Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #27951

Minnesota Primary Update: Republicans Mike Lindell, Michele Tafoya Consolidate Support; DFL Flanagan Gains to Tie Craig For Senate Nod: With in-person absentee voting underway and early in-person voting about to begin, SurveyUSA's latest polling for KSTP-TV Minneapolis, KAAL-TV Rochester, and WDIO-TV Duluth shows the front-runners adding to their gains in the Republican primaries for both Minnesota Governor and US Senate, while the DFL Senate primary contest moves into a tie. In the Republican Primary for Governor, MyPillow founder and MAGA activist Mike Lindell gains 8 points from last month's poll to take 35% of the vote, while State House Speaker Lisa Demuth climbs 4 points to 26% and tech exec Kendall Qualls loses 6 points to land at 11%. 5% of likely voters say they will vote for one of the other Republicans in the contest; 22% are undecided. Demuth leads Lindell meaningfully among independent voters (9 points; 13% of likely voters), among those who say inflation and the cost of living are the most important issues (6 points, 23% of likely voters), among those with 4-year college degrees (4 points, 34% of voters), and among those voters who say they will vote for Michele Tafoya in the Senate primary (4 points, 41% of voters). Demuth also edges Lindell in Northeastern Minnesota (3 points) and in urban parts of the state (2 points), and holds nominal single-point leads among those who attended some college and those who describe themselves as somewhat conservative. Lindell, however, has the advantage among all other demographic groups save those with the highest household incomes, where he and Demuth are tied. In the Republican Primary for US Senate, former sportscaster Michele Tafoya today sees 41% of the vote, up from 36%, defeating former NBA player and 2024 Senate nominee Royce White at 10% (down from 15%), retired Navy officer Tom Weiler at 7% (unchanged), and retired Navy SEAL Adam Schwarze at 5% (down from 7%). 8% would vote for someone else; 28% are undecided. Tafoya leads among all demographic subgroups. Moving to the DFL Primary for US Senate, Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan had trailed MN-02 representative Angie Craig by 5 points one month ago, 41% to 36%; today, the race is tied, with 40% of likely voters choosing each candidate, another 4% saying they would vote for another DFL candidate, and 16% undecided. Flanagan's strongest lead, 30 points, comes from the third of likely DFL voters who say they are very liberal; she also leads by 24 points in Northeastern MN, by 23 points among renters, by 19 points among those with the lowest household incomes, and by 16 points in urban parts of the state. Flanagan is also ahead by high single digits in rural areas and among those who say they are somewhat liberal. Flanagan leads by 9 points among voters age 50 to 64, by a single nominal point among 35 to 49-year-olds, and by 4 points among those under 35. Meanwhile, Craig leads by 15 points among voters age 65+, typically the most reliable voters in a primary. Craig's largest leads are 47 points among the relatively small number of conservative voters in the DFL primary (7% of voters), and 32 points among the more significant number of moderates, 29% of the electorate. She also leads Flanagan by 33 points among the 6% of voters who say they have already cast their ballots, by 12 points among both those with high school educations and in the suburbs, and by 11 points in Southern MN. Finally, we see some tightening in the November general election match-up for Attorney General. Last month, incumbent DFL candidate Keith Ellison led attorney Ron Schutz by 7 points, 44% to 37%; today, Schutz gains one point and Ellison loses two, reducing his lead to a 4-point edge. One of the larger shifts in the race is seen among voters 65+, where Ellison had led by 3, now trails by 7. This is somewhat offset by independent voters, where Schutz had led by 2, now trails by 5. Fully crosstabbed results follow...

About the Research / Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,860 adults from the state of Minnesota 07/15/26 through 07/20/26. Of the adults, 1,675 were identified as being registered to vote; of the registered voters, 478 were identified as being likely to vote in the Republican primary and asked Q4 and Q5 below; 520 were identified as being likely to vote in the DFL primary and asked Q6 below; 1,387 were identified as being likely to vote in the November general election and asked Q8. The combined pool of survey respondents was weighted to US Census ACS targets for gender, age, race, education, and home ownership.

