| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #27868 |
| Dems Still Split Vote in Re-Districted CA-48, Where At Least One Republican Will Appear on November Ballot ... But Will Opponent Be (R) or (D)?
As was the case in SurveyUSA's previous poll in the crowded top-two primary election for US House in California's 48th Congressional district, it's too soon to say if voters will be choosing between two Republicans or between one Republican and one Democrat in November's general election, according to SurveyUSA's latest exclusive polling for KGTV 10 News and the San Diego Union Tribune. Three weeks ago, the nine Democrats in the field were dividing up 39% of the vote, with the leading Democrat at 12%, a nominal point behind one Republican and 13 points behind the other. Today, that Democrat is down, a different Democrat is up, and Republicans still take the top two slots, though once again, are only up a single, nominal point for the second ballot position. Breaking that all down:
On the issues, three weeks ago, a 26% plurality of voters said inflation and the economy was the biggest issue facing Congress, with 19% saying it was actually threats to democracy. Today, each of those two issues is said to be the most important by 23% of likely voters. The Republican candidates dominate among those who cite inflation and the economy as the top issue, with Desmond taking 33% of those voters and O'Neil 10%; no other candidate tops 7% among these voters. Among those who say threats to democracy are the biggest issue for Congress, Von Wilpert takes 23% of the vote, Campa-Najjar 16% – and Desmond, who has been endorsed by President Donald Trump, takes 11%. Two other issues break into double-digits: election security and voting rights, which 12% say is most important, where Desmond takes 57% of the vote, Von Wilpert 10%, and no one else breaks 6%; and immigration enforcement, at 10%, where O'Neil does very well, taking 23% of the vote – but Desmond, taking 39% of the vote here, dominates. Fully crosstabbed results follow. Click the "Triangle-T" icon where it appears in order to see SurveyUSA's interactive tracking graphs and view the changes from poll to poll. |
| About the Research / Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 645 adults from California's redistricted 48th congressional district 05/08/26 through 04/14/26 using a mixed mode, blended sample approach. Of the adults, 573 were determined to be registered voters; of the registered voters, 507 were identified by SurveyUSA as being likely to vote in the June 2 primary or to have already returned their ballots and were asked the substantive questions which follow. 44% of likely primary voters were interviewed on the display of their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device using non-probability sample of internet panel members provided by Cint USA. 56% were interviewed using probability-based telephone sample of registered voters from Aristotle of Washington, DC, using SMS-to-Web, where a live operator hand-texted respondents on their mobile phones, secured their cooperation, and linked them to an online version of the survey. The full pool of respondents was weighted to US Census-derived targets for gender, age, and ethnicity. |
| 1 | Are you registered to vote in the state of California? |
| 645 Adults | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Parent <18 | Likely | Primary Vote | Top Issue | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Type Of Intervie | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Yes | No | Probable | Definite | Already | Campa-Na | Desmond | O'Neil | Riker | Von Wilp | Wars / F | Immigrat | Inflatio | Health C | Election | Threats | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Web Pane | SMS-to-W | |
| Yes | 89% | 92% | 86% | 71% | 86% | 95% | 97% | 79% | 96% | 89% | 89% | 88% | 85% | 90% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 98% | 95% | 83% | 96% | 91% | 90% | 92% | 93% | 93% | 90% | 92% | 71% | 91% | 96% | 71% | 90% | 96% | 97% | 75% | 90% | 88% | 88% | 81% | 98% |
| No | 10% | 7% | 13% | 25% | 14% | 5% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2% | 5% | 16% | 4% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 27% | 8% | 3% | 26% | 10% | 4% | 3% | 23% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 18% | 2% |
