| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #26626 |
| 11 Days Until New Mexico Votes are Counted, Momentum on Republicans' Side ... But Will it be Enough to Overtake Democratic Advantages?
SurveyUSA's latest exclusive polling for KOB-TV in Albuquerque shows tightening in the contests for Governor, Attorney General, and Secretary of State, as three Republicans gain ground to narrow their gaps against their Democratic opponents. In the race for Governor, incumbent Democrat Michelle Lujan Grisham takes 46% of the vote today, Republican Mark Ronchetti 39%. Libertarian Karen Bedonie takes 5%; 9% are undecided. Compared to identical SurveyUSA research conducted 3 weeks ago, Lujan Grisham is down 7 points and Ronchetti is up 2. Among men, Lujan Grisham had led by 6 points in September, by a nominal single point in October, and now trails Ronchetti by 3. Among women, Lujan Grisham had led by 18 in September, by 29 points earlier this month, and leads by 16 today. Among white voters, Ronchetti now leads by 10 points, up from 6 points three weeks ago and 8 points in September. Latino voters prefer Lujan Grisham by a 20-point margin today, half of where the contest stood three weeks ago. Poll on poll, the race is unchanged in Bernalillo County, tightening in Dona Ana, and has flipped in the rest of New Mexico, where Lujan Grisham had led by 10 points, then by 8, and today trails by 3. Looking at some changes on the issues important to voters this election cycle, Ronchetti had led by 12 points among those voters most focused on inflation; now, he leads by 29. Among immigration-focused voters, Ronchetti slightly widens his lead from 59 points to 63 points. Voters who say crime and public safety is their top issue had backed Lujan Grisham by 12, and have now flipped to Ronchetti, who leads by 35 points among this slice of the electorate. In the race for the open Attorney General seat, Democrat Raul Torrez takes 47% of the vote today, down from 50% in the previous poll; Republican Jeremy Gay is at 37%, up from 33%. 17% are undecided in this down-ticket race. A notable portion of the 7-point narrowing in this contest comes from white voters, where voters had previously see-sawed between narrow edges for each candidate but now favor the Republican by a 15-point margin, 50% to 35%. 86% of Lujan Grisham voters stick with the Democratic party and vote for Raul Torrez for AG; 79% of Ronchetti voters stick with the Republican party and vote for Jeremy Gay. Incumbent Democratic Secretary of State Maggie Toulouse Oliver's lead against Republican Audrey Trujillo has also narrowed to single digits; today, Toulouse Oliver is at 43% (down 4 points); Trujillo is at 36% (up 4 points.) 3% vote for Libertarian Mayna Myers; 17% are undecided. Among men, Toulouse Oliver had led by 10 points in September, by a nominal single point earlier this month; today, she trails Trujillo by a nominal 2 points. Among women, Toulouse Oliver led by 12 points in September, by 29 points earlier this month, and today is back to a 15-point lead. 47% of voters who say they generally vote for Republicans say an endorsement by Donald Trump makes them more likely to vote for a candidate; 46% say it makes no difference; just 6% say it makes them less likely to vote for a candidate. 38% of those who generally vote for Democrats say that an endorsement by Joe Biden makes them more likely to vote for a candidate; 48% say it makes no difference; the same number, 6%, say it makes them less likely to vote for a candidate. Full results follow ... |
| About the Poll / Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed a representative cross-section of 1,000 New Mexico adults online 10/21/22 through 10/26/22, using sample provided by Lucid Holdings LLC of New Orleans. Of the adults, 755 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 650 were identified by SurveyUSA as being likely to vote in the November 2022 general election or to have already voted and were asked the questions which follow. The pool of adult survey respondents was weighted to US Census targets for gender, age, race, education, and home ownership. |
| 1 | Are you registered to vote in the state of New Mexico? |
| 1000 Adults | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely To Vote | Governor Vote | Atty General Vot | SOS Vote | Top Issue | Abortion Impact On Vote | Crime Impact On Vote | 2020 Vote | Parent Of Child | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Almost C | Certain | Already | Ronchett | Lujan Gr | Gay | Torrez | Trujillo | Maggie O | Inflatio | The Econ | Health C | Abortion | Crime / | Immigrat | Educatio | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Bernalil | Dona Ana | Rest of | |