1	Are you registered to vote in the state of Minnesota?

1860 Adults	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Parent		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Primary			GOP Governor Vote			GOP Senate Vote				Likely November		Issue					2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 1.6 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Probable	Definite	Already	Qualls	Demuth	Lindell	Schwarze	Tafoya	White	Weiler	Probable	Definite	Inflatio	Gas Pric	Health C	Immigrat	Fraud	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Yes	90%	91%	89%	84%	88%	94%	96%	86%	95%	89%	91%	97%	95%	87%	97%	96%	89%	95%	96%	96%	89%	95%	100%	100%	**	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	**	100%	100%	100%	98%	97%	81%	91%	97%	78%	93%	95%	94%	79%	90%	90%	89%	91%	89%	88%	92%
No	9%	8%	9%	13%	11%	6%	3%	12%	5%	10%	8%	3%	5%	11%	3%	4%	10%	3%	4%	4%	10%	3%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2%	2%	16%	8%	3%	18%	6%	5%	5%	17%	8%	8%	9%	8%	8%	11%	6%
Not Sure	1%	1%	2%	3%	1%	1%	0%	2%	0%	1%	1%	0%	1%	2%	0%	0%	1%	2%	0%	0%	1%	1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	3%	1%	0%	4%	1%	0%	0%	4%	2%	1%	1%	1%	4%	1%	2%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Adults	100%	50%	50%	29%	25%	25%	22%	53%	47%	30%	69%	30%	34%	26%	12%	21%	32%	15%	12%	32%	32%	27%	24%	45%	3%	11%	26%	35%	5%	41%	10%	7%	23%	59%	34%	5%	10%	9%	16%	37%	40%	30%	32%	37%	25%	35%	40%	72%	28%	23%	49%	28%	59%	13%	15%	13%

2	Minnesota will hold primary elections for Governor, United States Senator, and other offices in August. Many people don't have the time to vote in primary elections. Thinking ahead to August, are you ... ?

1675 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Parent		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Primary			GOP Governor Vote			GOP Senate Vote				Likely November		Issue					2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Probable	Definite	Already	Qualls	Demuth	Lindell	Schwarze	Tafoya	White	Weiler	Probable	Definite	Inflatio	Gas Pric	Health C	Immigrat	Fraud	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Unlikely To Have Time	9%	11%	8%	8%	9%	11%	10%	9%	10%	7%	10%	7%	5%	16%	14%	8%	12%	4%	3%	10%	12%	4%	0%	0%	**	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	9%	6%	8%	**	6%	4%	7%	9%	6%	10%	11%	8%	10%	9%	9%	9%	11%	7%	10%	10%	11%	9%	5%	9%
Might Or Might Not Find Time	18%	17%	18%	22%	18%	16%	15%	20%	15%	20%	17%	15%	14%	25%	11%	18%	22%	17%	10%	16%	22%	14%	0%	0%	**	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	21%	9%	12%	**	12%	7%	13%	16%	15%	22%	19%	14%	23%	17%	16%	16%	23%	17%	18%	18%	17%	17%	19%	20%
Will Probably Vote In The Primary	24%	22%	27%	28%	26%	26%	17%	27%	22%	24%	24%	25%	24%	24%	17%	23%	27%	29%	19%	21%	27%	25%	100%	0%	**	19%	26%	32%	27%	21%	24%	38%	49%	15%	25%	**	29%	26%	21%	24%	22%	27%	25%	23%	28%	23%	24%	23%	28%	21%	26%	25%	23%	21%	34%	25%
Will Definitely Vote In The Primary	45%	47%	43%	39%	45%	44%	54%	42%	49%	46%	45%	51%	53%	32%	56%	47%	36%	47%	64%	50%	36%	54%	0%	100%	**	75%	69%	66%	69%	76%	70%	59%	20%	67%	51%	**	50%	63%	57%	49%	52%	37%	43%	52%	35%	47%	48%	48%	36%	50%	44%	44%	46%	48%	41%	43%
Have Already Cast My Primary Ballot	3%	3%	3%	4%	2%	3%	4%	3%	3%	2%	4%	2%	4%	3%	1%	3%	3%	4%	4%	2%	3%	4%	0%	0%	**	6%	5%	1%	5%	3%	6%	2%	1%	4%	3%	**	3%	0%	2%	2%	4%	4%	3%	3%	4%	3%	3%	3%	3%	5%	2%	3%	3%	6%	1%	2%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	51%	49%	27%	24%	26%	24%	51%	49%	29%	69%	33%	36%	25%	13%	22%	32%	16%	12%	35%	32%	28%	24%	45%	3%	11%	26%	35%	5%	41%	10%	7%	23%	59%	34%	5%	10%	9%	16%	40%	44%	27%	32%	40%	22%	36%	42%	76%	24%	23%	49%	28%	59%	13%	15%	13%