| Not Sure | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Adults | 100% | 49% | 51% | 20% | 23% | 24% | 33% | 43% | 57% | 69% | 24% | 7% | 26% | 74% | 12% | 67% | 9% | 9% | 29% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 23% | 9% | 12% | 23% | 30% | 33% | 28% | 15% | 20% | 28% | 15% | 14% | 35% | 28% | 29% | 22% | 40% | 38% | 21% | 30% | 48% | 63% | 37% | 22% | 65% | 14% | 54% | 46% |
| 2 | California will hold a primary election for Governor, US House of Representatives, and other offices on June 2nd. Many people don't have the time to vote in primary elections. Thinking ahead to June 2, are you ... ? |
| 573 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Parent <18 | Likely | Primary Vote | Top Issue | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Type Of Intervie | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Yes | No | Probable | Definite | Already | Campa-Na | Desmond | O'Neil | Riker | Von Wilp | Wars / F | Immigrat | Inflatio | Health C | Election | Threats | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Web Pane | SMS-to-W | |
| Unlikely To Have Time To Vote | 5% | 5% | 5% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 0% | 9% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1% | 1% | 10% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 11% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 2% |
| Might Or Might Not Find Time | 7% | 7% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 1% | 12% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5% | 4% | 8% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 9% | 5% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 14% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 12% | 1% |
| Will Probably Vote | 12% | 12% | 12% | 25% | 15% | 14% | 3% | 19% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 20% | 10% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 10% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 17% | 18% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 10% | 9% | 15% | 4% | 14% | 15% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 15% | 9% | 18% | 14% | 8% | 21% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 23% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 19% | 5% |
| Will Definitely Vote | 67% | 66% | 69% | 46% | 58% | 63% | 86% | 53% | 76% | 68% | 64% | 70% | 57% | 71% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 84% | 76% | 79% | 96% | 87% | 76% | 75% | 70% | 65% | 90% | 88% | 78% | 76% | 53% | 90% | 65% | 59% | 71% | 76% | 76% | 59% | 73% | 51% | 66% | 76% | 50% | 65% | 75% | 77% | 45% | 61% | 67% | 79% | 51% | 83% |
| Have Already Returned Ballot | 9% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 12% | 22% | 6% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 3% | 13% | 10% | 15% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 8% | 10% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 16% | 22% | 26% | 36% | 38% | 62% | 69% | 24% | 7% | 25% | 75% | 12% | 67% | 9% | 9% | 29% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 23% | 9% | 12% | 23% | 33% | 35% | 26% | 16% | 20% | 29% | 16% | 14% | 36% | 29% | 30% | 17% | 41% | 41% | 17% | 31% | 52% | 69% | 31% | 22% | 64% | 13% | 50% | 50% |
![]() | If the primary for US House of Representatives were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (Candidate names rotated) |
| 507 Likely Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Parent <18 | Likely | Primary Vote | Top Issue | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Type Of Intervie | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Yes | No | Probable | Definite | Already | Campa-Na | Desmond | O'Neil | Riker | Von Wilp | Wars / F | Immigrat | Inflatio | Health C | Election | Threats | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Web Pane | SMS-to-W | |
| Ammar Campa-Najjar (D) | 9% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 2% | 11% | 1% | 9% | 12% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 6% | 6% | 15% | 1% | 16% | 2% | 18% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 19% | 15% | 2% | 8% | 17% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 17% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 9% | 2% | 8% | 9% |
| Abel Chavez (D) | 4% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 13% | 2% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 2% |