| Yes | 76% | 72% | 79% | 63% | 72% | 86% | 84% | 67% | 85% | 86% | 68% | 65% | 90% | 90% | 57% | 87% | 84% | 73% | 80% | 83% | 85% | 73% | 81% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 93% | 95% | 68% | 79% | 62% | 80% | 92% | 68% | 77% | 90% | 82% | 62% | 75% | 77% | 75% | 73% | 68% | 80% |
| No | 22% | 25% | 19% | 32% | 27% | 14% | 13% | 30% | 14% | 12% | 30% | 30% | 9% | 9% | 38% | 12% | 15% | 24% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 24% | 18% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7% | 4% | 30% | 18% | 34% | 17% | 8% | 28% | 22% | 9% | 16% | 34% | 24% | 22% | 20% | 25% | 29% | 17% |
| Not Sure | 3% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Adults | 100% | 48% | 52% | 30% | 21% | 27% | 22% | 51% | 49% | 44% | 39% | 16% | 30% | 35% | 25% | 10% | 21% | 38% | 11% | 8% | 31% | 38% | 19% | 18% | 55% | 14% | 39% | 46% | 37% | 47% | 36% | 43% | 15% | 21% | 6% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 12% | 35% | 27% | 23% | 14% | 54% | 26% | 5% | 31% | 34% | 29% | 71% | 42% | 32% | 26% | 44% | 35% | 21% | 68% | 32% | 32% | 37% | 32% | 38% | 14% | 48% |
| 2 | New Mexico will hold an election for Governor and other statewide offices in November. Not everyone has a chance to vote in an election. Which best describes you? |
| 755 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely To Vote | Governor Vote | Atty General Vot | SOS Vote | Top Issue | Abortion Impact On Vote | Crime Impact On Vote | 2020 Vote | Parent Of Child | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Almost C | Certain | Already | Ronchett | Lujan Gr | Gay | Torrez | Trujillo | Maggie O | Inflatio | The Econ | Health C | Abortion | Crime / | Immigrat | Educatio | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Bernalil | Dona Ana | Rest of | |
| Not Interested / Will Not Vote | 4% | 6% | 3% | 10% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 10% | 8% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 4% |
| Not Sure Will Have Time | 7% | 6% | 8% | 14% | 6% | 6% | 1% | 11% | 4% | 5% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 4% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 15% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 9% |
| Almost Certain | 18% | 16% | 19% | 28% | 23% | 14% | 8% | 26% | 11% | 13% | 21% | 26% | 16% | 19% | 17% | 8% | 18% | 24% | 19% | 9% | 15% | 24% | 15% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 18% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 25% | 26% | 10% | 18% | 26% | 41% | 11% | 16% | 32% | 14% | 20% | 18% | 27% | 5% | 17% | 16% | 25% | 15% | 15% | 25% | 13% | 18% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 21% | 14% | 18% | 21% | 17% | 16% | 18% |
| Absolutely Certain | 55% | 57% | 52% | 38% | 55% | 60% | 65% | 45% | 62% | 60% | 46% | 55% | 63% | 54% | 46% | 63% | 60% | 49% | 55% | 67% | 61% | 49% | 60% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 68% | 63% | 67% | 62% | 72% | 64% | 66% | 62% | 59% | 66% | 72% | 55% | 44% | 74% | 69% | 51% | 69% | 67% | 64% | 60% | 66% | 62% | 59% | 57% | 54% | 52% | 51% | 61% | 54% | 52% | 59% | 57% | 48% | 53% | 55% | 56% | 57% | 58% | 52% |
| Already Voted | 14% | 12% | 15% | 6% | 8% | 16% | 24% | 7% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 5% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 16% | 12% | 13% | 16% | 21% | 13% | 13% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 14% | 19% | 17% | 20% | 17% | 21% | 15% | 14% | 15% | 24% | 10% | 19% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 13% | 17% | 13% | 29% | 14% | 17% | 5% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 20% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 6% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% |
| Not Sure | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 25% | 20% | 31% | 24% | 45% | 55% | 51% | 35% | 14% | 35% | 42% | 19% | 11% | 23% | 37% | 12% | 8% | 35% | 37% | 20% | 18% | 55% | 14% | 39% | 46% | 37% | 47% | 36% | 43% | 15% | 21% | 6% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 12% | 35% | 27% | 23% | 14% | 54% | 26% | 5% | 38% | 43% | 26% | 74% | 34% | 34% | 31% | 40% | 36% | 24% | 74% | 26% | 31% | 38% | 31% | 37% | 12% | 51% |
 | If the election for Governor were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? |
| 650 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely To Vote | Governor Vote | Atty General Vot | SOS Vote | Top Issue | Abortion Impact On Vote | Crime Impact On Vote | 2020 Vote | Parent Of Child | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Almost C | Certain | Already | Ronchett | Lujan Gr | Gay | Torrez | Trujillo | Maggie O | Inflatio | The Econ | Health C | Abortion | Crime / | Immigrat | Educatio | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Bernalil | Dona Ana | Rest of | |