3	In the primary, are you certain to vote a Republican ballot? Certain to vote a DFL ballot? Or not certain?

1219 Likely Primary Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Parent		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Primary			GOP Governor Vote			GOP Senate Vote				Likely November		Issue					2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.3 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Probable	Definite	Already	Qualls	Demuth	Lindell	Schwarze	Tafoya	White	Weiler	Probable	Definite	Inflatio	Gas Pric	Health C	Immigrat	Fraud	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Republican	39%	43%	35%	32%	33%	46%	45%	32%	46%	42%	38%	94%	3%	25%	89%	79%	28%	6%	2%	83%	28%	4%	38%	41%	**	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	42%	39%	28%	**	21%	60%	84%	85%	4%	50%	41%	31%	40%	40%	38%	42%	30%	29%	35%	55%	33%	43%	53%	46%
DFL	43%	39%	46%	45%	47%	36%	43%	46%	39%	39%	44%	3%	86%	35%	6%	9%	42%	79%	92%	8%	42%	85%	34%	46%	**	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	30%	48%	58%	**	63%	24%	7%	5%	80%	30%	39%	53%	37%	43%	45%	43%	41%	48%	47%	31%	48%	43%	29%	35%
Not Certain	18%	17%	19%	23%	20%	18%	11%	22%	15%	19%	18%	4%	11%	40%	5%	12%	29%	15%	6%	9%	29%	11%	28%	13%	**	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	28%	13%	14%	**	16%	16%	9%	10%	16%	21%	19%	16%	24%	17%	17%	15%	28%	23%	18%	14%	19%	14%	19%	19%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Primary Voters	100%	50%	50%	26%	24%	26%	25%	50%	50%	29%	70%	35%	40%	20%	13%	22%	29%	17%	15%	35%	29%	32%	34%	62%	4%	11%	26%	35%	5%	41%	10%	7%	22%	70%	33%	5%	10%	10%	16%	42%	47%	26%	31%	43%	20%	37%	44%	78%	22%	24%	48%	27%	59%	13%	15%	13%

If the Republican primary election for Governor were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated)

478 Likely Republican Primary Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Parent		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Primary			GOP Governor Vote			GOP Senate Vote				Likely November		Issue					2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5.4 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Probable	Definite	Already	Qualls	Demuth	Lindell	Schwarze	Tafoya	White	Weiler	Probable	Definite	Inflatio	Gas Pric	Health C	Immigrat	Fraud	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Kendall Qualls	11%	13%	9%	18%	12%	11%	6%	15%	9%	11%	11%	11%	**	11%	10%	10%	13%	**	**	10%	13%	**	7%	13%	**	100%	0%	0%	31%	14%	26%	11%	8%	13%	13%	0%	3%	6%	17%	11%	**	4%	14%	15%	5%	12%	13%	11%	11%	12%	10%	12%	12%	12%	11%	9%
Lisa Demuth	26%	28%	23%	15%	17%	26%	41%	16%	33%	17%	30%	24%	**	37%	21%	32%	19%	**	**	28%	19%	**	21%	27%	**	0%	100%	0%	23%	41%	23%	25%	13%	32%	30%	21%	14%	34%	30%	26%	**	18%	29%	30%	26%	21%	30%	26%	25%	31%	29%	20%	29%	24%	18%	29%
Mike Lindell	35%	38%	32%	29%	36%	32%	42%	33%	37%	37%	34%	37%	**	28%	50%	31%	26%	**	**	39%	26%	**	35%	36%	**	0%	0%	100%	43%	37%	43%	41%	38%	33%	24%	50%	39%	42%	31%	38%	**	52%	28%	26%	35%	41%	30%	37%	29%	29%	33%	41%	35%	47%	35%	26%
Another Republican	5%	4%	6%	14%	5%	4%	0%	10%	2%	7%	5%	5%	**	5%	5%	4%	8%	**	**	5%	8%	**	8%	3%	**	0%	0%	0%	0%	2%	6%	8%	10%	3%	5%	8%	10%	1%	3%	3%	**	6%	5%	5%	13%	3%	4%	4%	13%	10%	4%	5%	4%	4%	6%	11%
Undecided	22%	16%	30%	23%	30%	26%	11%	27%	19%	27%	20%	23%	**	19%	15%	22%	34%	**	**	19%	34%	**	29%	20%	**	0%	0%	0%	4%	5%	2%	15%	31%	19%	28%	20%	34%	18%	19%	22%	**	19%	24%	23%	21%	22%	23%	22%	22%	18%	24%	22%	21%	13%	30%	25%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Republican Primary Voters	100%	55%	45%	21%	20%	30%	29%	41%	59%	31%	67%	84%	3%	13%	29%	45%	21%	2%	1%	74%	21%	3%	32%	65%	3%	11%	26%	35%	5%	41%	10%	7%	24%	69%	23%	5%	5%	15%	33%	90%	5%	32%	33%	34%	20%	37%	43%	83%	17%	18%	43%	38%	50%	15%	20%	15%