| Stephen Clemons (D) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| Corinna Contreras (D) | 3% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 10% | 0% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Jim Desmond (R) | 29% | 30% | 28% | 19% | 21% | 27% | 38% | 20% | 34% | 26% | 43% | 13% | 21% | 32% | 21% | 29% | 39% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 42% | 39% | 33% | 19% | 57% | 11% | 56% | 1% | 33% | 65% | 53% | 22% | 3% | 2% | 58% | 22% | 2% | 33% | 36% | 22% | 22% | 27% | 33% | 33% | 21% | 27% | 29% | 41% | 20% | 36% |
| Kevin Patrick O'Neil (R) | 10% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 12% | 4% | 11% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 12% | 23% | 10% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 21% | 2% | 8% | 26% | 14% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 20% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 11% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 10% |
| Ferguson Porter (D) | 1% | 1% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% |
| Luis F. Reyna (NPP) | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| Brandon Riker (D) | 6% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 0% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 4% | 8% | 1% | 12% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 14% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 3% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 8% |
| Mike Schaefer (D) | 3% | 3% | 2% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 1% |
| Eric Shaw (D) | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 1% |
| Marni Von Wilpert (D) | 9% | 9% | 8% | 0% | 5% | 4% | 17% | 3% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 0% | 10% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 23% | 0% | 17% | 10% | 0% | 2% | 8% | 17% | 21% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 2% | 7% | 11% | 11% | 0% | 2% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 12% |
| Undecided | 25% | 18% | 31% | 32% | 33% | 29% | 15% | 33% | 20% | 28% | 13% | 31% | 31% | 22% | 37% | 25% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 24% | 19% | 19% | 24% | 12% | 29% | 15% | 27% | 29% | 6% | 18% | 32% | 31% | 28% | 12% | 32% | 29% | 25% | 22% | 26% | 31% | 25% | 22% | 19% | 40% | 23% | 25% | 24% | 32% | 19% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Primary Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 14% | 20% | 26% | 40% | 34% | 66% | 69% | 23% | 7% | 23% | 76% | 14% | 76% | 10% | 9% | 29% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 23% | 9% | 12% | 23% | 35% | 37% | 24% | 18% | 21% | 27% | 17% | 15% | 39% | 27% | 32% | 15% | 41% | 43% | 15% | 30% | 55% | 74% | 26% | 21% | 65% | 14% | 44% | 56% |
![]() | Thinking about the number of candidates in the race for US House, do you think there are ...? |
| 507 Likely Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Parent <18 | Likely | Primary Vote | Top Issue | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Type Of Intervie | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Yes | No | Probable | Definite | Already | Campa-Na | Desmond | O'Neil | Riker | Von Wilp | Wars / F | Immigrat | Inflatio | Health C | Election | Threats | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Web Pane | SMS-to-W | |
| Too Many | 57% | 59% | 54% | 40% | 56% | 59% | 61% | 50% | 60% | 61% | 45% | 55% | 50% | 59% | 39% | 59% | 61% | 74% | 54% | 56% | 77% | 72% | 31% | 47% | 54% | 62% | 64% | 70% | 52% | 64% | 51% | 42% | 60% | 54% | 61% | 72% | 52% | 54% | 66% | 50% | 55% | 61% | 48% | 44% | 66% | 59% | 51% | 55% | 57% | 54% | 51% | 61% |
| The Right Number | 20% | 21% | 18% | 34% | 24% | 16% | 16% | 28% | 16% | 17% | 27% | 27% | 28% | 18% | 30% | 16% | 32% | 15% | 23% | 17% | 16% | 11% | 20% | 25% | 24% | 17% | 21% | 11% | 18% | 18% | 24% | 21% | 20% | 21% | 27% | 11% | 20% | 21% | 20% | 23% | 18% | 22% | 26% | 24% | 17% | 20% | 22% | 24% | 19% | 20% | 28% | 13% |
| Not Enough | 5% | 5% | 5% | 11% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 8% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 0% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 9% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 7% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 4% |
| Not Sure | 19% | 16% | 22% | 16% | 16% | 19% | 22% | 16% | 21% | 17% | 27% | 14% | 16% | 19% | 20% | 20% | 7% | 8% | 18% | 22% | 6% | 18% | 48% | 19% | 12% | 19% | 12% | 17% | 23% | 14% | 19% | 31% | 15% | 20% | 11% | 12% | 22% | 20% | 12% | 19% | 24% | 13% | 20% | 27% | 13% | 19% | 18% | 14% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 22% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Primary Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 14% | 20% | 26% | 40% | 34% | 66% | 69% | 23% | 7% | 23% | 76% | 14% | 76% | 10% | 9% | 29% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 23% | 9% | 12% | 23% | 35% | 37% | 24% | 18% | 21% | 27% | 17% | 15% | 39% | 27% | 32% | 15% | 41% | 43% | 15% | 30% | 55% | 74% | 26% | 21% | 65% | 14% | 44% | 56% |
