Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #27868
 
Dems Still Split Vote in Re-Districted CA-48, Where At Least One Republican Will Appear on November Ballot ... But Will Opponent Be (R) or (D)?

As was the case in SurveyUSA's previous poll in the crowded top-two primary election for US House in California's 48th Congressional district, it's too soon to say if voters will be choosing between two Republicans or between one Republican and one Democrat in November's general election, according to SurveyUSA's latest exclusive polling for KGTV 10 News and the San Diego Union Tribune.

Three weeks ago, the nine Democrats in the field were dividing up 39% of the vote, with the leading Democrat at 12%, a nominal point behind one Republican and 13 points behind the other. Today, that Democrat is down, a different Democrat is up, and Republicans still take the top two slots, though once again, are only up a single, nominal point for the second ballot position. Breaking that all down:
  • Republican Jim Desmond, a member of the San Diego County Board of Supervisors, led with 25% of the vote three weeks ago; today, he leads with 29%, a 4-point increase.
  • Fellow Republican Kevin O'Neil, a businessman, was at 13% in April, and at 10% today; a 3-point decline coming as Desmond consolidates support among Republican voters.
  • Democrat Ammar Campa-Najjar, running in his third House race, also falls 3 percentage points, from 12% to 9%. The single point separating him and O'Neil is not statistically meaningful.
  • Democrat Marni Von Wilpert, a San Diego City Council member, has simultaneously gained 3 points, climbing from 6% to 9%, tying Campa-Najjar and effectively tying O'Neil. Among voters who say they are somewhat liberal, Campa-Najjar had led Von Vilpert by 10, now leads her by 2. Among those who say they are very liberal, Campa-Najjar had led Von Wilpert by 8 points, now trails her by 6, a 14-point swing.
  • Six other Democrats and a no party preference candidate are all further back, with just one, entrepreneur and economist Brandon Riker, breaking 5%. Riker today is at 6%, up from 4% in the previous poll.
  • 25% of likely voters tell SurveyUSA they are undecided, essentially unchanged from 24% three weeks ago.
Among the 1 in 10 voters who have already returned their ballots, 39% say they voted for Desmond, 12% for Campa-Najjar, 11% for Von Wilpert, and 9% for O'Neil. Among those who say they definitely will vote, it's Desmond 29%, Von Wilpert and O'Neill each at 10%, and Campa-Najjar at 9%.

On the issues, three weeks ago, a 26% plurality of voters said inflation and the economy was the biggest issue facing Congress, with 19% saying it was actually threats to democracy. Today, each of those two issues is said to be the most important by 23% of likely voters. The Republican candidates dominate among those who cite inflation and the economy as the top issue, with Desmond taking 33% of those voters and O'Neil 10%; no other candidate tops 7% among these voters. Among those who say threats to democracy are the biggest issue for Congress, Von Wilpert takes 23% of the vote, Campa-Najjar 16% – and Desmond, who has been endorsed by President Donald Trump, takes 11%. Two other issues break into double-digits: election security and voting rights, which 12% say is most important, where Desmond takes 57% of the vote, Von Wilpert 10%, and no one else breaks 6%; and immigration enforcement, at 10%, where O'Neil does very well, taking 23% of the vote – but Desmond, taking 39% of the vote here, dominates.

Fully crosstabbed results follow. Click the "Triangle-T" icon where it appears in order to see SurveyUSA's interactive tracking graphs and view the changes from poll to poll.
 
About the Research / Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 645 adults from California's redistricted 48th congressional district 05/08/26 through 04/14/26 using a mixed mode, blended sample approach. Of the adults, 573 were determined to be registered voters; of the registered voters, 507 were identified by SurveyUSA as being likely to vote in the June 2 primary or to have already returned their ballots and were asked the substantive questions which follow. 44% of likely primary voters were interviewed on the display of their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device using non-probability sample of internet panel members provided by Cint USA. 56% were interviewed using probability-based telephone sample of registered voters from Aristotle of Washington, DC, using SMS-to-Web, where a live operator hand-texted respondents on their mobile phones, secured their cooperation, and linked them to an online version of the survey. The full pool of respondents was weighted to US Census-derived targets for gender, age, and ethnicity.
 