If the Republican primary election for United States Senate were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated)

478 Likely Republican Primary Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Parent		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Primary			GOP Governor Vote			GOP Senate Vote				Likely November		Issue					2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5.4 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Probable	Definite	Already	Qualls	Demuth	Lindell	Schwarze	Tafoya	White	Weiler	Probable	Definite	Inflatio	Gas Pric	Health C	Immigrat	Fraud	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Adam Schwarze	5%	4%	6%	11%	4%	3%	4%	8%	4%	3%	6%	5%	**	0%	6%	4%	5%	**	**	5%	5%	**	4%	6%	**	14%	5%	6%	100%	0%	0%	0%	6%	5%	8%	11%	0%	7%	2%	5%	**	5%	6%	5%	3%	9%	3%	5%	8%	8%	4%	6%	7%	3%	5%	1%
Michele Tafoya	41%	54%	25%	23%	29%	49%	55%	26%	52%	31%	45%	40%	**	54%	46%	44%	33%	**	**	45%	33%	**	27%	48%	**	51%	66%	44%	0%	100%	0%	0%	23%	50%	37%	23%	28%	32%	56%	42%	**	42%	40%	41%	25%	47%	44%	42%	35%	41%	46%	36%	45%	54%	28%	31%
Royce White	10%	9%	11%	13%	11%	7%	11%	12%	9%	13%	9%	10%	**	12%	12%	10%	8%	**	**	11%	8%	**	8%	11%	**	23%	9%	12%	0%	0%	100%	0%	9%	11%	10%	11%	7%	16%	6%	10%	**	6%	17%	8%	14%	7%	11%	10%	12%	8%	8%	13%	7%	10%	12%	19%
Tom Weiler	7%	6%	9%	20%	8%	3%	2%	14%	2%	8%	7%	7%	**	5%	6%	6%	8%	**	**	6%	8%	**	9%	7%	**	7%	7%	9%	0%	0%	0%	100%	15%	4%	9%	2%	8%	9%	5%	7%	**	8%	3%	11%	6%	7%	8%	7%	10%	10%	7%	6%	8%	0%	9%	9%
Another Republican	8%	8%	8%	12%	9%	6%	6%	11%	6%	10%	7%	9%	**	2%	11%	3%	14%	**	**	6%	14%	**	8%	7%	**	0%	2%	8%	0%	0%	0%	0%	10%	5%	6%	24%	14%	1%	6%	8%	**	12%	7%	5%	15%	8%	4%	7%	9%	12%	5%	9%	6%	8%	9%	11%
Undecided	28%	19%	40%	22%	38%	33%	22%	30%	28%	34%	26%	29%	**	27%	20%	33%	31%	**	**	28%	31%	**	45%	21%	**	5%	12%	21%	0%	0%	0%	0%	37%	26%	30%	30%	43%	34%	24%	28%	**	28%	27%	30%	37%	22%	30%	29%	25%	21%	30%	30%	26%	24%	37%	29%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely Republican Primary Voters	100%	55%	45%	21%	20%	30%	29%	41%	59%	31%	67%	84%	3%	13%	29%	45%	21%	2%	1%	74%	21%	3%	32%	65%	3%	11%	26%	35%	5%	41%	10%	7%	24%	69%	23%	5%	5%	15%	33%	90%	5%	32%	33%	34%	20%	37%	43%	83%	17%	18%	43%	38%	50%	15%	20%	15%

If the DFL primary election for United States Senate were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated)