| 507 Likely Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Parent <18 | Likely | Primary Vote | Top Issue | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Type Of Intervie | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Yes | No | Probable | Definite | Already | Campa-Na | Desmond | O'Neil | Riker | Von Wilp | Wars / F | Immigrat | Inflatio | Health C | Election | Threats | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Web Pane | SMS-to-W | |
| Very Closely | 43% | 45% | 40% | 38% | 33% | 43% | 49% | 35% | 46% | 44% | 38% | 47% | 36% | 45% | 20% | 46% | 46% | 60% | 39% | 55% | 55% | 53% | 49% | 52% | 31% | 29% | 43% | 59% | 42% | 48% | 36% | 63% | 30% | 33% | 49% | 53% | 45% | 33% | 51% | 32% | 37% | 53% | 46% | 40% | 44% | 47% | 32% | 43% | 43% | 41% | 30% | 52% |
| Somewhat Closely | 42% | 40% | 43% | 34% | 45% | 36% | 46% | 41% | 42% | 40% | 46% | 39% | 45% | 41% | 42% | 42% | 40% | 32% | 47% | 35% | 35% | 46% | 35% | 34% | 43% | 48% | 54% | 35% | 43% | 38% | 46% | 31% | 49% | 47% | 40% | 35% | 41% | 47% | 38% | 44% | 44% | 38% | 27% | 45% | 43% | 41% | 43% | 42% | 40% | 45% | 45% | 39% |
| Not Very Closely | 11% | 11% | 11% | 21% | 14% | 15% | 4% | 17% | 8% | 12% | 8% | 8% | 13% | 10% | 25% | 9% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 11% | 10% | 20% | 13% | 3% | 5% | 11% | 8% | 14% | 5% | 17% | 15% | 7% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 6% | 12% | 15% | 6% | 15% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 16% | 9% | 12% | 7% | 17% | 6% |
| Not Closely At All | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 6% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 1% |
| Not Sure | 3% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Primary Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 14% | 20% | 26% | 40% | 34% | 66% | 69% | 23% | 7% | 23% | 76% | 14% | 76% | 10% | 9% | 29% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 23% | 9% | 12% | 23% | 35% | 37% | 24% | 18% | 21% | 27% | 17% | 15% | 39% | 27% | 32% | 15% | 41% | 43% | 15% | 30% | 55% | 74% | 26% | 21% | 65% | 14% | 44% | 56% |
| 507 Likely Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Parent <18 | Likely | Primary Vote | Top Issue | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Type Of Intervie | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Yes | No | Probable | Definite | Already | Campa-Na | Desmond | O'Neil | Riker | Von Wilp | Wars / F | Immigrat | Inflatio | Health C | Election | Threats | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Web Pane | SMS-to-W | |
| Voted 'yes' | 46% | 47% | 44% | 49% | 43% | 42% | 48% | 46% | 46% | 47% | 41% | 55% | 47% | 45% | 32% | 47% | 55% | 81% | 4% | 20% | 76% | 94% | 18% | 22% | 45% | 63% | 32% | 76% | 12% | 86% | 39% | 4% | 20% | 46% | 88% | 88% | 12% | 46% | 88% | 38% | 40% | 54% | 39% | 49% | 45% | 45% | 46% | 50% | 47% | 31% | 46% | 46% |
| Voted 'no' | 39% | 43% | 34% | 28% | 42% | 46% | 36% | 36% | 40% | 41% | 34% | 30% | 43% | 38% | 35% | 40% | 36% | 5% | 78% | 67% | 16% | 3% | 32% | 65% | 45% | 17% | 60% | 17% | 68% | 5% | 47% | 77% | 62% | 36% | 5% | 4% | 69% | 36% | 5% | 36% | 41% | 38% | 38% | 26% | 46% | 42% | 29% | 34% | 37% | 54% | 34% | 42% |
| Did Not Vote | 5% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 5% | 0% | 11% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 0% | 2% | 9% | 5% | 15% | 3% | 2% | 8% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 12% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 9% | 7% | 3% |
| Don't Recall | 10% | 5% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 21% | 10% | 7% | 11% | 23% | 8% | 9% | 2% | 12% | 6% | 0% | 3% | 47% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 12% | 8% | 8% | 17% | 7% | 12% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 18% | 14% | 4% | 11% | 20% | 5% | 8% | 16% | 9% | 12% | 6% | 13% | 8% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Primary Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 14% | 20% | 26% | 40% | 34% | 66% | 69% | 23% | 7% | 23% | 76% | 14% | 76% | 10% | 9% | 29% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 23% | 9% | 12% | 23% | 35% | 37% | 24% | 18% | 21% | 27% | 17% | 15% | 39% | 27% | 32% | 15% | 41% | 43% | 15% | 30% | 55% | 74% | 26% | 21% | 65% | 14% | 44% | 56% |