1Are you registered to vote in the state of California?
645 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParent <18LikelyPrimary VoteTop IssueParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityType Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 3.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherYesNoProbableDefiniteAlready Campa-NaDesmondO'NeilRikerVon WilpWars / FImmigratInflatioHealth CElectionThreats RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralWeb PaneSMS-to-W
Yes89%92%86%71%86%95%97%79%96%89%89%88%85%90%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%98%95%83%96%91%90%92%93%93%90%92%71%91%96%71%90%96%97%75%90%88%88%81%98%
No10%7%13%25%14%5%3%19%4%10%10%11%14%9%--------------2%5%16%4%8%9%7%7%7%9%7%27%8%3%26%10%4%3%23%10%10%12%18%2%
Not Sure1%1%1%4%1%0%0%2%0%1%1%2%1%1%--------------0%0%0%0%1%1%1%0%0%1%0%2%1%0%3%0%0%0%2%1%1%0%1%0%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%49%51%20%23%24%33%43%57%69%24%7%26%74%12%67%9%9%29%10%6%9%9%10%23%9%12%23%30%33%28%15%20%28%15%14%35%28%29%22%40%38%21%30%48%63%37%22%65%14%54%46%
 
2California will hold a primary election for Governor, US House of Representatives, and other offices on June 2nd. Many people don't have the time to vote in primary elections. Thinking ahead to June 2, are you ... ?
573 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParent <18LikelyPrimary VoteTop IssueParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityType Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherYesNoProbableDefiniteAlready Campa-NaDesmondO'NeilRikerVon WilpWars / FImmigratInflatioHealth CElectionThreats RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralWeb PaneSMS-to-W
Unlikely To Have Time To Vote5%5%5%10%8%6%0%9%2%4%7%4%9%4%0%0%0%-----------1%1%10%2%5%6%0%4%3%6%2%11%5%2%10%6%2%2%11%5%4%5%8%2%
Might Or Might Not Find Time7%7%7%13%12%6%1%12%3%7%6%6%8%6%0%0%0%-----------5%4%8%1%3%9%6%4%3%9%5%10%7%5%11%8%5%3%14%12%6%2%12%1%
Will Probably Vote12%12%12%25%15%14%3%19%8%11%14%15%20%10%100%0%0%2%10%11%0%0%17%17%18%13%5%2%10%9%15%4%14%15%8%10%10%15%9%18%14%8%21%11%9%7%23%14%12%8%19%5%
Will Definitely Vote67%66%69%46%58%63%86%53%76%68%64%70%57%71%0%100%0%84%76%79%96%87%76%75%70%65%90%88%78%76%53%90%65%59%71%76%76%59%73%51%66%76%50%65%75%77%45%61%67%79%51%83%
Have Already Returned Ballot9%10%8%6%7%11%10%7%11%10%8%5%7%10%0%0%100%14%14%10%4%13%7%7%12%22%6%10%6%9%13%3%13%10%15%6%8%10%11%10%9%9%8%10%9%10%7%8%10%6%8%10%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%50%50%16%22%26%36%38%62%69%24%7%25%75%12%67%9%9%29%10%6%9%9%10%23%9%12%23%33%35%26%16%20%29%16%14%36%29%30%17%41%41%17%31%52%69%31%22%64%13%50%50%
 