520 Likely DFL Primary Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Parent		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Primary			GOP Governor Vote			GOP Senate Vote				Likely November		Issue					2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Probable	Definite	Already	Qualls	Demuth	Lindell	Schwarze	Tafoya	White	Weiler	Probable	Definite	Inflatio	Gas Pric	Health C	Immigrat	Fraud	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Peggy Flanagan	40%	44%	36%	38%	40%	47%	36%	39%	41%	40%	40%	**	41%	35%	**	**	26%	43%	54%	18%	26%	49%	34%	43%	29%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	39%	41%	39%	**	35%	37%	**	**	40%	33%	36%	45%	52%	41%	35%	37%	52%	52%	33%	42%	40%	33%	34%	53%
Angie Craig	40%	44%	37%	34%	39%	38%	51%	36%	45%	40%	41%	**	40%	40%	**	**	58%	36%	24%	65%	58%	30%	35%	40%	62%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	36%	40%	44%	**	45%	32%	**	**	41%	45%	40%	39%	33%	40%	43%	43%	29%	36%	45%	34%	42%	44%	38%	29%
Another DFL Candidate	4%	4%	3%	3%	8%	3%	0%	5%	1%	4%	3%	**	3%	8%	**	**	2%	2%	6%	3%	2%	4%	4%	4%	1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2%	3%	2%	**	2%	19%	**	**	3%	13%	1%	2%	4%	7%	1%	4%	3%	3%	4%	3%	4%	1%	5%	0%
Undecided	16%	8%	23%	25%	13%	13%	13%	19%	13%	17%	16%	**	16%	17%	**	**	14%	19%	16%	14%	14%	17%	27%	13%	8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	23%	16%	14%	**	17%	12%	**	**	16%	9%	24%	15%	10%	13%	21%	16%	16%	9%	18%	22%	14%	21%	22%	19%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely DFL Primary Voters	100%	46%	54%	27%	27%	22%	25%	53%	47%	26%	72%	2%	80%	17%	2%	5%	29%	32%	32%	7%	29%	64%	27%	67%	6%								16%	79%	43%	3%	15%	6%	3%	5%	88%	18%	29%	53%	17%	37%	46%	78%	22%	27%	53%	20%	66%	13%	10%	11%

7	Minnesota will hold a general election for Governor, for United States Senate, and for other offices in November. Many people don't have the time to vote in every election. Thinking ahead to November, are you ... ?

1675 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Parent		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Primary			GOP Governor Vote			GOP Senate Vote				Likely November		Issue					2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Probable	Definite	Already	Qualls	Demuth	Lindell	Schwarze	Tafoya	White	Weiler	Probable	Definite	Inflatio	Gas Pric	Health C	Immigrat	Fraud	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Unlikely To Have Time	5%	4%	6%	9%	6%	3%	2%	8%	3%	6%	5%	3%	4%	6%	3%	5%	6%	3%	3%	4%	6%	3%	3%	1%	**	0%	0%	1%	0%	0%	0%	6%	0%	0%	0%	**	2%	0%	0%	4%	3%	8%	4%	4%	8%	6%	3%	3%	11%	5%	6%	4%	5%	6%	4%	5%
Might Or Might Not Find Time	12%	12%	12%	22%	15%	6%	5%	18%	6%	14%	11%	12%	12%	10%	11%	10%	16%	8%	6%	10%	16%	7%	14%	1%	**	3%	3%	8%	8%	2%	8%	10%	0%	0%	1%	**	4%	3%	3%	11%	8%	17%	13%	8%	18%	14%	8%	10%	19%	13%	12%	12%	12%	11%	14%	12%
Will Probably Vote	23%	23%	24%	31%	24%	25%	12%	28%	19%	27%	22%	25%	19%	26%	22%	24%	25%	25%	15%	23%	25%	21%	47%	10%	**	17%	12%	26%	26%	14%	20%	51%	100%	0%	27%	**	30%	22%	22%	24%	20%	27%	26%	19%	30%	23%	20%	21%	30%	26%	21%	24%	23%	24%	25%	24%
Will Definitely Vote	59%	61%	58%	38%	55%	65%	81%	46%	73%	52%	63%	61%	66%	57%	64%	61%	53%	65%	76%	62%	53%	69%	36%	88%	**	80%	85%	65%	66%	84%	72%	34%	0%	100%	71%	**	64%	75%	75%	62%	70%	48%	56%	69%	44%	57%	69%	65%	41%	56%	61%	59%	60%	60%	57%	59%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	51%	49%	27%	24%	26%	24%	51%	49%	29%	69%	33%	36%	25%	13%	22%	32%	16%	12%	35%	32%	28%	24%	45%	3%	11%	26%	35%	5%	41%	10%	7%	23%	59%	34%	5%	10%	9%	16%	40%	44%	27%	32%	40%	22%	36%	42%	76%	24%	23%	49%	28%	59%	13%	15%	13%

If the November election for Minnesota Attorney General were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for?