![]() | As a result of Proposition 50, many voters now find themselves in new districts, or considering new fields of candidates. How familiar are you with your local congressional race and candidates? |
| 507 Likely Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Parent <18 | Likely | Primary Vote | Top Issue | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Type Of Intervie | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Yes | No | Probable | Definite | Already | Campa-Na | Desmond | O'Neil | Riker | Von Wilp | Wars / F | Immigrat | Inflatio | Health C | Election | Threats | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Web Pane | SMS-to-W | |
| Very Familiar | 22% | 22% | 21% | 20% | 18% | 17% | 28% | 19% | 24% | 20% | 25% | 28% | 17% | 23% | 7% | 23% | 31% | 31% | 23% | 22% | 46% | 27% | 6% | 19% | 18% | 19% | 39% | 31% | 22% | 25% | 19% | 25% | 22% | 16% | 26% | 27% | 24% | 16% | 26% | 9% | 21% | 27% | 17% | 14% | 27% | 24% | 14% | 18% | 24% | 17% | 13% | 29% |
| Somewhat Familiar | 43% | 45% | 41% | 46% | 44% | 46% | 40% | 44% | 42% | 44% | 42% | 40% | 51% | 41% | 31% | 45% | 48% | 42% | 38% | 45% | 38% | 54% | 33% | 45% | 43% | 53% | 45% | 40% | 40% | 44% | 47% | 37% | 41% | 51% | 47% | 41% | 39% | 51% | 44% | 45% | 41% | 45% | 39% | 44% | 44% | 44% | 43% | 41% | 46% | 38% | 47% | 40% |
| Not Very Familiar | 23% | 24% | 22% | 27% | 27% | 25% | 17% | 27% | 20% | 26% | 13% | 25% | 24% | 22% | 43% | 20% | 14% | 19% | 23% | 22% | 5% | 9% | 21% | 19% | 32% | 17% | 7% | 24% | 19% | 24% | 24% | 17% | 26% | 22% | 20% | 28% | 22% | 22% | 24% | 26% | 25% | 20% | 25% | 25% | 21% | 20% | 31% | 31% | 19% | 28% | 28% | 18% |
| Not Familiar At All | 9% | 6% | 13% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 15% | 6% | 4% | 11% | 13% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 13% | 11% | 12% | 6% | 38% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 15% | 5% | 8% | 19% | 5% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 7% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 10% |
| Not Sure | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 12% | 2% | 1% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 1% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Primary Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 14% | 20% | 26% | 40% | 34% | 66% | 69% | 23% | 7% | 23% | 76% | 14% | 76% | 10% | 9% | 29% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 23% | 9% | 12% | 23% | 35% | 37% | 24% | 18% | 21% | 27% | 17% | 15% | 39% | 27% | 32% | 15% | 41% | 43% | 15% | 30% | 55% | 74% | 26% | 21% | 65% | 14% | 44% | 56% |
![]() | Do you approve or disapprove of the job President Trump is doing as president? |
| 507 Likely Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Parent <18 | Likely | Primary Vote | Top Issue | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Type Of Intervie | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Yes | No | Probable | Definite | Already | Campa-Na | Desmond | O'Neil | Riker | Von Wilp | Wars / F | Immigrat | Inflatio | Health C | Election | Threats | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Web Pane | SMS-to-W | |
| Approve | 40% | 42% | 37% | 34% | 32% | 42% | 45% | 33% | 44% | 39% | 46% | 25% | 38% | 41% | 29% | 42% | 37% | 9% | 79% | 87% | 8% | 0% | 52% | 80% | 31% | 32% | 70% | 12% | 86% | 3% | 32% | 98% | 72% | 24% | 1% | 4% | 84% | 24% | 3% | 37% | 48% | 34% | 33% | 38% | 44% | 44% | 31% | 39% | 39% | 46% | 34% | 45% |
| Disapprove | 56% | 53% | 59% | 60% | 57% | 55% | 55% | 58% | 55% | 56% | 51% | 73% | 53% | 56% | 62% | 55% | 57% | 91% | 15% | 11% | 88% | 100% | 42% | 19% | 60% | 65% | 30% | 86% | 10% | 96% | 61% | 2% | 19% | 69% | 97% | 96% | 11% | 69% | 97% | 57% | 48% | 62% | 59% | 60% | 52% | 53% | 63% | 57% | 56% | 49% | 62% | 52% |
| Not Sure | 4% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 9% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 6% | 0% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 6% | 1% | 9% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 0% | 9% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 5% | 7% | 1% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Primary Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 14% | 20% | 26% | 40% | 34% | 66% | 69% | 23% | 7% | 23% | 76% | 14% | 76% | 10% | 9% | 29% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 23% | 9% | 12% | 23% | 35% | 37% | 24% | 18% | 21% | 27% | 17% | 15% | 39% | 27% | 32% | 15% | 41% | 43% | 15% | 30% | 55% | 74% | 26% | 21% | 65% | 14% | 44% | 56% |
