%	**	5%	4%	2%	**	**	1%	2%	3%	2%	3%	2%	2%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters	100%	50%	50%	7%	20%	29%	44%	26%	74%	92%	2%	2%	4%	45%	28%	25%	50%	35%	12%	19%	81%	53%	31%	16%	37%	51%	10%	33%	47%	17%	45%	23%	28%	35%	56%	9%	78%	53%	3%	8%	6%	9%	3%	3%	12%	54%	37%	57%	37%	45%	51%

6	If your opinion of Walt Minnick is...

613 Likely & Actual Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology			Already Voted?		Opinion Of Mccain			Opinion Of Obama			Opinion Of Sali			Opinion Of Minnick			Bush Overall App		Job Performance		Top Issue For Congress								Better Equipped		Vote For Preside		Vote For US Hous
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian/Ot	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Actual V	Likely V	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Approve	Disappro	Approve	Disappro	Economy	Environm	Health C	Iraq	Terroris	Gasoline	Educatio	Immigrat	Republic	Democrat	McCain	Obama	Sali	Minnick
Favorable	45%	46%	44%	24%	35%	49%	49%	32%	49%	45%	**	**	**	20%	81%	48%	20%	70%	81%	44%	45%	23%	78%	51%	83%	19%	40%	6%	80%	27%	100%	0%	0%	18%	66%	80%	38%	50%	**	65%	65%	10%	**	**	22%	20%	82%	21%	81%	5%	82%
Unfavorable	23%	24%	22%	29%	27%	23%	20%	28%	21%	23%	**	**	**	38%	4%	18%	39%	7%	4%	21%	23%	37%	5%	11%	2%	41%	10%	53%	5%	16%	0%	100%	0%	44%	10%	5%	28%	19%	**	6%	14%	41%	**	**	39%	40%	1%	37%	2%	47%	2%
Neutral	28%	28%	29%	36%	33%	24%	28%	34%	27%	28%	**	**	**	35%	14%	32%	35%	21%	15%	28%	29%	34%	16%	35%	14%	34%	46%	36%	14%	53%	0%	0%	100%	32%	22%	13%	30%	27%	**	27%	21%	39%	**	**	35%	36%	14%	36%	16%	41%	15%
No Opinion	4%	2%	5%	11%	5%	3%	3%	6%	3%	4%	**	**	**	6%	1%	3%	5%	2%	1%	8%	3%	6%	1%	3%	1%	6%	4%	5%	0%	3%	0%	0%	0%	6%	2%	2%	4%	3%	**	2%	1%	10%	**	**	4%	4%	3%	6%	1%	6%	1%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters	100%	50%	50%	7%	20%	29%	44%	26%	74%	92%	2%	2%	4%	45%	28%	25%	50%	35%	12%	19%	81%	53%	31%	16%	37%	51%	10%	33%	47%	17%	45%	23%	28%	35%	56%	9%	78%	53%	3%	8%	6%	9%	3%	3%	12%	54%	37%	57%	37%	45%	51%

7	Do you approve or disapprove of the job George W. Bush is doing as President?

613 Likely & Actual Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology			Already Voted?		Opinion Of Mccain			Opinion Of Obama			Opinion Of Sali			Opinion Of Minnick			Bush Overall App		Job Performance		Top Issue For Congress								Better Equipped		Vote For Preside		Vote For US Hous
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian/Ot	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Actual V	Likely V	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Approve	Disappro	Approve	Disappro	Economy	Environm	Health C	Iraq	Terroris	Gasoline	Educatio	Immigrat	Republic	Democrat	McCain	Obama	Sali	Minnick
Approve	35%	34%	36%	37%	41%	33%	34%	40%	34%	35%	**	**	**	60%	5%	27%	57%	17%	4%	36%	35%	60%	4%	16%	3%	60%	35%	63%	13%	42%	14%	68%	39%	100%	0%	25%	40%	32%	**	12%	16%	75%	**	**	50%	61%	3%	59%	2%	63%	11%
Disapprove	56%	56%	57%	51%	52%	61%	56%	52%	58%	57%	**	**	**	27%	94%	67%	32%	79%	94%	54%	57%	28%	96%	74%	96%	30%	49%	24%	83%	47%	83%	24%	44%	0%	100%	72%	52%	61%	**	76%	72%	16%	**	**	40%	26%	96%	28%	96%	24%	85%
Not Sure	8%	10%	7%	12%	8%	6%	10%	9%	8%	9%	**	**	**	14%	2%	6%	11%	5%	2%	10%	8%	12%	1%	10%	1%	11%	16%	13%	4%	10%	3%	8%	17%	0%	0%	2%	8%	7%	**	12%	12%	9%	**	**	11%	13%	1%	13%	2%	13%	4%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters	100%	50%	50%	7%	20%	29%	44%	26%	74%	92%	2%	2%	4%	45%	28%	25%	50%	35%	12%	19%	81%	53%	31%	16%	37%	51%	10%	33%	47%	17%	45%	23%	28%	35%	56%	9%	78%	53%	3%	8%	6%	9%	3%	3%	12%	54%	37%	57%	37%	45%	51%