1387 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Parent		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Primary			GOP Governor Vote			GOP Senate Vote				Likely November		Issue					2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Probable	Definite	Already	Qualls	Demuth	Lindell	Schwarze	Tafoya	White	Weiler	Probable	Definite	Inflatio	Gas Pric	Health C	Immigrat	Fraud	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Ron Schutz (R)	38%	43%	33%	28%	33%	42%	47%	30%	45%	39%	38%	83%	4%	32%	82%	76%	28%	4%	5%	78%	28%	5%	35%	41%	**	92%	95%	89%	80%	93%	93%	85%	32%	40%	26%	**	19%	61%	80%	80%	5%	47%	38%	33%	36%	39%	39%	42%	25%	30%	36%	49%	34%	40%	48%	43%
Keith Ellison (DFL)	42%	41%	44%	48%	48%	36%	40%	48%	38%	40%	43%	5%	82%	37%	9%	9%	44%	79%	87%	9%	44%	82%	37%	46%	**	6%	4%	5%	16%	5%	6%	15%	35%	45%	55%	**	58%	21%	7%	7%	78%	29%	40%	52%	38%	44%	43%	41%	47%	53%	45%	30%	47%	41%	29%	35%
Undecided	20%	16%	23%	24%	19%	22%	13%	22%	18%	21%	19%	12%	13%	31%	9%	15%	28%	17%	8%	13%	28%	13%	28%	13%	**	2%	2%	7%	4%	2%	1%	0%	32%	15%	20%	**	23%	18%	13%	13%	18%	23%	22%	15%	26%	17%	18%	17%	28%	18%	19%	21%	19%	18%	23%	22%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	51%	49%	22%	23%	28%	27%	45%	55%	28%	71%	34%	37%	25%	13%	23%	30%	17%	13%	36%	30%	31%	24%	53%	3%	12%	27%	35%	5%	43%	10%	7%	28%	72%	34%	4%	10%	10%	16%	42%	47%	25%	32%	43%	19%	35%	46%	79%	21%	23%	49%	28%	59%	13%	14%	13%

Which one issue will be most important to you in your votes this year? (issues rotated)