If the primary for US House of Representatives were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (Candidate names rotated)
507 Likely Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParent <18LikelyPrimary VoteTop IssueParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityType Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherYesNoProbableDefiniteAlready Campa-NaDesmondO'NeilRikerVon WilpWars / FImmigratInflatioHealth CElectionThreats RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralWeb PaneSMS-to-W
Ammar Campa-Najjar (D)9%9%9%6%6%9%10%6%10%9%8%11%2%11%1%9%12%100%0%0%0%0%1%6%6%15%1%16%2%18%5%1%3%8%19%15%2%8%17%10%8%8%17%8%7%8%10%12%9%2%8%9%
Abel Chavez (D)4%4%3%11%2%4%3%6%3%3%6%5%8%3%13%2%5%0%0%0%0%0%8%0%7%4%6%1%1%7%3%0%3%6%6%5%2%6%5%4%3%5%5%4%4%3%6%5%3%5%7%2%
Stephen Clemons (D)0%0%0%1%1%0%0%1%0%0%2%1%1%0%1%0%2%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%3%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%2%0%0%1%2%0%0%1%1%0%0%1%1%0%0%1%0%
Corinna Contreras (D)3%4%2%5%5%3%1%5%2%1%6%9%6%2%6%2%2%0%0%0%0%0%2%5%5%0%0%4%1%6%1%0%0%3%4%10%0%3%7%5%2%3%3%6%1%3%4%5%2%3%3%3%
Jim Desmond (R)29%30%28%19%21%27%38%20%34%26%43%13%21%32%21%29%39%0%100%0%0%0%42%39%33%19%57%11%56%1%33%65%53%22%3%2%58%22%2%33%36%22%22%27%33%33%21%27%29%41%20%36%
Kevin Patrick O'Neil (R)10%11%9%9%13%14%6%11%9%12%4%11%12%9%8%10%9%0%0%100%0%0%12%23%10%6%6%5%21%2%8%26%14%7%1%1%20%7%1%4%11%11%10%10%10%10%9%11%9%11%10%10%
Ferguson Porter (D)1%1%0%5%1%0%0%2%0%1%1%3%2%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%1%2%4%0%1%1%0%1%2%1%0%0%1%1%0%0%0%1%0%1%1%1%1%2%1%0%2%0%
Luis F. Reyna (NPP)1%1%1%0%2%1%0%1%1%1%1%1%1%0%2%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%3%0%4%0%0%1%0%1%0%0%2%0%0%0%2%0%1%1%0%0%1%1%1%1%0%1%0%1%0%
Brandon Riker (D)6%7%4%1%5%5%8%3%7%7%3%5%3%6%0%7%2%0%0%0%100%0%3%1%7%10%4%8%1%12%4%0%2%5%8%14%1%5%11%3%3%8%4%6%6%7%3%8%4%6%3%8%
Mike Schaefer (D)3%3%2%8%3%1%2%5%1%3%2%4%6%2%8%2%2%0%0%0%0%0%4%1%4%3%0%1%0%4%2%0%2%2%7%0%1%2%4%1%4%2%4%3%2%2%4%4%2%2%4%1%
Eric Shaw (D)2%2%2%2%3%4%0%3%2%2%3%2%3%2%2%1%10%0%0%0%0%0%1%3%3%6%0%2%1%3%3%0%1%3%5%2%1%3%3%4%2%2%0%2%2%3%0%0%3%0%4%1%
Marni Von Wilpert (D)9%9%8%0%5%4%17%3%11%9%10%6%5%9%0%10%11%0%0%0%0%100%3%0%4%3%10%23%0%17%10%0%2%8%17%21%1%8%19%7%7%10%2%7%11%11%0%2%11%6%5%12%
Undecided25%18%31%32%33%29%15%33%20%28%13%31%31%22%37%25%4%0%0%0%0%0%24%19%19%24%12%29%15%27%29%6%18%32%31%28%12%32%29%25%22%26%31%25%22%19%40%23%25%24%32%19%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Primary Voters100%50%50%14%20%26%40%34%66%69%23%7%23%76%14%76%10%9%29%10%6%9%9%10%23%9%12%23%35%37%24%18%21%27%17%15%39%27%32%15%41%43%15%30%55%74%26%21%65%14%44%56%
 