| Mark Ronchetti (R) | 39% | 44% | 35% | 31% | 37% | 47% | 38% | 34% | 43% | 49% | 34% | 14% | 79% | 7% | 33% | 80% | 61% | 36% | 5% | 1% | 67% | 36% | 3% | 34% | 42% | 34% | 100% | 0% | 85% | 8% | 81% | 9% | 56% | 50% | 19% | 15% | 59% | 69% | 36% | 23% | 28% | 38% | 68% | 50% | 45% | 28% | 19% | 80% | 4% | 36% | 40% | 45% | 35% | 39% | 36% | 37% | 47% | 43% | 27% | 38% | 41% | 39% | 36% | 31% | 44% |
| Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) | 46% | 41% | 51% | 47% | 52% | 35% | 56% | 49% | 44% | 39% | 54% | 57% | 10% | 82% | 39% | 11% | 25% | 47% | 84% | 96% | 20% | 47% | 89% | 40% | 46% | 55% | 0% | 100% | 4% | 86% | 8% | 86% | 27% | 37% | 64% | 79% | 24% | 6% | 52% | 73% | 61% | 46% | 14% | 30% | 41% | 59% | 73% | 8% | 85% | 50% | 45% | 42% | 45% | 52% | 47% | 50% | 40% | 44% | 56% | 55% | 45% | 39% | 51% | 55% | 41% |
| Karen Bedonie (L) | 5% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 15% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 13% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 7% |
| Undecided | 9% | 9% | 10% | 18% | 6% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 22% | 9% | 8% | 13% | 7% | 8% | 13% | 8% | 0% | 8% | 13% | 4% | 22% | 7% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 11% | 9% | 14% | 2% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 1% | 8% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 8% | 11% | 1% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 14% | 5% | 12% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 21% | 20% | 32% | 27% | 41% | 59% | 53% | 33% | 14% | 38% | 43% | 16% | 11% | 24% | 37% | 12% | 9% | 36% | 37% | 22% | 20% | 63% | 16% | 39% | 46% | 37% | 47% | 36% | 43% | 15% | 21% | 6% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 12% | 35% | 27% | 23% | 14% | 54% | 26% | 5% | 41% | 46% | 26% | 74% | 32% | 34% | 34% | 38% | 35% | 26% | 77% | 23% | 30% | 38% | 32% | 38% | 12% | 50% |
 | If the election for Attorney General were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? |
| 650 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely To Vote | Governor Vote | Atty General Vot | SOS Vote | Top Issue | Abortion Impact On Vote | Crime Impact On Vote | 2020 Vote | Parent Of Child | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Almost C | Certain | Already | Ronchett | Lujan Gr | Gay | Torrez | Trujillo | Maggie O | Inflatio | The Econ | Health C | Abortion | Crime / | Immigrat | Educatio | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Bernalil | Dona Ana | Rest of | |
| Jeremy Gay (R) | 37% | 40% | 34% | 30% | 35% | 44% | 34% | 32% | 39% | 50% | 27% | 9% | 78% | 4% | 28% | 89% | 60% | 26% | 5% | 4% | 69% | 26% | 5% | 29% | 39% | 38% | 79% | 4% | 100% | 0% | 85% | 7% | 49% | 49% | 21% | 16% | 47% | 79% | 18% | 24% | 25% | 34% | 64% | 47% | 40% | 27% | 20% | 77% | 3% | 35% | 37% | 39% | 32% | 39% | 32% | 34% | 47% | 41% | 22% | 30% | 39% | 39% | 33% | 38% | 39% |
| Raul Torrez (D) | 47% | 41% | 51% | 47% | 52% | 34% | 57% | 49% | 45% | 35% | 58% | 62% | 8% | 85% | 36% | 7% | 24% | 48% | 85% | 93% | 19% | 48% | 88% | 42% | 45% | 57% | 9% | 86% | 0% | 100% | 8% | 89% | 36% | 35% | 55% | 78% | 29% | 10% | 51% | 71% | 60% | 45% | 19% | 36% | 43% | 54% | 68% | 9% | 85% | 45% | 47% | 43% | 47% | 49% | 48% | 50% | 39% | 45% | 52% | 55% | 45% | 40% | 52% | 43% | 43% |
| Undecided | 17% | 19% | 15% | 22% | 14% | 21% | 10% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 15% | 29% | 14% | 10% | 36% | 4% | 16% | 26% | 10% | 3% | 12% | 26% | 7% | 29% | 16% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 4% | 15% | 16% | 23% | 6% | 24% | 11% | 32% | 5% | 15% | 20% | 18% | 17% | 17% | 18% | 12% | 15% | 12% | 20% | 15% | 18% | 21% | 11% | 20% | 16% | 14% | 14% | 26% | 14% | 16% | 21% | 16% | 19% | 17% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 21% | 20% | 32% | 27% | 41% | 59% | 53% | 33% | 14% | 38% | 43% | 16% | 11% | 24% | 37% | 12% | 9% | 36% | 37% | 22% | 20% | 63% | 16% | 39% | 46% | 37% | 47% | 36% | 43% | 15% | 21% | 6% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 12% | 35% | 27% | 23% | 14% | 54% | 26% | 5% | 41% | 46% | 26% | 74% | 32% | 34% | 34% | 38% | 35% | 26% | 77% | 23% | 30% | 38% | 32% | 38% | 12% | 50% |
 | If the election for Secretary of State were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? |