8	Do you approve? Or disapprove? Of the job the United States Congress is doing?

613 Likely & Actual Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology			Already Voted?		Opinion Of Mccain			Opinion Of Obama			Opinion Of Sali			Opinion Of Minnick			Bush Overall App		Job Performance		Top Issue For Congress								Better Equipped		Vote For Preside		Vote For US Hous
Credibility Interval: ± 3.4 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian/Ot	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Actual V	Likely V	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Approve	Disappro	Approve	Disappro	Economy	Environm	Health C	Iraq	Terroris	Gasoline	Educatio	Immigrat	Republic	Democrat	McCain	Obama	Sali	Minnick
Approve	9%	9%	10%	9%	10%	12%	7%	9%	9%	8%	**	**	**	5%	16%	9%	4%	14%	18%	8%	10%	4%	19%	8%	18%	2%	10%	3%	13%	10%	16%	2%	4%	7%	12%	100%	0%	10%	**	20%	17%	1%	**	**	2%	4%	18%	4%	18%	4%	14%
Disapprove	78%	79%	77%	73%	81%	76%	78%	79%	77%	78%	**	**	**	86%	63%	80%	91%	67%	57%	76%	78%	88%	63%	73%	60%	94%	60%	91%	68%	80%	66%	93%	82%	88%	71%	0%	100%	74%	**	56%	73%	97%	**	**	97%	89%	62%	89%	59%	89%	68%
Not Sure	13%	12%	14%	18%	10%	12%	14%	12%	14%	13%	**	**	**	9%	21%	11%	5%	19%	25%	17%	12%	8%	19%	19%	22%	4%	30%	6%	19%	11%	17%	5%	14%	6%	17%	0%	0%	16%	**	25%	10%	2%	**	**	1%	7%	20%	7%	23%	7%	18%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters	100%	50%	50%	7%	20%	29%	44%	26%	74%	92%	2%	2%	4%	45%	28%	25%	50%	35%	12%	19%	81%	53%	31%	16%	37%	51%	10%	33%	47%	17%	45%	23%	28%	35%	56%	9%	78%	53%	3%	8%	6%	9%	3%	3%	12%	54%	37%	57%	37%	45%	51%

9	Which one issue should congress focus on ahead of all others? (choices rotated) The economy? The environment? Health care? Iraq? Terrorism? The price of gasoline? Education? Immigration? Or some other issue?