Thinking about the number of candidates in the race for US House, do you think there are ...?
507 Likely Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParent <18LikelyPrimary VoteTop IssueParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityType Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 5.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherYesNoProbableDefiniteAlready Campa-NaDesmondO'NeilRikerVon WilpWars / FImmigratInflatioHealth CElectionThreats RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralWeb PaneSMS-to-W
Too Many57%59%54%40%56%59%61%50%60%61%45%55%50%59%39%59%61%74%54%56%77%72%31%47%54%62%64%70%52%64%51%42%60%54%61%72%52%54%66%50%55%61%48%44%66%59%51%55%57%54%51%61%
The Right Number20%21%18%34%24%16%16%28%16%17%27%27%28%18%30%16%32%15%23%17%16%11%20%25%24%17%21%11%18%18%24%21%20%21%27%11%20%21%20%23%18%22%26%24%17%20%22%24%19%20%28%13%
Not Enough5%5%5%11%4%7%2%7%4%6%2%4%6%4%11%4%0%4%6%5%1%0%1%8%9%2%3%1%6%3%6%6%5%6%0%4%5%6%2%9%3%4%7%5%4%3%8%7%3%9%6%4%
Not Sure19%16%22%16%16%19%22%16%21%17%27%14%16%19%20%20%7%8%18%22%6%18%48%19%12%19%12%17%23%14%19%31%15%20%11%12%22%20%12%19%24%13%20%27%13%19%18%14%20%17%15%22%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Primary Voters100%50%50%14%20%26%40%34%66%69%23%7%23%76%14%76%10%9%29%10%6%9%9%10%23%9%12%23%35%37%24%18%21%27%17%15%39%27%32%15%41%43%15%30%55%74%26%21%65%14%44%56%
 
With the House of Representatives narrowly controlled by Republicans, Democrats are seeking to retake control of it in this November's midterm election. With control of Congress potentially at stake, how closely are you following the Congressional election?
507 Likely Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParent <18LikelyPrimary VoteTop IssueParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityType Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherYesNoProbableDefiniteAlready Campa-NaDesmondO'NeilRikerVon WilpWars / FImmigratInflatioHealth CElectionThreats RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralWeb PaneSMS-to-W
Very Closely43%45%40%38%33%43%49%35%46%44%38%47%36%45%20%46%46%60%39%55%55%53%49%52%31%29%43%59%42%48%36%63%30%33%49%53%45%33%51%32%37%53%46%40%44%47%32%43%43%41%30%52%
Somewhat Closely42%40%43%34%45%36%46%41%42%40%46%39%45%41%42%42%40%32%47%35%35%46%35%34%43%48%54%35%43%38%46%31%49%47%40%35%41%47%38%44%44%38%27%45%43%41%43%42%40%45%45%39%
Not Very Closely11%11%11%21%14%15%4%17%8%12%8%8%13%10%25%9%5%8%11%7%5%1%11%10%20%13%3%5%11%8%14%5%17%15%7%5%11%15%6%12%15%6%15%10%10%9%16%9%12%7%17%6%
Not Closely At All2%2%3%2%4%3%1%3%2%2%3%5%3%2%7%1%5%1%0%0%0%0%2%1%3%6%0%2%1%3%1%0%0%2%1%6%0%2%4%8%2%1%6%3%1%1%5%2%2%2%4%1%
Not Sure3%3%3%5%4%3%1%5%2%2%4%1%3%2%5%2%4%0%2%3%5%0%3%2%2%5%0%0%2%2%3%1%4%3%2%1%3%3%2%3%2%3%6%2%2%2%5%4%2%4%4%2%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Primary Voters100%50%50%14%20%26%40%34%66%69%23%7%23%76%14%76%10%9%29%10%6%9%9%10%23%9%12%23%35%37%24%18%21%27%17%15%39%27%32%15%41%43%15%30%55%74%26%21%65%14%44%56%
 