| 650 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely To Vote | Governor Vote | Atty General Vot | SOS Vote | Top Issue | Abortion Impact On Vote | Crime Impact On Vote | 2020 Vote | Parent Of Child | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Almost C | Certain | Already | Ronchett | Lujan Gr | Gay | Torrez | Trujillo | Maggie O | Inflatio | The Econ | Health C | Abortion | Crime / | Immigrat | Educatio | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Bernalil | Dona Ana | Rest of | |
| Audrey Trujillo (R) | 36% | 41% | 32% | 33% | 36% | 43% | 31% | 35% | 38% | 44% | 32% | 16% | 77% | 5% | 27% | 89% | 58% | 28% | 2% | 3% | 68% | 28% | 3% | 21% | 41% | 37% | 74% | 6% | 84% | 6% | 100% | 0% | 59% | 44% | 17% | 13% | 52% | 75% | 17% | 19% | 26% | 38% | 60% | 46% | 40% | 27% | 20% | 73% | 5% | 38% | 36% | 46% | 28% | 35% | 35% | 35% | 40% | 39% | 25% | 33% | 33% | 44% | 33% | 32% | 40% |
| Maggie Toulouse Oliver (D) | 43% | 39% | 47% | 36% | 44% | 33% | 59% | 40% | 45% | 38% | 52% | 39% | 9% | 78% | 33% | 7% | 21% | 40% | 81% | 96% | 17% | 40% | 88% | 32% | 43% | 57% | 10% | 80% | 8% | 82% | 0% | 100% | 24% | 35% | 47% | 77% | 33% | 11% | 34% | 72% | 56% | 36% | 20% | 33% | 41% | 46% | 69% | 9% | 79% | 37% | 45% | 36% | 42% | 50% | 44% | 44% | 41% | 42% | 46% | 51% | 45% | 33% | 49% | 37% | 40% |
| Mayna Myers (L) | 3% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 13% | 0% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 8% | 3% |
| Undecided | 17% | 15% | 19% | 26% | 16% | 20% | 8% | 21% | 15% | 13% | 13% | 43% | 13% | 15% | 26% | 4% | 18% | 26% | 13% | 1% | 13% | 26% | 8% | 41% | 13% | 5% | 12% | 13% | 4% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 12% | 17% | 33% | 9% | 12% | 11% | 40% | 8% | 15% | 22% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 22% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 20% | 16% | 16% | 26% | 9% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 15% | 24% | 13% | 18% | 21% | 15% | 23% | 17% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 21% | 20% | 32% | 27% | 41% | 59% | 53% | 33% | 14% | 38% | 43% | 16% | 11% | 24% | 37% | 12% | 9% | 36% | 37% | 22% | 20% | 63% | 16% | 39% | 46% | 37% | 47% | 36% | 43% | 15% | 21% | 6% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 12% | 35% | 27% | 23% | 14% | 54% | 26% | 5% | 41% | 46% | 26% | 74% | 32% | 34% | 34% | 38% | 35% | 26% | 77% | 23% | 30% | 38% | 32% | 38% | 12% | 50% |
| 6 | Most of the time, do you vote for ...Republican candidates? Democratic candidates? An even mix of Republicans and Democrats? Or something else? |
| 650 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely To Vote | Governor Vote | Atty General Vot | SOS Vote | Top Issue | Abortion Impact On Vote | Crime Impact On Vote | 2020 Vote | Parent Of Child | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Almost C | Certain | Already | Ronchett | Lujan Gr | Gay | Torrez | Trujillo | Maggie O | Inflatio | The Econ | Health C | Abortion | Crime / | Immigrat | Educatio | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Bernalil | Dona Ana | Rest of | |
| Republican | 36% | 40% | 32% | 34% | 32% | 41% | 34% | 33% | 38% | 49% | 25% | 10% | 85% | 1% | 18% | 91% | 62% | 24% | 5% | 3% | 71% | 24% | 4% | 25% | 39% | 35% | 77% | 5% | 81% | 5% | 82% | 4% | 52% | 47% | 19% | 10% | 54% | 60% | 16% | 17% | 27% | 35% | 62% | 42% | 40% | 27% | 21% | 79% | 2% | 37% | 36% | 40% | 32% | 35% | 30% | 36% | 44% | 40% | 23% | 31% | 38% | 37% | 31% | 39% | 38% |
| Democratic | 43% | 36% | 48% | 44% | 50% | 33% | 48% | 47% | 40% | 30% | 54% | 65% | 5% | 85% | 24% | 8% | 22% | 40% | 84% | 96% | 18% | 40% | 89% | 42% | 43% | 46% | 4% | 80% | 3% | 82% | 4% | 83% | 28% | 32% | 74% | 72% | 27% | 11% | 45% | 66% | 58% | 38% | 14% | 36% | 38% | 51% | 64% | 3% | 81% | 43% | 43% | 36% | 50% | 42% | 46% | 45% | 35% | 41% | 51% | 48% | 40% | 42% | 47% | 39% | 41% |
| An Even Mix | 17% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 14% | 21% | 16% | 13% | 19% | 16% | 17% | 17% | 10% | 13% | 35% | 1% | 14% | 28% | 9% | 1% | 10% | 28% | 6% | 25% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 6% | 18% | 17% | 24% | 31% | 15% | 12% | 23% | 18% | 22% | 15% | 20% | 7% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 18% | 16% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 15% |
| Other | 2% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 3% |
| Not Sure | 3% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 5% | 0% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 21% | 20% | 32% | 27% | 41% | 59% | 53% | 33% | 14% | 38% | 43% | 16% | 11% | 24% | 37% | 12% | 9% | 36% | 37% | 22% | 20% | 63% | 16% | 39% | 46% | 37% | 47% | 36% | 43% | 15% | 21% | 6% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 12% | 35% | 27% | 23% | 14% | 54% | 26% | 5% | 41% | 46% | 26% | 74% | 32% | 34% | 34% | 38% | 35% | 26% | 77% | 23% | 30% | 38% | 32% | 38% | 12% | 50% |