1450 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Parent		Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely Primary			GOP Governor Vote			GOP Senate Vote				Likely November		Issue					2024 Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	Yes	No	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Probable	Definite	Already	Qualls	Demuth	Lindell	Schwarze	Tafoya	White	Weiler	Probable	Definite	Inflatio	Gas Pric	Health C	Immigrat	Fraud	Trump	Harris	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Twin Cit	S MN	W MN	NE MN
Inflation / The Cost Of Living	34%	33%	34%	34%	35%	32%	34%	34%	33%	34%	34%	24%	42%	36%	17%	29%	40%	44%	32%	24%	40%	39%	32%	33%	**	26%	26%	16%	34%	20%	22%	30%	34%	35%	100%	**	0%	0%	0%	24%	42%	33%	36%	32%	32%	33%	34%	33%	37%	37%	32%	33%	32%	40%	33%	36%
War In Iran	4%	5%	4%	3%	4%	3%	7%	3%	5%	4%	4%	3%	5%	4%	3%	3%	4%	6%	7%	3%	4%	6%	6%	3%	**	2%	1%	4%	0%	2%	2%	2%	4%	4%	0%	**	0%	0%	0%	3%	6%	4%	6%	3%	4%	4%	5%	4%	4%	3%	4%	5%	4%	3%	6%	4%
Gas Prices	5%	5%	5%	7%	6%	5%	2%	6%	3%	6%	4%	6%	4%	3%	7%	4%	4%	5%	4%	5%	4%	5%	6%	4%	**	0%	4%	8%	11%	3%	6%	1%	7%	3%	0%	**	0%	0%	0%	5%	4%	6%	7%	3%	6%	7%	3%	5%	5%	5%	5%	4%	5%	6%	4%	2%
Health Care	10%	10%	10%	9%	10%	13%	9%	10%	11%	8%	11%	5%	15%	10%	4%	7%	12%	13%	16%	6%	12%	14%	11%	10%	**	1%	3%	6%	0%	4%	4%	6%	11%	10%	0%	**	100%	0%	0%	5%	14%	9%	8%	13%	12%	10%	10%	11%	9%	10%	10%	11%	11%	7%	13%	9%
Education	4%	4%	3%	6%	7%	2%	0%	6%	1%	7%	2%	3%	5%	3%	5%	2%	4%	6%	1%	3%	4%	4%	4%	4%	**	4%	1%	3%	3%	3%	2%	0%	4%	3%	0%	**	0%	0%	0%	3%	4%	2%	3%	5%	3%	3%	5%	3%	5%	4%	4%	3%	3%	2%	5%	5%
Jobs	3%	3%	2%	5%	4%	3%	0%	5%	1%	4%	2%	2%	3%	4%	1%	1%	4%	2%	4%	1%	4%	3%	5%	2%	**	4%	2%	3%	0%	4%	5%	0%	4%	2%	0%	**	0%	0%	0%	3%	3%	4%	3%	2%	3%	4%	2%	3%	4%	5%	2%	2%	3%	4%	2%	2%
Crime In Your Neighborhood	2%	2%	3%	3%	3%	3%	0%	3%	2%	3%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	4%	1%	1%	5%	3%	1%	3%	1%	2%	**	1%	3%	3%	2%	2%	4%	7%	3%	2%	0%	**	0%	0%	0%	3%	2%	3%	2%	2%	4%	2%	2%	2%	4%	4%	3%	1%	3%	1%	1%	2%
Abortion	2%	2%	3%	4%	3%	2%	1%	3%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	2%	4%	2%	2%	1%	5%	3%	2%	3%	2%	2%	**	0%	0%	2%	0%	1%	0%	8%	3%	2%	0%	**	0%	0%	0%	2%	2%	2%	2%	3%	4%	2%	2%	2%	3%	3%	3%	1%	3%	3%	1%	2%
Gun Control	3%	3%	4%	6%	3%	3%	2%	5%	2%	4%	3%	3%	4%	2%	3%	3%	3%	5%	2%	3%	3%	3%	2%	4%	**	3%	0%	3%	10%	1%	7%	3%	5%	3%	0%	**	0%	0%	0%	3%	4%	4%	2%	4%	3%	4%	4%	3%	4%	3%	3%	4%	3%	4%	3%	4%
Immigration	9%	8%	11%	8%	8%	11%	10%	8%	10%	8%	10%	15%	5%	8%	18%	11%	7%	4%	10%	14%	7%	7%	9%	12%	**	8%	20%	18%	21%	12%	25%	20%	8%	10%	0%	**	0%	100%	0%	14%	6%	9%	12%	8%	11%	10%	8%	9%	10%	9%	10%	8%	10%	9%	10%	8%
Fraud	16%	18%	14%	8%	12%	18%	25%	10%	22%	13%	17%	30%	3%	18%	33%	29%	14%	2%	1%	30%	14%	2%	13%	18%	**	48%	38%	29%	13%	45%	21%	22%	13%	18%	0%	**	0%	0%	100%	31%	4%	21%	15%	14%	13%	15%	19%	18%	9%	9%	16%	22%	15%	17%	19%	16%
Other	4%	5%	3%	4%	3%	3%	5%	4%	4%	3%	4%	2%	5%	4%	1%	2%	3%	5%	11%	2%	3%	8%	3%	5%	**	3%	1%	2%	0%	2%	0%	2%	2%	5%	0%	**	0%	0%	0%	2%	6%	2%	2%	6%	3%	4%	4%	4%	3%	6%	4%	3%	5%	1%	2%	6%
Not Sure	3%	2%	4%	3%	2%	3%	3%	3%	3%	2%	3%	2%	3%	4%	1%	3%	2%	6%	2%	2%	2%	4%	5%	2%	**	0%	1%	4%	4%	2%	3%	0%	3%	3%	0%	**	0%	0%	0%	2%	3%	2%	3%	4%	3%	2%	4%	3%	3%	2%	3%	4%	3%	2%	2%	3%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	51%	49%	24%	23%	27%	26%	47%	53%	28%	71%	34%	37%	24%	13%	23%	30%	17%	13%	36%	30%	30%	27%	52%	3%	11%	26%	35%	5%	41%	10%	7%	27%	69%	34%	5%	10%	9%	16%	42%	46%	25%	32%	43%	19%	36%	45%	79%	21%	23%	50%	27%	59%	13%	15%	13%

** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.