California voters passed Proposition 50 last year to allow the Legislature to redraw the state's congressional districts in Democrats' favor. How did you vote in the Proposition 50 special election to allow redistricting?
507 Likely Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParent <18LikelyPrimary VoteTop IssueParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityType Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherYesNoProbableDefiniteAlready Campa-NaDesmondO'NeilRikerVon WilpWars / FImmigratInflatioHealth CElectionThreats RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralWeb PaneSMS-to-W
Voted 'yes'46%47%44%49%43%42%48%46%46%47%41%55%47%45%32%47%55%81%4%20%76%94%18%22%45%63%32%76%12%86%39%4%20%46%88%88%12%46%88%38%40%54%39%49%45%45%46%50%47%31%46%46%
Voted 'no'39%43%34%28%42%46%36%36%40%41%34%30%43%38%35%40%36%5%78%67%16%3%32%65%45%17%60%17%68%5%47%77%62%36%5%4%69%36%5%36%41%38%38%26%46%42%29%34%37%54%34%42%
Did Not Vote5%5%6%9%5%6%4%6%4%5%5%5%3%6%10%5%0%11%5%7%8%0%2%9%5%15%3%2%8%1%6%2%12%5%4%2%7%5%3%8%5%4%12%5%3%4%9%7%4%9%7%3%
Don't Recall10%5%16%14%10%7%12%12%10%7%21%10%7%11%23%8%9%2%12%6%0%3%47%5%5%5%5%5%12%8%8%17%7%12%4%7%12%12%5%18%14%4%11%20%5%8%16%9%12%6%13%8%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Primary Voters100%50%50%14%20%26%40%34%66%69%23%7%23%76%14%76%10%9%29%10%6%9%9%10%23%9%12%23%35%37%24%18%21%27%17%15%39%27%32%15%41%43%15%30%55%74%26%21%65%14%44%56%
 
As a result of Proposition 50, many voters now find themselves in new districts, or considering new fields of candidates. How familiar are you with your local congressional race and candidates?
507 Likely Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParent <18LikelyPrimary VoteTop IssueParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityType Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherYesNoProbableDefiniteAlready Campa-NaDesmondO'NeilRikerVon WilpWars / FImmigratInflatioHealth CElectionThreats RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralWeb PaneSMS-to-W
Very Familiar22%22%21%20%18%17%28%19%24%20%25%28%17%23%7%23%31%31%23%22%46%27%6%19%18%19%39%31%22%25%19%25%22%16%26%27%24%16%26%9%21%27%17%14%27%24%14%18%24%17%13%29%
Somewhat Familiar43%45%41%46%44%46%40%44%42%44%42%40%51%41%31%45%48%42%38%45%38%54%33%45%43%53%45%40%40%44%47%37%41%51%47%41%39%51%44%45%41%45%39%44%44%44%43%41%46%38%47%40%
Not Very Familiar23%24%22%27%27%25%17%27%20%26%13%25%24%22%43%20%14%19%23%22%5%9%21%19%32%17%7%24%19%24%24%17%26%22%20%28%22%22%24%26%25%20%25%25%21%20%31%31%19%28%28%18%
Not Familiar At All9%6%13%5%7%9%12%6%11%8%15%6%4%11%13%9%3%1%13%11%12%6%38%9%6%8%7%4%15%5%8%19%5%9%7%4%11%9%6%9%12%7%10%13%7%10%7%4%11%10%8%10%
Not Sure3%3%3%3%4%2%3%4%3%3%6%1%4%3%6%3%3%7%3%0%0%3%1%8%2%3%1%1%4%2%2%2%6%3%0%0%4%3%0%12%2%1%9%4%1%2%5%6%1%6%4%2%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Primary Voters100%50%50%14%20%26%40%34%66%69%23%7%23%76%14%76%10%9%29%10%6%9%9%10%23%9%12%23%35%37%24%18%21%27%17%15%39%27%32%15%41%43%15%30%55%74%26%21%65%14%44%56%
 