| 7 | If Donald Trump endorses a candidate, does that make you ...more likely to vote for that candidate? Less likely to vote for that candidate? Or makes no difference? |
| 233 Who Usually Vote For Republicans | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely To Vote | Governor Vote | Atty General Vot | SOS Vote | Top Issue | Abortion Impact On Vote | Crime Impact On Vote | 2020 Vote | Parent Of Child | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 8.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Almost C | Certain | Already | Ronchett | Lujan Gr | Gay | Torrez | Trujillo | Maggie O | Inflatio | The Econ | Health C | Abortion | Crime / | Immigrat | Educatio | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Bernalil | Dona Ana | Rest of | |
| More Likely | 47% | 46% | 48% | 55% | 39% | 39% | 57% | 48% | 46% | 50% | 39% | ** | 47% | ** | 54% | 70% | 42% | 30% | ** | ** | 54% | 30% | ** | 38% | 50% | 41% | 47% | 46% | 51% | 43% | 51% | ** | 41% | 49% | ** | ** | 35% | 70% | ** | 81% | 53% | 50% | 36% | 67% | 49% | 24% | ** | 50% | ** | 54% | 45% | 55% | 37% | 47% | 51% | 44% | 46% | 44% | 64% | 46% | 45% | 50% | 51% | 40% | 46% |
| Less Likely | 6% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 2% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 3% | ** | 4% | ** | 16% | 0% | 3% | 16% | ** | ** | 2% | 16% | ** | 8% | 4% | 10% | 5% | 18% | 5% | 17% | 3% | ** | 4% | 3% | ** | ** | 5% | 2% | ** | 9% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 9% | ** | 1% | ** | 7% | 5% | 0% | 8% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 6% |
| No Difference | 46% | 49% | 43% | 36% | 57% | 54% | 37% | 46% | 47% | 43% | 57% | ** | 48% | ** | 23% | 28% | 54% | 53% | ** | ** | 43% | 53% | ** | 53% | 44% | 50% | 48% | 32% | 43% | 36% | 44% | ** | 54% | 48% | ** | ** | 61% | 24% | ** | 10% | 36% | 47% | 58% | 26% | 46% | 65% | ** | 47% | ** | 37% | 49% | 44% | 53% | 44% | 45% | 52% | 42% | 50% | 26% | 49% | 45% | 45% | 41% | 56% | 47% |
| Not Sure | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ** | 0% | ** | 7% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ** | ** | 1% | 1% | ** | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | ** | 1% | 1% | ** | ** | 0% | 4% | ** | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 2% | ** | 1% | ** | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Who Usually Vote For Republicans | 100% | 51% | 49% | 20% | 18% | 36% | 26% | 38% | 62% | 73% | 23% | 4% | 90% | 1% | 8% | 29% | 42% | 24% | 2% | 1% | 71% | 24% | 2% | 14% | 70% | 16% | 85% | 7% | 83% | 6% | 83% | 5% | 22% | 28% | 3% | 4% | 18% | 13% | 2% | 6% | 26% | 26% | 40% | 16% | 61% | 20% | 3% | 91% | 3% | 27% | 73% | 35% | 31% | 34% | 32% | 36% | 32% | 85% | 15% | 26% | 41% | 33% | 33% | 13% | 53% |
| 8 | If Joe Biden endorses a candidate, does that make you ...more likely to vote for that candidate? Less likely to vote for that candidate? Or makes no difference? |
| 279 Who Usually Vote For Democrats | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely To Vote | Governor Vote | Atty General Vot | SOS Vote | Top Issue | Abortion Impact On Vote | Crime Impact On Vote | 2020 Vote | Parent Of Child | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 7.4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Almost C | Certain | Already | Ronchett | Lujan Gr | Gay | Torrez | Trujillo | Maggie O | Inflatio | The Econ | Health C | Abortion | Crime / | Immigrat | Educatio | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Bernalil | Dona Ana | Rest of | |
| More Likely | 38% | 43% | 34% | 31% | 48% | 28% | 42% | 40% | 36% | 32% | 41% | 39% | ** | 40% | 27% | ** | 34% | 33% | 41% | 38% | 35% | 33% | 40% | 26% | 41% | 39% | ** | 41% | ** | 41% | ** | 42% | 34% | 36% | 28% | 46% | 46% | ** | 42% | 37% | 39% | 39% | 32% | 51% | 43% | 31% | 12% | ** | 41% | 38% | 35% | 47% | 32% | 36% | 38% | 39% | 35% | 34% | 48% | 40% | 43% | 28% | 37% | 48% | 35% |
| Less Likely | 6% | 9% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 5% | 1% | ** | 3% | 6% | ** | 7% | 6% | 1% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 0% | ** | 4% | ** | 5% | ** | 6% | 12% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 4% | ** | 0% | 1% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 2% | ** | 4% | 7% | 5% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 9% |
| No Difference | 48% | 47% | 48% | 51% | 42% | 51% | 47% | 46% | 49% | 55% | 48% | 33% | ** | 46% | 67% | ** | 25% | 54% | 52% | 47% | 30% | 54% | 50% | 37% | 48% | 58% | ** | 47% | ** | 46% | ** | 48% | 53% | 47% | 35% | 48% | 47% | ** | 40% | 53% | 51% | 39% | 36% | 23% | 45% | 51% | 82% | ** | 49% | 45% | 50% | 36% | 45% | 60% | 42% | 47% | 61% | 50% | 40% | 53% | 46% | 44% | 58% | 43% | 40% |