606 Likely & Actual Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology			Already Voted?		Opinion Of Mccain			Opinion Of Obama			Opinion Of Sali			Opinion Of Minnick			Bush Overall App		Job Performance		Top Issue For Congress								Better Equipped		Vote For Preside		Vote For US Hous
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian/Ot	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Actual V	Likely V	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Approve	Disappro	Approve	Disappro	Economy	Environm	Health C	Iraq	Terroris	Gasoline	Educatio	Immigrat	Republic	Democrat	McCain	Obama	Sali	Minnick
Economy	53%	50%	55%	56%	55%	54%	50%	55%	52%	53%	**	**	**	51%	58%	50%	48%	62%	51%	50%	53%	48%	56%	63%	62%	44%	66%	44%	59%	55%	60%	43%	51%	47%	58%	57%	50%	100%	**	0%	0%	0%	**	**	0%	48%	61%	47%	62%	43%	61%
Environment	3%	4%	2%	3%	3%	2%	4%	3%	3%	3%	**	**	**	0%	6%	4%	1%	5%	9%	0%	4%	0%	8%	1%	8%	0%	1%	0%	6%	1%	6%	0%	1%	0%	5%	2%	3%	0%	**	0%	0%	0%	**	**	0%	0%	8%	0%	8%	0%	6%
Health Care	8%	6%	10%	5%	6%	11%	8%	6%	9%	8%	**	**	**	4%	16%	7%	3%	11%	14%	12%	7%	5%	13%	9%	13%	2%	16%	3%	12%	6%	12%	2%	8%	3%	11%	17%	6%	0%	**	100%	0%	0%	**	**	0%	4%	12%	4%	13%	4%	12%
Iraq	6%	5%	6%	7%	5%	6%	6%	5%	6%	6%	**	**	**	4%	9%	5%	4%	5%	17%	6%	6%	4%	10%	5%	9%	4%	4%	2%	7%	8%	8%	3%	4%	3%	7%	10%	5%	0%	**	0%	100%	0%	**	**	0%	4%	9%	3%	9%	3%	8%
Terrorism	9%	10%	8%	5%	9%	8%	11%	8%	10%	10%	**	**	**	16%	1%	7%	16%	4%	0%	10%	9%	17%	1%	2%	0%	18%	1%	21%	2%	6%	2%	17%	13%	20%	3%	1%	12%	0%	**	0%	0%	100%	**	**	0%	16%	2%	16%	0%	18%	2%
Gasoline	3%	4%	2%	8%	4%	4%	1%	5%	2%	3%	**	**	**	4%	1%	3%	4%	1%	1%	3%	3%	4%	1%	3%	1%	5%	2%	5%	1%	3%	1%	6%	3%	5%	1%	3%	3%	0%	**	0%	0%	0%	**	**	0%	4%	1%	4%	1%	5%	1%
Education	3%	2%	4%	4%	4%	5%	2%	4%	3%	3%	**	**	**	3%	4%	3%	1%	4%	6%	4%	3%	2%	5%	4%	5%	2%	4%	1%	4%	4%	3%	4%	3%	2%	4%	4%	3%	0%	**	0%	0%	0%	**	**	0%	2%	4%	2%	5%	2%	4%
Immigration	12%	16%	8%	9%	9%	8%	17%	9%	13%	12%	**	**	**	15%	3%	17%	19%	6%	1%	14%	12%	17%	4%	11%	1%	21%	4%	20%	7%	12%	6%	20%	15%	17%	9%	3%	15%	0%	**	0%	0%	0%	**	**	100%	18%	2%	19%	1%	21%	5%
Other	2%	2%	2%	3%	5%	1%	1%	4%	1%	2%	**	**	**	2%	0%	3%	4%	0%	0%	1%	2%	3%	1%	1%	0%	4%	1%	3%	1%	3%	1%	4%	2%	3%	1%	1%	2%	0%	**	0%	0%	0%	**	**	0%	3%	0%	3%	0%	3%	1%
Not Sure	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	**	**	**	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	0%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	0%	**	0%	0%	0%	**	**	0%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters	100%	49%	51%	7%	20%	30%	44%	26%	74%	92%	2%	2%	4%	45%	28%	25%	50%	35%	11%	19%	81%	53%	30%	16%	37%	52%	10%	34%	46%	18%	45%	23%	28%	36%	56%	9%	78%	53%	3%	8%	6%	9%	3%	3%	12%	54%	37%	58%	36%	45%	51%

10	Which party do you think is best equipped to handle the economy? (choices rotated) The Republicans? Or The Democrats?

605 Likely Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology			Already Voted?		Opinion Of Mccain			Opinion Of Obama			Opinion Of Sali			Opinion Of Minnick			Bush Overall App		Job Performance		Top Issue For Congress								Better Equipped		Vote For Preside		Vote For US Hous
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points	All	Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian/Ot	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Actual V	Likely V	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Favorabl	Unfavora	Neutral	Approve	Disappro	Approve	Disappro	Economy	Environm	Health C	Iraq	Terroris	Gasoline	Educatio	Immigrat	Republic	Democrat	McCain	Obama	Sali	Minnick
Republicans	54%	58%	50%	53%	56%	48%	58%	55%	54%	53%	**	**	**	89%	8%	44%	86%	25%	5%	57%	54%	87%	9%	30%	4%	89%	56%	90%	26%	60%	24%	93%	70%	93%	25%	24%	61%	49%	**	27%	36%	92%	**	**	83%	100%	0%	90%	3%	91%	21%
Democrats	37%	33%	40%	33%	35%	45%	33%	34%	38%	38%	**	**	**	5%	85%	40%	6%	65%	89%	40%	36%	5%	86%	48%	91%	3%	15%	5%	64%	26%	68%	2%	18%	3%	63%	70%	29%	43%	**	57%	56%	6%	**	**	6%	0%	100%	3%	93%	3%	68%
Not Sure	9%	8%	10%	14%	10%	6%	10%	11%	8%	9%	**	**	**	5%	7%	16%	8%	9%	5%	4%	10%	7%	5%	22%	5%	8%	30%	5%	10%	14%	8%	4%	13%	4%	12%	6%	9%	8%	**	16%	8%	2%	**	**	11%	0%	0%	7%	4%	6%	10%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Voters	100%	49%	51%	7%	20%	30%	44%	26%	74%	92%	2%	2%	4%	45%	28%	25%	50%	35%	11%	19%	81%	53%	30%	16%	37%	52%	10%	34%	46%	18%	45%	23%	28%	36%	56%	9%	78%	53%	3%	8%	6%	9%	3%	3%	12%	54%	37%	58%	36%	46%	51%

** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.