Do you approve or disapprove of the job President Trump is doing as president?
507 Likely Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParent <18LikelyPrimary VoteTop IssueParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityType Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 5.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherYesNoProbableDefiniteAlready Campa-NaDesmondO'NeilRikerVon WilpWars / FImmigratInflatioHealth CElectionThreats RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralWeb PaneSMS-to-W
Approve40%42%37%34%32%42%45%33%44%39%46%25%38%41%29%42%37%9%79%87%8%0%52%80%31%32%70%12%86%3%32%98%72%24%1%4%84%24%3%37%48%34%33%38%44%44%31%39%39%46%34%45%
Disapprove56%53%59%60%57%55%55%58%55%56%51%73%53%56%62%55%57%91%15%11%88%100%42%19%60%65%30%86%10%96%61%2%19%69%97%96%11%69%97%57%48%62%59%60%52%53%63%57%56%49%62%52%
Not Sure4%5%3%6%11%3%1%9%2%5%3%2%9%3%9%3%6%0%7%2%4%0%6%1%9%3%0%2%4%1%7%0%9%7%1%0%5%7%1%6%4%3%8%3%4%4%6%4%4%5%5%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Primary Voters100%50%50%14%20%26%40%34%66%69%23%7%23%76%14%76%10%9%29%10%6%9%9%10%23%9%12%23%35%37%24%18%21%27%17%15%39%27%32%15%41%43%15%30%55%74%26%21%65%14%44%56%
 
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Congress is doing?
507 Likely Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParent <18LikelyPrimary VoteTop IssueParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityType Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 5.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherYesNoProbableDefiniteAlready Campa-NaDesmondO'NeilRikerVon WilpWars / FImmigratInflatioHealth CElectionThreats RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralWeb PaneSMS-to-W
Approve15%14%16%29%12%15%12%19%13%15%17%13%19%15%16%15%16%6%24%32%6%0%44%20%19%12%9%2%30%4%12%39%20%12%5%2%29%12%4%16%18%13%12%20%14%16%13%17%17%10%20%12%
Disapprove70%75%64%63%72%70%70%68%70%73%57%77%67%70%70%69%76%83%49%52%86%99%35%59%73%77%60%93%41%90%80%35%53%76%89%98%45%76%93%58%67%76%65%67%72%69%70%71%70%63%62%75%
Not Sure15%11%20%8%16%15%17%13%16%12%26%10%14%15%14%17%8%11%28%16%8%1%21%22%8%11%32%5%28%6%8%26%27%12%5%0%27%12%3%26%16%11%23%12%14%15%17%12%14%27%18%13%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Primary Voters100%50%50%14%20%26%40%34%66%69%23%7%23%76%14%76%10%9%29%10%6%9%9%10%23%9%12%23%35%37%24%18%21%27%17%15%39%27%32%15%41%43%15%30%55%74%26%21%65%14%44%56%
 
Do you approve or disapprove of the job U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement, or ICE, is doing?
507 Likely Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParent <18LikelyPrimary VoteTop IssueParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityType Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherYesNoProbableDefiniteAlready Campa-NaDesmondO'NeilRikerVon WilpWars / FImmigratInflatioHealth CElectionThreats RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralWeb PaneSMS-to-W
Approve43%46%40%34%39%46%45%37%46%42%48%26%45%43%29%44%47%9%86%87%8%0%58%77%43%30%70%12%87%4%41%99%77%28%2%5%87%28%4%42%49%38%37%40%47%48%30%37%43%52%35%49%
Disapprove56%53%59%62%59%52%54%60%53%56%49%71%52%56%68%54%53%88%13%13%92%100%42%23%56%66%27%88%11%95%58%1%21%70%96%94%12%70%95%56%50%59%60%59%52%52%65%60%56%44%62%50%
Not Sure2%2%2%5%2%2%0%3%1%1%3%3%3%1%3%2%0%3%1%0%0%0%1%0%1%4%2%0%2%1%1%0%2%3%2%1%1%3%1%1%1%3%3%2%2%1%5%3%1%4%3%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Primary Voters100%50%50%14%20%26%40%34%66%69%23%7%23%76%14%76%10%9%29%10%6%9%9%10%23%9%12%23%35%37%24%18%21%27%17%15%39%27%32%15%41%43%15%30%55%74%26%21%65%14%44%56%
 