| Not Sure | 9% | 1% | 14% | 11% | 6% | 19% | 2% | 9% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 26% | ** | 11% | 0% | ** | 34% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 29% | 7% | 5% | 23% | 7% | 3% | ** | 8% | ** | 8% | ** | 4% | 2% | 7% | 37% | 5% | 2% | ** | 18% | 9% | 3% | 16% | 25% | 14% | 6% | 15% | 4% | ** | 7% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 17% | 2% | 11% | 11% | 3% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 23% | 3% | 7% | 15% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Who Usually Vote For Democrats | 100% | 39% | 61% | 22% | 23% | 25% | 31% | 45% | 55% | 38% | 42% | 21% | 4% | 85% | 9% | 2% | 13% | 34% | 25% | 21% | 15% | 34% | 46% | 20% | 63% | 17% | 3% | 87% | 3% | 89% | 3% | 84% | 10% | 16% | 11% | 27% | 8% | 2% | 5% | 19% | 47% | 24% | 8% | 11% | 48% | 31% | 8% | 3% | 87% | 27% | 73% | 27% | 40% | 33% | 41% | 37% | 21% | 73% | 27% | 34% | 35% | 31% | 41% | 11% | 48% |
 | Which one of the following issues is likely to most influence your vote heading into the 2022 elections? (issues rotated) |
| 650 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely To Vote | Governor Vote | Atty General Vot | SOS Vote | Top Issue | Abortion Impact On Vote | Crime Impact On Vote | 2020 Vote | Parent Of Child | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Almost C | Certain | Already | Ronchett | Lujan Gr | Gay | Torrez | Trujillo | Maggie O | Inflatio | The Econ | Health C | Abortion | Crime / | Immigrat | Educatio | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Bernalil | Dona Ana | Rest of | |
| Inflation | 15% | 16% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 9% | 17% | 13% | 13% | 21% | 11% | 19% | 11% | 16% | 23% | 14% | 17% | 11% | 4% | 17% | 17% | 8% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 21% | 9% | 20% | 12% | 24% | 8% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 29% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 20% | 11% | 17% | 15% | 19% | 13% | 13% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 22% | 15% |
| The Economy | 21% | 22% | 21% | 26% | 23% | 18% | 20% | 24% | 19% | 23% | 21% | 15% | 29% | 14% | 23% | 29% | 26% | 21% | 10% | 14% | 27% | 21% | 12% | 26% | 21% | 18% | 27% | 17% | 29% | 16% | 26% | 17% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 14% | 28% | 28% | 26% | 19% | 24% | 19% | 28% | 18% | 22% | 21% | 18% | 28% | 18% | 16% | 26% | 23% | 21% | 21% | 22% | 18% | 25% | 19% | 18% | 24% |
| Health Care | 6% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 11% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 15% | 3% | 12% | 0% | 1% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 10% | 0% | 3% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 9% |
| Abortion | 16% | 10% | 22% | 11% | 16% | 12% | 27% | 13% | 19% | 14% | 17% | 23% | 6% | 29% | 8% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 30% | 39% | 7% | 13% | 34% | 8% | 17% | 24% | 6% | 28% | 7% | 27% | 6% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 47% | 24% | 7% | 0% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 21% | 7% | 27% | 8% | 18% | 14% | 14% | 21% | 16% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 17% | 17% | 19% | 12% | 18% | 22% | 14% |
| Crime / Public Safety | 12% | 15% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 17% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 17% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 7% | 18% | 6% | 15% | 7% | 17% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 10% | 12% | 18% | 23% | 14% | 4% | 3% | 17% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 15% | 11% | 10% | 17% | 4% | 9% |
| Immigration / Border Security | 7% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 12% | 2% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 14% | 6% | 1% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 1% | 16% | 2% | 15% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 0% | 13% | 1% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 7% |
| Education | 5% | 7% | 4% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Housing | 2% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| The Environment | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 0% | 4% | 4% | 11% | 8% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 1% | 6% | 6% | 1% | 9% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 9% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 0% | 7% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 4% |