![]() | Do you approve or disapprove of the job Congress is doing? |
| 507 Likely Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Parent <18 | Likely | Primary Vote | Top Issue | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Type Of Intervie | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Yes | No | Probable | Definite | Already | Campa-Na | Desmond | O'Neil | Riker | Von Wilp | Wars / F | Immigrat | Inflatio | Health C | Election | Threats | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Web Pane | SMS-to-W | |
| Approve | 15% | 14% | 16% | 29% | 12% | 15% | 12% | 19% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 13% | 19% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 16% | 6% | 24% | 32% | 6% | 0% | 44% | 20% | 19% | 12% | 9% | 2% | 30% | 4% | 12% | 39% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 29% | 12% | 4% | 16% | 18% | 13% | 12% | 20% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 10% | 20% | 12% |
| Disapprove | 70% | 75% | 64% | 63% | 72% | 70% | 70% | 68% | 70% | 73% | 57% | 77% | 67% | 70% | 70% | 69% | 76% | 83% | 49% | 52% | 86% | 99% | 35% | 59% | 73% | 77% | 60% | 93% | 41% | 90% | 80% | 35% | 53% | 76% | 89% | 98% | 45% | 76% | 93% | 58% | 67% | 76% | 65% | 67% | 72% | 69% | 70% | 71% | 70% | 63% | 62% | 75% |
| Not Sure | 15% | 11% | 20% | 8% | 16% | 15% | 17% | 13% | 16% | 12% | 26% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 17% | 8% | 11% | 28% | 16% | 8% | 1% | 21% | 22% | 8% | 11% | 32% | 5% | 28% | 6% | 8% | 26% | 27% | 12% | 5% | 0% | 27% | 12% | 3% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 23% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 17% | 12% | 14% | 27% | 18% | 13% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Primary Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 14% | 20% | 26% | 40% | 34% | 66% | 69% | 23% | 7% | 23% | 76% | 14% | 76% | 10% | 9% | 29% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 23% | 9% | 12% | 23% | 35% | 37% | 24% | 18% | 21% | 27% | 17% | 15% | 39% | 27% | 32% | 15% | 41% | 43% | 15% | 30% | 55% | 74% | 26% | 21% | 65% | 14% | 44% | 56% |
![]() | Do you approve or disapprove of the job U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement, or ICE, is doing? |
| 507 Likely Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Parent <18 | Likely | Primary Vote | Top Issue | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Type Of Intervie | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Yes | No | Probable | Definite | Already | Campa-Na | Desmond | O'Neil | Riker | Von Wilp | Wars / F | Immigrat | Inflatio | Health C | Election | Threats | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Web Pane | SMS-to-W | |
| Approve | 43% | 46% | 40% | 34% | 39% | 46% | 45% | 37% | 46% | 42% | 48% | 26% | 45% | 43% | 29% | 44% | 47% | 9% | 86% | 87% | 8% | 0% | 58% | 77% | 43% | 30% | 70% | 12% | 87% | 4% | 41% | 99% | 77% | 28% | 2% | 5% | 87% | 28% | 4% | 42% | 49% | 38% | 37% | 40% | 47% | 48% | 30% | 37% | 43% | 52% | 35% | 49% |
| Disapprove | 56% | 53% | 59% | 62% | 59% | 52% | 54% | 60% | 53% | 56% | 49% | 71% | 52% | 56% | 68% | 54% | 53% | 88% | 13% | 13% | 92% | 100% | 42% | 23% | 56% | 66% | 27% | 88% | 11% | 95% | 58% | 1% | 21% | 70% | 96% | 94% | 12% | 70% | 95% | 56% | 50% | 59% | 60% | 59% | 52% | 52% | 65% | 60% | 56% | 44% | 62% | 50% |
| Not Sure | 2% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 1% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Primary Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 14% | 20% | 26% | 40% | 34% | 66% | 69% | 23% | 7% | 23% | 76% | 14% | 76% | 10% | 9% | 29% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 23% | 9% | 12% | 23% | 35% | 37% | 24% | 18% | 21% | 27% | 17% | 15% | 39% | 27% | 32% | 15% | 41% | 43% | 15% | 30% | 55% | 74% | 26% | 21% | 65% | 14% | 44% | 56% |
![]() | Do you think ICE is making Americans safer or less safe? |
| 507 Likely Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Parent <18 | Likely | Primary Vote | Top Issue | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Type Of Intervie | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Yes | No | Probable | Definite | Already | Campa-Na | Desmond | O'Neil | Riker | Von Wilp | Wars / F | Immigrat | Inflatio | Health C | Election | Threats | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Web Pane | SMS-to-W | |