Do you think ICE is making Americans safer or less safe?
507 Likely Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParent <18LikelyPrimary VoteTop IssueParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityType Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherYesNoProbableDefiniteAlready Campa-NaDesmondO'NeilRikerVon WilpWars / FImmigratInflatioHealth CElectionThreats RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralWeb PaneSMS-to-W
Safer44%48%40%42%39%47%45%40%46%43%50%27%44%44%40%45%42%12%85%91%16%0%58%80%44%29%72%12%87%6%42%98%83%28%4%5%90%28%5%36%52%41%37%39%49%48%35%40%44%51%37%49%
Less Safe51%47%55%51%55%47%52%53%50%50%47%71%50%51%50%51%57%85%10%9%78%100%34%20%45%68%26%85%7%90%54%0%14%61%93%93%8%61%93%54%43%57%53%57%46%49%55%57%50%42%55%48%
Not Sure5%5%5%7%7%7%3%7%4%6%3%2%6%5%10%5%1%3%5%0%6%0%8%0%11%3%1%3%6%4%4%1%3%12%3%2%2%12%2%10%5%3%10%4%4%3%10%2%6%7%8%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Primary Voters100%50%50%14%20%26%40%34%66%69%23%7%23%76%14%76%10%9%29%10%6%9%9%10%23%9%12%23%35%37%24%18%21%27%17%15%39%27%32%15%41%43%15%30%55%74%26%21%65%14%44%56%
 
The U.S. began a war with Iran more than a month ago. Do you approve or disapprove of the war?
507 Likely Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParent <18LikelyPrimary VoteTop IssueParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityType Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 5.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherYesNoProbableDefiniteAlready Campa-NaDesmondO'NeilRikerVon WilpWars / FImmigratInflatioHealth CElectionThreats RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralWeb PaneSMS-to-W
Approve34%38%30%22%26%34%43%24%39%32%46%19%27%37%17%38%33%9%68%76%10%0%47%67%27%22%68%10%76%4%23%94%56%16%2%5%74%16%4%33%42%28%27%31%39%40%20%31%34%42%25%41%
Disapprove60%57%64%73%65%58%55%68%56%62%50%75%64%59%71%58%63%88%25%22%86%100%46%30%65%67%31%90%15%93%74%5%35%72%97%95%21%72%96%60%53%66%64%65%56%56%71%66%59%53%67%55%
Not Sure5%5%6%5%9%7%3%8%4%6%5%5%10%4%12%4%4%4%7%2%4%0%7%4%8%11%2%1%9%3%3%1%9%11%1%0%5%11%1%6%5%6%9%4%5%4%9%3%6%4%8%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Primary Voters100%50%50%14%20%26%40%34%66%69%23%7%23%76%14%76%10%9%29%10%6%9%9%10%23%9%12%23%35%37%24%18%21%27%17%15%39%27%32%15%41%43%15%30%55%74%26%21%65%14%44%56%
 
Do you think the war in Iran is making Americans safer or less safe?
507 Likely Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParent <18LikelyPrimary VoteTop IssueParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityType Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherYesNoProbableDefiniteAlready Campa-NaDesmondO'NeilRikerVon WilpWars / FImmigratInflatioHealth CElectionThreats RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralWeb PaneSMS-to-W
Safer33%38%29%22%23%35%41%22%39%31%44%23%28%36%21%36%32%9%68%72%8%0%51%61%24%24%66%10%72%4%24%91%54%16%2%4%71%16%3%29%42%27%28%28%38%38%21%28%34%38%23%42%
Less Safe56%52%60%69%63%50%51%66%51%56%52%70%61%53%63%55%52%83%16%18%90%95%42%30%56%63%31%86%16%91%59%6%27%67%92%92%17%67%92%56%49%61%54%62%52%54%61%66%53%49%64%49%
Not Sure11%10%12%9%14%15%7%12%10%14%4%7%10%11%17%9%16%9%16%9%2%5%7%9%20%14%3%4%13%5%17%3%19%16%6%4%12%16%5%16%9%11%17%10%10%8%19%6%12%12%13%9%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Primary Voters100%50%50%14%20%26%40%34%66%69%23%7%23%76%14%76%10%9%29%10%6%9%9%10%23%9%12%23%35%37%24%18%21%27%17%15%39%27%32%15%41%43%15%30%55%74%26%21%65%14%44%56%
 