| Other | 6% | 10% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 11% | 9% | 0% | 7% | 5% | 15% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 21% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 8% |
| Not Sure | 4% | 1% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 21% | 20% | 32% | 27% | 41% | 59% | 53% | 33% | 14% | 38% | 43% | 16% | 11% | 24% | 37% | 12% | 9% | 36% | 37% | 22% | 20% | 63% | 16% | 39% | 46% | 37% | 47% | 36% | 43% | 15% | 21% | 6% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 12% | 35% | 27% | 23% | 14% | 54% | 26% | 5% | 41% | 46% | 26% | 74% | 32% | 34% | 34% | 38% | 35% | 26% | 77% | 23% | 30% | 38% | 32% | 38% | 12% | 50% |
 | How much impact will the issue of abortion have on your vote for Governor? |
| 650 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely To Vote | Governor Vote | Atty General Vot | SOS Vote | Top Issue | Abortion Impact On Vote | Crime Impact On Vote | 2020 Vote | Parent Of Child | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Almost C | Certain | Already | Ronchett | Lujan Gr | Gay | Torrez | Trujillo | Maggie O | Inflatio | The Econ | Health C | Abortion | Crime / | Immigrat | Educatio | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Bernalil | Dona Ana | Rest of | |
| Determining Factor | 12% | 10% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 8% | 19% | 7% | 13% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 30% | 8% | 10% | 22% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 7% | 20% | 8% | 19% | 6% | 21% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 36% | 4% | 3% | 18% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 16% | 13% | 13% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 16% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 17% | 12% |
| Major Factor | 35% | 31% | 38% | 34% | 33% | 31% | 41% | 34% | 35% | 33% | 37% | 38% | 26% | 44% | 31% | 35% | 25% | 31% | 53% | 55% | 28% | 31% | 54% | 27% | 38% | 33% | 24% | 46% | 24% | 45% | 25% | 45% | 26% | 22% | 31% | 52% | 30% | 27% | 46% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 41% | 28% | 34% | 25% | 46% | 32% | 36% | 40% | 29% | 35% | 39% | 31% | 33% | 33% | 41% | 36% | 38% | 29% | 39% | 30% | 32% |
| Somewhat Of a Factor | 27% | 27% | 27% | 30% | 32% | 27% | 21% | 31% | 24% | 25% | 28% | 29% | 27% | 25% | 31% | 18% | 33% | 28% | 25% | 9% | 29% | 28% | 18% | 42% | 22% | 28% | 26% | 27% | 25% | 26% | 28% | 23% | 24% | 36% | 36% | 12% | 29% | 37% | 32% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 17% | 25% | 37% | 23% | 26% | 27% | 32% | 26% | 26% | 30% | 24% | 20% | 34% | 28% | 28% | 25% | 23% | 26% | 32% | 20% | 29% | 32% |
| Not a Factor | 23% | 29% | 18% | 14% | 24% | 30% | 22% | 19% | 26% | 28% | 18% | 16% | 35% | 11% | 26% | 30% | 36% | 25% | 4% | 6% | 34% | 25% | 5% | 16% | 25% | 25% | 40% | 7% | 40% | 9% | 38% | 11% | 44% | 31% | 20% | 1% | 35% | 27% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 33% | 22% | 19% | 29% | 38% | 10% | 16% | 25% | 22% | 24% | 24% | 24% | 20% | 26% | 24% | 19% | 22% | 24% | 23% | 26% | 23% | 21% |
| Not Sure | 3% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 5% | 0% | 9% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 21% | 20% | 32% | 27% | 41% | 59% | 53% | 33% | 14% | 38% | 43% | 16% | 11% | 24% | 37% | 12% | 9% | 36% | 37% | 22% | 20% | 63% | 16% | 39% | 46% | 37% | 47% | 36% | 43% | 15% | 21% | 6% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 12% | 35% | 27% | 23% | 14% | 54% | 26% | 5% | 41% | 46% | 26% | 74% | 32% | 34% | 34% | 38% | 35% | 26% | 77% | 23% | 30% | 38% | 32% | 38% | 12% | 50% |
| 11 | How much impact will the issue of crime have on your vote for Governor? |
| 650 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely To Vote | Governor Vote | Atty General Vot | SOS Vote | Top Issue | Abortion Impact On Vote | Crime Impact On Vote | 2020 Vote | Parent Of Child | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Almost C | Certain | Already | Ronchett | Lujan Gr | Gay | Torrez | Trujillo | Maggie O | Inflatio | The Econ | Health C | Abortion | Crime / | Immigrat | Educatio | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Bernalil | Dona Ana | Rest of | |
| Determining Factor | 14% | 11% | 15% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 8% | 13% | 14% | 11% | 14% | 23% | 19% | 11% | 9% | 20% | 18% | 13% | 5% | 8% | 19% | 13% | 6% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 17% | 9% | 18% | 11% | 17% | 11% | 12% | 16% | 18% | 13% | 26% | 18% | 5% | 27% | 9% | 9% | 19% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 18% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 11% | 17% | 13% | 15% | 9% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 18% | 12% | 11% | 16% | 10% | 13% |