| Safer | 44% | 48% | 40% | 42% | 39% | 47% | 45% | 40% | 46% | 43% | 50% | 27% | 44% | 44% | 40% | 45% | 42% | 12% | 85% | 91% | 16% | 0% | 58% | 80% | 44% | 29% | 72% | 12% | 87% | 6% | 42% | 98% | 83% | 28% | 4% | 5% | 90% | 28% | 5% | 36% | 52% | 41% | 37% | 39% | 49% | 48% | 35% | 40% | 44% | 51% | 37% | 49% |
| Less Safe | 51% | 47% | 55% | 51% | 55% | 47% | 52% | 53% | 50% | 50% | 47% | 71% | 50% | 51% | 50% | 51% | 57% | 85% | 10% | 9% | 78% | 100% | 34% | 20% | 45% | 68% | 26% | 85% | 7% | 90% | 54% | 0% | 14% | 61% | 93% | 93% | 8% | 61% | 93% | 54% | 43% | 57% | 53% | 57% | 46% | 49% | 55% | 57% | 50% | 42% | 55% | 48% |
| Not Sure | 5% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 5% | 10% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 12% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 12% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Primary Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 14% | 20% | 26% | 40% | 34% | 66% | 69% | 23% | 7% | 23% | 76% | 14% | 76% | 10% | 9% | 29% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 23% | 9% | 12% | 23% | 35% | 37% | 24% | 18% | 21% | 27% | 17% | 15% | 39% | 27% | 32% | 15% | 41% | 43% | 15% | 30% | 55% | 74% | 26% | 21% | 65% | 14% | 44% | 56% |
![]() | The U.S. began a war with Iran more than a month ago. Do you approve or disapprove of the war? |
| 507 Likely Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Parent <18 | Likely | Primary Vote | Top Issue | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Type Of Intervie | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Yes | No | Probable | Definite | Already | Campa-Na | Desmond | O'Neil | Riker | Von Wilp | Wars / F | Immigrat | Inflatio | Health C | Election | Threats | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Web Pane | SMS-to-W | |
| Approve | 34% | 38% | 30% | 22% | 26% | 34% | 43% | 24% | 39% | 32% | 46% | 19% | 27% | 37% | 17% | 38% | 33% | 9% | 68% | 76% | 10% | 0% | 47% | 67% | 27% | 22% | 68% | 10% | 76% | 4% | 23% | 94% | 56% | 16% | 2% | 5% | 74% | 16% | 4% | 33% | 42% | 28% | 27% | 31% | 39% | 40% | 20% | 31% | 34% | 42% | 25% | 41% |
| Disapprove | 60% | 57% | 64% | 73% | 65% | 58% | 55% | 68% | 56% | 62% | 50% | 75% | 64% | 59% | 71% | 58% | 63% | 88% | 25% | 22% | 86% | 100% | 46% | 30% | 65% | 67% | 31% | 90% | 15% | 93% | 74% | 5% | 35% | 72% | 97% | 95% | 21% | 72% | 96% | 60% | 53% | 66% | 64% | 65% | 56% | 56% | 71% | 66% | 59% | 53% | 67% | 55% |
| Not Sure | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 10% | 4% | 12% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 7% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 2% | 1% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 9% | 11% | 1% | 0% | 5% | 11% | 1% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 9% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 8% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Primary Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 14% | 20% | 26% | 40% | 34% | 66% | 69% | 23% | 7% | 23% | 76% | 14% | 76% | 10% | 9% | 29% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 23% | 9% | 12% | 23% | 35% | 37% | 24% | 18% | 21% | 27% | 17% | 15% | 39% | 27% | 32% | 15% | 41% | 43% | 15% | 30% | 55% | 74% | 26% | 21% | 65% | 14% | 44% | 56% |
![]() | Do you think the war in Iran is making Americans safer or less safe? |
| 507 Likely Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Parent <18 | Likely | Primary Vote | Top Issue | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Type Of Intervie | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Yes | No | Probable | Definite | Already | Campa-Na | Desmond | O'Neil | Riker | Von Wilp | Wars / F | Immigrat | Inflatio | Health C | Election | Threats | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Web Pane | SMS-to-W | |
| Safer | 33% | 38% | 29% | 22% | 23% | 35% | 41% | 22% | 39% | 31% | 44% | 23% | 28% | 36% | 21% | 36% | 32% | 9% | 68% | 72% | 8% | 0% | 51% | 61% | 24% | 24% | 66% | 10% | 72% | 4% | 24% | 91% | 54% | 16% | 2% | 4% | 71% | 16% | 3% | 29% | 42% | 27% | 28% | 28% | 38% | 38% | 21% | 28% | 34% | 38% | 23% | 42% |
| Less Safe | 56% | 52% | 60% | 69% | 63% | 50% | 51% | 66% | 51% | 56% | 52% | 70% | 61% | 53% | 63% | 55% | 52% | 83% | 16% | 18% | 90% | 95% | 42% | 30% | 56% | 63% | 31% | 86% | 16% | 91% | 59% | 6% | 27% | 67% | 92% | 92% | 17% | 67% | 92% | 56% | 49% | 61% | 54% | 62% | 52% | 54% | 61% | 66% | 53% | 49% | 64% | 49% |