Which of the following would you say is the biggest issue facing Congress right now? (Choices rotated)
507 Likely Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParent <18LikelyPrimary VoteTop IssueParty AffiliationIdeologyIdeology AggregatedEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicityType Of Intervie
Credibility Interval: ± 6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherYesNoProbableDefiniteAlready Campa-NaDesmondO'NeilRikerVon WilpWars / FImmigratInflatioHealth CElectionThreats RepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralWeb PaneSMS-to-W
Wars / Foreign Policy9%7%12%16%9%3%12%12%8%7%19%5%10%9%12%9%6%1%14%11%5%3%100%0%0%0%0%0%14%5%9%24%4%11%2%2%13%11%2%14%14%3%11%17%5%9%12%7%11%8%12%8%
Immigration Enforcement10%11%8%13%9%9%9%11%9%9%9%14%11%10%13%10%7%7%13%22%2%0%0%100%0%0%0%0%19%2%8%20%15%7%4%2%17%7%3%13%9%10%14%8%10%10%9%13%9%9%10%10%
Inflation / Economy23%24%22%26%29%28%14%28%20%23%21%22%38%18%31%21%26%15%25%23%29%11%0%0%100%0%0%0%25%22%23%16%30%28%22%16%23%28%19%20%24%23%21%20%25%22%25%20%23%25%30%16%
Tariffs / Trade4%4%3%5%5%5%1%5%3%4%3%4%2%4%7%3%3%5%0%4%0%3%0%0%0%0%0%0%3%3%4%1%4%5%2%4%3%5%3%3%3%4%6%4%2%2%6%2%4%2%7%1%
Climate Change / Environment1%2%1%2%0%3%1%1%2%1%2%1%0%2%4%1%0%3%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%1%2%1%0%2%1%1%0%2%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%3%1%1%1%3%0%
Border Security4%4%4%6%1%4%4%3%4%4%2%4%5%3%6%3%5%0%4%12%5%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%5%2%5%7%5%2%3%0%6%2%1%2%3%4%4%3%3%3%3%4%3%1%3%4%
Health Care / Medicare / Medicaid9%8%10%6%10%12%7%9%9%10%7%6%9%9%9%8%19%16%6%6%16%3%0%0%0%100%0%0%6%12%8%4%4%11%17%9%4%11%13%12%9%7%13%9%8%9%9%8%10%7%10%8%
Election Security / Voting Rights12%12%12%5%6%8%20%5%15%9%19%11%6%14%4%14%7%1%23%7%9%14%0%0%0%0%100%0%18%9%6%18%22%2%7%14%20%2%11%10%12%12%9%6%16%15%4%7%13%14%3%18%
Threats To Democracy23%23%23%11%25%20%28%19%25%26%14%30%16%26%4%27%22%42%8%12%35%61%0%0%0%0%0%100%6%40%22%7%6%26%38%46%7%26%41%16%18%30%13%24%25%25%18%27%22%22%16%29%
Other4%5%2%5%4%4%3%4%3%4%3%3%3%3%3%4%5%3%3%2%0%5%0%0%0%0%0%0%2%2%8%1%7%4%3%3%4%4%3%2%5%3%3%3%4%3%6%5%3%5%3%4%
Not Sure2%2%3%5%2%4%1%3%2%3%2%1%2%2%9%2%0%7%3%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%2%5%1%3%3%2%3%2%3%2%6%2%1%5%3%1%1%5%6%0%6%4%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Primary Voters100%50%50%14%20%26%40%34%66%69%23%7%23%76%14%76%10%9%29%10%6%9%9%10%23%9%12%23%35%37%24%18%21%27%17%15%39%27%32%15%41%43%15%30%55%74%26%21%65%14%44%56%