| Major Factor | 54% | 52% | 55% | 48% | 53% | 52% | 61% | 51% | 56% | 56% | 53% | 50% | 57% | 51% | 51% | 55% | 61% | 55% | 47% | 44% | 59% | 55% | 46% | 49% | 55% | 58% | 62% | 48% | 60% | 50% | 60% | 52% | 56% | 49% | 40% | 53% | 64% | 61% | 57% | 44% | 64% | 50% | 51% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 61% | 49% | 58% | 52% | 62% | 47% | 53% | 57% | 56% | 47% | 53% | 56% | 49% | 58% | 53% | 57% | 41% | 55% |
| Somewhat Of a Factor | 26% | 27% | 26% | 31% | 25% | 24% | 27% | 28% | 25% | 25% | 29% | 25% | 21% | 30% | 29% | 20% | 19% | 27% | 33% | 37% | 19% | 27% | 35% | 35% | 25% | 21% | 19% | 33% | 20% | 31% | 20% | 28% | 26% | 29% | 43% | 26% | 9% | 20% | 32% | 22% | 22% | 36% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 18% | 33% | 23% | 28% | 22% | 30% | 27% | 23% | 28% | 30% | 27% | 24% | 26% | 24% | 29% | 23% | 41% | 26% |
| Not a Factor | 5% | 9% | 2% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 11% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 3% | 8% | 3% | 8% | 3% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 0% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 7% |
| Not Sure | 1% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 4% | 0% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 21% | 20% | 32% | 27% | 41% | 59% | 53% | 33% | 14% | 38% | 43% | 16% | 11% | 24% | 37% | 12% | 9% | 36% | 37% | 22% | 20% | 63% | 16% | 39% | 46% | 37% | 47% | 36% | 43% | 15% | 21% | 6% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 12% | 35% | 27% | 23% | 14% | 54% | 26% | 5% | 41% | 46% | 26% | 74% | 32% | 34% | 34% | 38% | 35% | 26% | 77% | 23% | 30% | 38% | 32% | 38% | 12% | 50% |
 | Would you support a candidate who doesn't share your views on abortion? |
| 650 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely To Vote | Governor Vote | Atty General Vot | SOS Vote | Top Issue | Abortion Impact On Vote | Crime Impact On Vote | 2020 Vote | Parent Of Child | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Almost C | Certain | Already | Ronchett | Lujan Gr | Gay | Torrez | Trujillo | Maggie O | Inflatio | The Econ | Health C | Abortion | Crime / | Immigrat | Educatio | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Bernalil | Dona Ana | Rest of | |
| Definitely Would | 3% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 8% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
| Probably Would | 16% | 16% | 16% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 18% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 29% | 18% | 13% | 19% | 13% | 23% | 17% | 12% | 6% | 20% | 17% | 9% | 19% | 16% | 15% | 21% | 10% | 21% | 12% | 20% | 11% | 21% | 15% | 8% | 9% | 25% | 24% | 23% | 4% | 11% | 19% | 28% | 17% | 20% | 10% | 13% | 21% | 11% | 17% | 14% | 19% | 15% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 15% | 21% | 11% | 22% | 15% | 19% | 15% | 14% |
| Probably Would Not | 30% | 31% | 29% | 29% | 34% | 30% | 29% | 31% | 29% | 32% | 31% | 21% | 32% | 27% | 35% | 43% | 32% | 30% | 28% | 14% | 35% | 30% | 22% | 39% | 27% | 32% | 33% | 27% | 37% | 26% | 35% | 25% | 33% | 34% | 39% | 14% | 23% | 33% | 28% | 9% | 30% | 40% | 27% | 20% | 30% | 35% | 32% | 33% | 29% | 37% | 28% | 25% | 31% | 34% | 31% | 30% | 28% | 30% | 29% | 30% | 27% | 33% | 27% | 30% | 32% |
| Definitely Would Not | 38% | 35% | 40% | 35% | 29% | 40% | 43% | 32% | 41% | 38% | 37% | 36% | 31% | 47% | 31% | 37% | 27% | 32% | 51% | 74% | 30% | 32% | 61% | 27% | 42% | 34% | 29% | 48% | 27% | 47% | 30% | 49% | 25% | 24% | 50% | 73% | 35% | 25% | 49% | 85% | 55% | 16% | 13% | 47% | 37% | 32% | 41% | 31% | 45% | 29% | 41% | 39% | 35% | 39% | 37% | 37% | 40% | 39% | 33% | 43% | 31% | 40% | 37% | 30% | 40% |
| Not Sure | 13% | 13% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 15% | 12% | 12% | 15% | 12% | 15% | 11% | 12% | 6% | 14% | 17% | 5% | 2% | 12% | 17% | 4% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 19% | 20% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 24% | 21% | 11% | 9% | 20% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 11% | 16% | 10% | 14% | 23% | 10% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 21% | 20% | 32% | 27% | 41% | 59% | 53% | 33% | 14% | 38% | 43% | 16% | 11% | 24% | 37% | 12% | 9% | 36% | 37% | 22% | 20% | 63% | 16% | 39% | 46% | 37% | 47% | 36% | 43% | 15% | 21% | 6% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 12% | 35% | 27% | 23% | 14% | 54% | 26% | 5% | 41% | 46% | 26% | 74% | 32% | 34% | 34% | 38% | 35% | 26% | 77% | 23% | 30% | 38% | 32% | 38% | 12% | 50% |