| Not Sure | 11% | 10% | 12% | 9% | 14% | 15% | 7% | 12% | 10% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 17% | 9% | 16% | 9% | 16% | 9% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 20% | 14% | 3% | 4% | 13% | 5% | 17% | 3% | 19% | 16% | 6% | 4% | 12% | 16% | 5% | 16% | 9% | 11% | 17% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 19% | 6% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 9% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Primary Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 14% | 20% | 26% | 40% | 34% | 66% | 69% | 23% | 7% | 23% | 76% | 14% | 76% | 10% | 9% | 29% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 23% | 9% | 12% | 23% | 35% | 37% | 24% | 18% | 21% | 27% | 17% | 15% | 39% | 27% | 32% | 15% | 41% | 43% | 15% | 30% | 55% | 74% | 26% | 21% | 65% | 14% | 44% | 56% |
![]() | Which of the following would you say is the biggest issue facing Congress right now? (Choices rotated) |
| 507 Likely Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Parent <18 | Likely | Primary Vote | Top Issue | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Type Of Intervie | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Yes | No | Probable | Definite | Already | Campa-Na | Desmond | O'Neil | Riker | Von Wilp | Wars / F | Immigrat | Inflatio | Health C | Election | Threats | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Web Pane | SMS-to-W | |
| Wars / Foreign Policy | 9% | 7% | 12% | 16% | 9% | 3% | 12% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 19% | 5% | 10% | 9% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 1% | 14% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 5% | 9% | 24% | 4% | 11% | 2% | 2% | 13% | 11% | 2% | 14% | 14% | 3% | 11% | 17% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 12% | 8% |
| Immigration Enforcement | 10% | 11% | 8% | 13% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 13% | 22% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 19% | 2% | 8% | 20% | 15% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 13% | 9% | 10% | 14% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 13% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% |
| Inflation / Economy | 23% | 24% | 22% | 26% | 29% | 28% | 14% | 28% | 20% | 23% | 21% | 22% | 38% | 18% | 31% | 21% | 26% | 15% | 25% | 23% | 29% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 22% | 23% | 16% | 30% | 28% | 22% | 16% | 23% | 28% | 19% | 20% | 24% | 23% | 21% | 20% | 25% | 22% | 25% | 20% | 23% | 25% | 30% | 16% |
| Tariffs / Trade | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 7% | 1% |
| Climate Change / Environment | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0% |
| Border Security | 4% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 0% | 4% | 12% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 4% |
| Health Care / Medicare / Medicaid | 9% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 19% | 16% | 6% | 6% | 16% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 11% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 8% |
| Election Security / Voting Rights | 12% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 20% | 5% | 15% | 9% | 19% | 11% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 14% | 7% | 1% | 23% | 7% | 9% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 18% | 9% | 6% | 18% | 22% | 2% | 7% | 14% | 20% | 2% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 16% | 15% | 4% | 7% | 13% | 14% | 3% | 18% |
| Threats To Democracy | 23% | 23% | 23% | 11% | 25% | 20% | 28% | 19% | 25% | 26% | 14% | 30% | 16% | 26% | 4% | 27% | 22% | 42% | 8% | 12% | 35% | 61% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 6% | 40% | 22% | 7% | 6% | 26% | 38% | 46% | 7% | 26% | 41% | 16% | 18% | 30% | 13% | 24% | 25% | 25% | 18% | 27% | 22% | 22% | 16% | 29% |
| Other | 4% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 4% |
| Not Sure | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 9% | 2% | 0% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 0% | 6% | 4% | 1% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Primary Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 14% | 20% | 26% | 40% | 34% | 66% | 69% | 23% | 7% | 23% | 76% | 14% | 76% | 10% | 9% | 29% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 23% | 9% | 12% | 23% | 35% | 37% | 24% | 18% | 21% | 27% | 17% | 15% | 39% | 27% | 32% | 15% | 41% | 43% | 15% | 30% | 55% | 74% | 26% | 21% | 65% | 14% | 44% | 56% |